Live Conflict Military Operations Syria

Kartal1

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Perhaps for the first time since we started intervening in Syria, Turkish warplanes are flying in Syrian airspace. Turkey's sending of Turkish F-16s after the Russians got bogged down in Ukraine is an indication to the regime that rapid air operations are on the table.
Minister Fidan said this:

"The issue of contact is always a matter of various dimensions. It can be direct or indirect. It happens at different levels, but right now the first priority is to prevent a new conflict between the regime and the opposition. Everyone maintains their positions, or rather, there is a picture we have drawn within the framework of the Astana Agreement. It is important to protect it.

Friends, why do we care that these conflicts do not occur? For several reasons, first of all, it is essential that there are no conflicts so that there are no more immigrants. Secondly, in an environment where there is silence, the hatred on both sides can be forgotten and a political stance towards peace and the construction of the future can emerge, that is, through interactions. This is important.

Thirdly, of course, the terrorist organization, which we pay special attention to, takes something seriously from all kinds of conflicts and creates an opportunity for itself. To prevent this from happening, we are engaged in intense diplomatic and other activities to ensure that conflict continues in a certain equation and that the parties remain in their current positions. There is a lot of labor in it. There is truly incredible effort on the intelligence side, both on the military side and on this side, so it is a great effort to carry this equation in this way."

Assad wants to sabotage this equation and destabilize the region thinking this will draw resources from TSK while he sort his problem with the opposition militarily. I think these attacks are testing the reaction of the TSK.

They gradually increased their operations in times where the conflict in Gaza is taking the attention of everybody and the coverage of the Syrian conflict is done mainly by the locals, forgotten by the major social media sources and the media. This combined with the internal developments in Idlib like the recent instability around the arrest of Abu Ahmad Zakkour and the recent arrests of prominent figures within HTS including important military commanders is giving the opportunity to Assad militias to use all the factors so they can start an operation. After the arrest of Zakkour the HTS and SNA were at the brink of war with MIT and TSK preventing further destabilization.

The only factor that is left to test is TSK. Well, TSK reacted good and we will see what will be result of all this.

If they don't behave I expect simultaneous attack of the SAA and the Iranian militias from the Seraqib direction together with coordinated YPG-SAA-HRE attacks on Azez (from Tal Rifat), Al Bab and Jarablus (from Manbij), Tal Tamr (from Ayn Isa) resulting in casualties. TSK will most likely respond harshly by striking all targets along the contact lines, especially the centers of the Iranian militias in Nubl Zahra. After the ugly picture, the annihilation of targets and Erdogan's possible "We may come suddenly at night" phrase, Iranian, Turkish and Russian representatives will meet and the tension will be resolved for a couple of more months.

Why I am saying this? Because we played this game before. The factors hard to calculate here are the internal situation of HTS in Idlib and the tempo of escalation in Gaza including the possibility of a regional war and the supposed role of the Iranian militias in Syria which will play a critical importance to the combat readiness and military power of SAA in critical areas both in the West, but also in the East of Syria.

I think this time we will play it right 😏
 

Kartal1

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UCAV shots were taken against terrorist targets in the Semuke village of Tel Rifat, unfortunately there are no details at the moment.

Meanwhile a military convoy belonging to the Turkish Armed Forces, containing many armored vehicles, tanks and artillery, entered the Kafr Lusin border gate and went to the observation points in the Sarmin, Binnish, Neyrab and Taftanaz axis in the east of Idlib.

It was claimed that the Syrian Regime and Iranian-backed terrorist groups would launch a limited land operation on the Sarmin and Daret Izze axis in the spring of 2024, and the arrival of new reinforcements may more or less confirm this.

 

Kartal1

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Yesterday was a very tense day. We knew from last year's autumn that the Regime was preparing for a small scale operation in Idlib. We know that Suheil Al-Hassan, the Tiger forces commander was given a permission to carry out the operation. After systematic abuses and escalation by the SAA militias and the RuAF, yesterday TSK decided to show force and suppress the Regime forces mainly in the area of Seraqib. The Regime forces hit civilian areas with thermite incendiary munitions resulting in at least 4 martyred civilians and 5 wounded. SAA forces were hit by TSK artillery while TuAF F-16s were showing force in Combat Air Patrol configuration in Idlib and Azez areas.

View attachment 64550

Simultaneously PKK/YPG forces were hit in multiple locations in the area of Tal Rifat and Ayn Isa. The target in Ayn Isa was reportedly hit by Turkish loitering munitions resulting in 3 dead from the YPG.
These are the terrorists killed in Ayn Isa area hit by loitering munitions. Reportedly it was Kargu that took them out.

