And this is straight from russian terrorist Girkin (who should be in Hague for his crimes not in russian prison). About Ukraine situation and "collapse of Ukraine"
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n general, I agree with the final thesis that "in the current format of SVO neither Ukraine nor Russia are able to win a decisive victory ("Ukraine" – due to lack of resources, Russia - due to fears of the authorities not to keep the situation in case of mobilization)." This is followed by the Kremlin's pathetic and miserable-looking (when observed "from the outside") attempts to "persuade partners to compromise." It seems that the elders have already forgotten (due to developing dementia) the very foundations of political psychology, which say that a public demonstration of weakness in confrontation is a sure path to shame and defeat. Even the notorious "compromise" would be easier and faster to achieve by rigidly demonstrating a willingness to "fight to the bitter end", rather than hinting to "partners" every 2 weeks that, they say, "we don't mind making peace."
It is characteristic that very insignificant (on a strategic scale) successes in the Donbas (for Ukrainians — a "secondary front" from the very beginning of the war) tend to be given out by propaganda as a "collapse of the front" of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. The defeat of several "secondary" territorial defense brigades (which were stubbornly not reinforced with reserves) is issued as signs of the imminent "collapse" of the entire enemy front line. At the same time, propaganda stubbornly ignores the very unpleasant (and very disturbing) facts that in areas that are really "vulnarable" for the enemy, where his professional units operate — in Kharkov (Volchansk, Kupyansk), Kursk (Sudzha), the fighting is extremely stubborn and the front, in fact, "froze" or close to it. Meanwhile, attacks on deep and deepest rear areas (including strategically important facilities) are intensifying week by week. And they are causing more and more tangible damage.
It is clear from the reports that the enemy has and saves reserves. Therefore, it is simply stupid to talk about the "imminent collapse" of his front due to the loss of several cities and towns in the Donetsk republics. The enemy has been holding the district center on the territory of the "old regions" for 3 months and the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation can do nothing about it! – So why should we expect that the Kiev bastards controlled from across the seas will suddenly abruptly agree to a truce on favorable terms for Moscow? The front continues to remain stable overall and devours Russian lives and resources regularly and in huge quantities. If the "scales" swing significantly in favor of Moscow, the enemy will find the resources to "level it out". First of all, due to technological superiority and its build-up, but other "moves" are possible - the "battle of attrition" will continue until the APU is completely defeated and disintegrates.
That's how I see it.
Sincerely (signed) I.V. Girkin
30.10.2024
Kirovo-Chepetsk, IK-5""