Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

FiReFTW

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That's fine. You're entitled to your own opinion and free to express it.

Good thing you don't live in Russia or you wouldn't be!

And for the record, parts of my "theory" are actually just straight up factual. For example, it is objectively true that many wealthy, powerful Russians choose to live abroad, in far better (in almost every way) countries. Where as almost all of our wealthy and powerful people avoid Russia like the plague. That isn't by accident.

Also, their life expectancy is objectively deplorable. Especially their men. Just as an example...

Like expancy for men...
Canada 🇨🇦: 79.4 years
Russia 🇷🇺: 67.5 years

Life expectancy for women...
Canada 🇨🇦: 81.3 years
Russia 🇷🇺: 77.7 years

Average salary....
Canada 🇨🇦: $46,000 usd
Russia 🇷🇺: $14,770 usd

Two countries, with near identical GDP's, climates, access to natural resources, etc, etc... The Russians have completely squandered so much of it. They live considerably shorter, poorer lives than we do. Those are just two metrics. I could basically go on forever.

Im not disagreeing that general life in Russia for the average citizen is pretty bad compared to alot of European countries etc... but comparing salaries and assuming what life is like is extremely flawed, it tells NOTHING.

In the USA the gross average monthly wage is like 6000$ in alot of European countries its 3000-4000$, yet in most of those countries the average life and what you can afford and how you live is at the very least the same if not better than the USA.

In Portugal the average monthly wage is 2000$, in Germany its 4000$, in Switzerland its 9000$

So in Switzerland people can afford 5 times more than in Portugal? And in Germany 2 times more?

It just doesn't work like that.
 

Relic

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Im not disagreeing that general life in Russia for the average citizen is pretty bad compared to alot of European countries etc... but comparing salaries and assuming what life is like is extremely flawed, it tells NOTHING.

In the USA the gross average monthly wage is like 6000$ in alot of European countries its 3000-4000$, yet in most of those countries the average life and what you can afford and how you live is at the very least the same if not better than the USA.

In Portugal the average monthly wage is 2000$, in Germany its 4000$, in Switzerland its 9000$

So in Switzerland people can afford 5 times more than in Portugal? And in Germany 2 times more?

It just doesn't work like that.
It matters in a variety of ways, but here is the core one.

Your ability to leave your country and travel, move, work, etc internationally is deeply impacted by wage. The Russian wage is sooo excessively low that the average Russian can't ever afford to leave their country. It's not as if their purchasing power, wage adjusted, is anywhere near what is in many Western countries, especially when it comes to leaving Russia. When they have to convert Rubles to any Western currency to spend abroad, we're talking exchange rates that make it near impossible.
 

Soldier30

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The Ukrainian 155-mm self-propelled howitzer "Bogdana" on the Tatra Phoenix chassis was destroyed by the Russian kamikaze drone "Lancet-51". The video was filmed in the Kharkov region of Ukraine, near the village of Dolzhanka, which is about 12 kilometers from the border. As a result of the strike of the Russian drone "Lancet-51", a fire started in the Ukrainian self-propelled howitzer 2S22 "Bogdana".

 

Soldier30

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Servicemen of the 93rd Mechanized Brigade of the Ukrainian Army demonstrated the use of a tracked drone to install barbed wire nets "Egoza". The video was filmed in the Pokrovsk direction, the model of the robotic platform is not reported.

 

FiReFTW

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It matters in a variety of ways, but here is the core one.

Your ability to leave your country and travel, move, work, etc internationally is deeply impacted by wage. The Russian wage is sooo excessively low that the average Russian can't ever afford to leave their country. It's not as if their purchasing power, wage adjusted, is anywhere near what is in many Western countries, especially when it comes to leaving Russia. When they have to convert Rubles to any Western currency to spend abroad, we're talking exchange rates that make it near impossible.
But average wage tells little, now if you look at median then it's a much more accurate representation.
 

Vietdefense

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A significant number of Russian nationals have temporarily relocated from Russia to my country so Russian airlines are increasing flights connecting to Vietnam. That might give us a glimpse into life in Russia today.
 

Soldier30

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An episode of the battle between the Russian 752nd Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 20th Guards Combined Arms Army of the Zapad group and the Ukrainian 3rd Separate Assault Brigade. The video was filmed near the settlement of Nadiya in the LPR. A column of Ukrainian equipment consisting of a tank, an infantry fighting vehicle, an M113 armored personnel carrier, and an M2 Bradley infantry fighting vehicle attempted to attack Russian positions. Russian intelligence spotted the column and struck with artillery and drones. The video was filmed from several drones. As a result of the battle, three Ukrainian M113 armored personnel carriers and an M2 Bradley infantry fighting vehicle were destroyed, and an infantry fighting vehicle was also abandoned. The video is shortened, the dead servicemen have been removed.

 

Soldier30

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Rare footage of the launch of the Russian kamikaze drone "Geran-2" from a car. The drones are controlled by operators and are equipped with 4G modems, Ukrainian SIM cards are installed in them. The video shows the strike of the drone "Geran-2" on a Ukrainian industrial facility in the area of the settlement of Musiyki, Kharkiv region of Ukraine. Judging by the video, this is the second drone attack.

 

blackjack

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1742161833929.png

Europe signing out of F-35 deals is pretty retarded which gives Russia more options to destroy 4th gens besides targeting airbases with drones or missiles.
 