1704803340778.png
 

Kartal1

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Rare picture of Abu Ahmad Zakkour from the night of his arrest by the HTS intelligence in Azez. Looks like there were trained people on the ground as a combat application tourniquet was applied on his right arm as he was probably wounded and severely bleeding.

1704804286180.png
 
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Strong AI

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Turkish Airforce conducting flights over Idlib.


“On January 7, 2024, an unmanned aerial vehicle of unknown nationality that could threaten our base areas in Idlib was detected. It was immediately intercepted and blocked by aircraft belonging to our Air Force. "Activities on the Syrian border are carried out in close coordination with the Russian Federation."
 

Bozan

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"we are engaged in intense diplomatic and other activities to ensure that conflict continues in a certain equation and that the parties remain in their current positions."

Remain at status quo is the strategy?
 

Kartal1

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"we are engaged in intense diplomatic and other activities to ensure that conflict continues in a certain equation and that the parties remain in their current positions."

Remain at status quo is the strategy?
Maybe they are working on something for which the right conditions must be set and don't want to disrupt the status quo in Idlib at least for now as any change means there will be more refugees.

The next months will be interesting in Idlib. There are many developments regarding new arrests of military commanders and other figures. There are also people who were released. There is also a big propaganda campaign against Joulani so I think the events that will come are interesting. All these events are weakening HTS and the Idlib defence overall. It is very difficult to make any predictions as there are so many factors involved, but it will be an interesting thing to watch and see how it develops. There is a thin balance between the damage done to the HTS and the security of Idlib against the threat from Assad/Iran.
 

Sanchez

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If they won't just go in there and remove Tal Rıfat from equation, a town that is outside of US bounds, doesn't have Russian patrols and only Iranian affiliated groups, literally no need to talk about anything. If this government can't take this tiny, small step while both Russia and Iran are down, what else is there to say.
 

GoatsMilk

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Minister Fidan said this:

"The issue of contact is always a matter of various dimensions. It can be direct or indirect. It happens at different levels, but right now the first priority is to prevent a new conflict between the regime and the opposition. Everyone maintains their positions, or rather, there is a picture we have drawn within the framework of the Astana Agreement. It is important to protect it.

Friends, why do we care that these conflicts do not occur? For several reasons, first of all, it is essential that there are no conflicts so that there are no more immigrants. Secondly, in an environment where there is silence, the hatred on both sides can be forgotten and a political stance towards peace and the construction of the future can emerge, that is, through interactions. This is important.

Thirdly, of course, the terrorist organization, which we pay special attention to, takes something seriously from all kinds of conflicts and creates an opportunity for itself. To prevent this from happening, we are engaged in intense diplomatic and other activities to ensure that conflict continues in a certain equation and that the parties remain in their current positions. There is a lot of labor in it. There is truly incredible effort on the intelligence side, both on the military side and on this side, so it is a great effort to carry this equation in this way."

Assad wants to sabotage this equation and destabilize the region thinking this will draw resources from TSK while he sort his problem with the opposition militarily. I think these attacks are testing the reaction of the TSK.

They gradually increased their operations in times where the conflict in Gaza is taking the attention of everybody and the coverage of the Syrian conflict is done mainly by the locals, forgotten by the major social media sources and the media. This combined with the internal developments in Idlib like the recent instability around the arrest of Abu Ahmad Zakkour and the recent arrests of prominent figures within HTS including important military commanders is giving the opportunity to Assad militias to use all the factors so they can start an operation. After the arrest of Zakkour the HTS and SNA were at the brink of war with MIT and TSK preventing further destabilization.

The only factor that is left to test is TSK. Well, TSK reacted good and we will see what will be result of all this.

If they don't behave I expect simultaneous attack of the SAA and the Iranian militias from the Seraqib direction together with coordinated YPG-SAA-HRE attacks on Azez (from Tal Rifat), Al Bab and Jarablus (from Manbij), Tal Tamr (from Ayn Isa) resulting in casualties. TSK will most likely respond harshly by striking all targets along the contact lines, especially the centers of the Iranian militias in Nubl Zahra. After the ugly picture, the annihilation of targets and Erdogan's possible "We may come suddenly at night" phrase, Iranian, Turkish and Russian representatives will meet and the tension will be resolved for a couple of more months.

