Breaking News Iran-Israel Tensions

Samba

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Missiles and drones shot from İran territory will be intercepted by the USA UK and France in the air.

Attack should come from Lebanon soil, otherwise it means nothing.
 

Relic

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Missiles and drones shot from İran territory will be intercepted by the USA UK and France in the air.

Attack should come from Lebanon soil, otherwise it means nothing.
I hope you realize the potential magnitude of what you're suggesting and the subsequent repercussions that the civilians of Lebanon would be forced to endure if Hezbollah succeeded in a meaningful attack against Israel?

It would give the Israeli government all the "ammunition" they need to start an extension and protracted bombing campaign in Lebanon. That sounds like a lot of civilians that die unnecessarily.

I don't think a major attack by Hezbollah is a overly smart, unless the organization is willing to go "all in" attempting to eliminate Israel.
 

Ravager

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I hope you realize the potential magnitude of what you're suggesting and the subsequent repercussions that the civilians of Lebanon would be forced to endure if Hezbollah succeeded in a meaningful attack against Israel?

It would give the Israeli government all the "ammunition" they need to start an extension and protracted bombing campaign in Lebanon. That sounds like a lot of civilians that die unnecessarily.

I don't think a major attack by Hezbollah is a overly smart, unless the organization is willing to go "all in" attempting to eliminate Israel.
Naah , if hezbo do follows .they would only follow on the second waves . They are not that dumb
 

contricusc

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Jokes aside. I think while Iran will surely show a certain level of restraint, they will also push the limits this time and I expect second tier political and military officials to be targeted, military and Israeli government infrastructure, symbolic sites too. I think we may see some serious damage, but what I am worried about is not these strikes, but the possible Israeli response and the possibility of a following miscalculation which may result in our darkest scenarios coming to life.

The problem for Iran is there is no winning option for them.

If they make an attack that doesn’t inflict any meaningful damage to Israel (like the last time), their threats will not be taken seriously and people will doubt their ability to harm Israel.

If they make a successful attack that inflicts serious damage, Israel is guaranteed to responde with much more amplified damage on Iran, which will put Iran in an even worse situation, as it will be their turn to respond, after being hit much harder than before.

Israel will not take any serious hit without a strong response, as it is Israeli policy to inflict many times more damage to their enemies for any hit against them. Look what they’re doing to Gaza as punishment for the October 7 attack. The number of deaths in Gaza already far exceeds the Israeli deaths, and they are still not stopping.

Iran has to choose between a weak response that will harm their reputation and a serious response that will have devastating repercussions for them.
 

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