Why I am saying this? Because we played this game before. The factors hard to calculate here are the internal situation of HTS in Idlib and the tempo of escalation in Gaza including the possibility of a regional war and the supposed role of the Iranian militias in Syria which will play a critical importance to the combat readiness and military power of SAA in critical areas both in the West, but also in the East of Syria.

I think this time we will play it right 😏

When i read anything erdogna or fidan say about syria to me it always seems clueless. Basically a wait and see approach and hope for the best. Its like we have no real impetus to create facts on the ground that benfit the Turkish state. Instead its always reactionary. 12 years in with Russia buried in Ukraine, Syria collapsed and we still got hear about what Assad wants to do? At this point he shouldnt be a factor, it should purely be about what we want to do.

They went from talking nonsense about praying in Damascus to this crap. This shit is going to hang over Turkey for the next 20 years at least. whoever influenced erdogan to join the american isreali war against assad should have been sacked a long long time ago. If those who helped cause this mess are still overseeing syria, then don't expect much. 12 years in we got planes flying over idlib, 12 years in..... What a victory.
 

Kartal1

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Previously hit facilities and points are being hit by our Air Forces in Syria right now.

If they run out of targets they can reach me and I can give them targets of importance.

Enough with the lies! The people are not dumb! If you are going to waste bombs and money, at least do it so it's worth! The terrorists are laughing at us right now and you can't even realize! Shame!
 

Kartal1

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At least some good news from this morning. PKK terrorist taking place in the "RED" Most Wanted List with a code name "Heval Sivar" Veysel Sevinc was killed today in a IED explosion at a checkpoint in Diriyah, Raqqa.

1705177331216.png


According to sources one of the PKK/YPG most high ranked terrorists, YPG's spokesperson Nuri Mahmud was heavily injured in the same attack.

1705177633428.png


 

Sanchez

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Previously hit facilities and points are being hit by our Air Forces in Syria right now.

If they run out of targets they can reach me and I can give them targets of importance.

Enough with the lies! The people are not dumb! If you are going to waste bombs and money, at least do it so it's worth! The terrorists are laughing at us right now and you can't even realize! Shame!
That big factory they hit with a single MAM, I wager they could send 25 more and still find targets inside that building next month.
 

Scott Summers

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When i read anything erdogna or fidan say about syria to me it always seems clueless. Basically a wait and see approach and hope for the best. Its like we have no real impetus to create facts on the ground that benfit the Turkish state. Instead its always reactionary. 12 years in with Russia buried in Ukraine, Syria collapsed and we still got hear about what Assad wants to do? At this point he shouldnt be a factor, it should purely be about what we want to do.

They went from talking nonsense about praying in Damascus to this crap. This shit is going to hang over Turkey for the next 20 years at least. whoever influenced erdogan to join the american isreali war against assad should have been sacked a long long time ago. If those who helped cause this mess are still overseeing syria, then don't expect much. 12 years in we got planes flying over idlib, 12 years in..... What a victory.

Time and status quo is with Turkey in Syria.

North Syria is almost fully integrated with East Turkey; the Turkish Lira is the main valuta, Turkish firms are investing in the economy and infrastructure, Turkish streetnames, kids are going to Turkish schools, the Syrians living there are pro-Turkish, the FSA is a irregular pro-Turkish army etc.

How much Erdogan and Fidan says that they want to protect Syrian territorial integrity, that part of Syria wont be Syrian again.

Turkey must do the same with North Iraq and the dream of a free Kurdistan can go to the trashbin. They can also do the same with West-Libya.

Than you have the Mizaki Milli back.

There is no power in the world that can kick the TSK out Syria, Iraq or Libya. Russia cant, USA cant, China cant. There is also not much media coverage about the TSK in Syria, Iraq and Libya because of Ukraine, Gaza, Red Sea and Taiwan.

Turkey has a lot of chances and oppurtinities but Erdogan is afraid to use it.

Annex those territories by conquering the hearts of the locals and crushing the terrorists.

They cant stop Israel, so they certainly cant ever stop Turkey.
 

Kartal1

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Today is an active day for TSK UCAVs and artillery.

Turkish Armed Forces' UCAVs hit the power plant in the center of Ayn Al Arab.


French concrete company Lafarge on the east of Ayn Al Arab that is assisting the PKK/YPG with their tunnel networks is hit at least two times.


Turkish Armed Forces' UCAVs hit a building where PKK terrorists were located in Derbesiye town, north of Hasakah.


4 PKK terrorists were killed in the operation carried out by Turkish Armed Forces' UCAVs on the Ayn Issa line north of Raqqa.

 

Bogeyman 

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