Soldier30

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Archival footage from 2024, repelling an attack by a Ukrainian naval drone off the coast of Crimea. A Russian temporary firing point is used to protect the coast. The Ukrainian naval drone is based on a jet ski, there are several versions, the model is unknown. Fire is being conducted on the naval drone from a ZU-23-2 anti-aircraft artillery mount, made in the Soviet Union. The ZU-23-2 anti-aircraft mount has a rate of fire of up to 2,000 rounds per minute and can hit targets at a range of up to 3 km. As a result of the battle, the Ukrainian naval drone caught fire.

 

Relic

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Germany 🇩🇪 announced the delivery of a new military aid package to Ukraine today. Per usual, the Germans don't announce the package until it had been delivered, for security purposes. Contents of the package include the following:

- 3 Gepard Air Defense Systems
- 24 FFG MRAPS
- 2 WISEN-T Mine Clearing Tanks
- 2 Border Protection Vehicles
- 100 H-PEMBS Mine Clearing Systems
- 2 Mine Ploughs
- IRIS-T SLM Air Defense Missiles
- 50 VECTOR Recon Drones
- 30 Drone Detection Systems
- 30 Gereon Tracked Unmanned Vehicles
- 5000 155mm Artillery Shells
- 2000 122mm Artillery Shells
- 8000 120mm Mortar Rounds
- 10,000 rounds of Gepard Ammunition
- 105mm Leopard 1 Shells
- 25mm Marder Ammunition
- 556 Laser Range Finders
- 255 Infrared Binoculars
- 95 MK556 Assault Rifles
- 1340 HK416 Assault Rifles
- 765,000 First Aid Kits

 

Relic

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Tuesday, March 18th will be an enormous day as it relates to this war. Two significant events will happen nearly simultaneously.

1. Trump and Putin are set to speak on Tuesday, as USA pushes Russia and Ukraine to accept a ceasefire agreement. This initial conversation will likely set the tone of whether or not the Trump Government will remain sympathetic to Russia, or perceive Putin and the Russian Government as unserious about a ceasefire. We should start getting some reaction as soon as tomorrow night.

2. German Government will vote to eliminate their national debt brake on military funding, allowing new German Chancellor, Merz to significantly increase Germany's military spending both immediately and into the future. There is a special clause in the bill that would allow German military support to a nation being invaded (i.e. Ukraine) to be exempt from the debt brake as well. Merz is thought to have the votes he needs, but we'll see later today.

Both outcomes will have enormous impacts on another piece of news from today. The EU is planning to increase collective military aid to Ukraine in 2025 to $43 Billion, doubling the current $21.5 Billion plan that is currently in place. Today both Spain 🇪🇸 and Italy 🇮🇹 said that they are not yet ready to approve the plan as they want to see what comes of the Putin-Trump phone call and any possibility of a ceasefire. Meanwhile, Germany's 🇩🇪 incoming Chencellor, Merz has been vocal about at least doubling Germany's military aid to Ukraine in 2025 from the $4 Billion that is currently planned, to $8 Billion. Merz has noted that Germany has considerably more room in it's industry to produce and restore weapons for Ukraine in 2025, but without the additional funds he's seeking, not all projects will be maximized in 2025 and some would have to wait for funding into 2026.

Regardless, March 18th will prove to be a big day in this war. Ukraine's two largest backers, the two largest economies in the West, are set to take major steps as it relates to the war. Both will inevitably shape the outcome. Both Ukrainians and Russians will be watching intently.
 

begturan

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Germany 🇩🇪 announced the delivery of a new military aid package to Ukraine today. Per usual, the Germans don't announce the package until it had been delivered, for security purposes. Contents of the package include the following:

- 3 Gepard Air Defense Systems
- 24 FFG MRAPS
- 2 WISEN-T Mine Clearing Tanks
- 2 Border Protection Vehicles
- 100 H-PEMBS Mine Clearing Systems
- 2 Mine Ploughs
- IRIS-T SLM Air Defense Missiles
- 50 VECTOR Recon Drones
- 30 Drone Detection Systems
- 30 Gereon Tracked Unmanned Vehicles
- 5000 155mm Artillery Shells
- 2000 122mm Artillery Shells
- 8000 120mm Mortar Rounds
- 10,000 rounds of Gepard Ammunition
- 105mm Leopard 1 Shells
- 25mm Marder Ammunition
- 556 Laser Range Finders
- 255 Infrared Binoculars
- 95 MK556 Assault Rifles
- 1340 HK416 Assault Rifles
- 765,000 First Aid Kits

They give aid as if they were helping the poor, what can Ukraine do with this? It's just a struggle to survive... It is as if all sides are trying to continue the war rather than end it.

The world is very silent about Gaza too. Unless real steps are taken against injustice, such aggression will one day knock on the door of every country.
 

Spitfire9

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I am not sure that buddy vultures Putin and Trump have grasped that it is not for them to divide the meat of a dying country between themselves. Europe+Canada will continue their efforts keep the country alive.
 

GoatsMilk

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I am not sure that buddy vultures Putin and Trump have grasped that it is not for them to divide the meat of a dying country between themselves. Europe+Canada will continue their efforts keep the country alive.

worth keeping in mind that countries like france and germany were ok with Russia's invasion of Ukraine, it was American pressure that pulled them into the fold. If the US were to normalise relations with Russia, i would expect France and Germany to follow suit. Especially France. No way on earth the French or Germans will want to be opposed to the US/Russia combo.

Potentially had Turkiye not sold Ukraine drones and probably in a few years we will find out Turks probably operated them to a degree, the war may have been lost in the first few weeks.

This doesnt even take into account that many european nations only came into the fold once Ukraine had proven they could hold Russia back. Many of them were ready to welcome their Russian master back in.

Also France and Russia were working together in Libya, the French even got the EU to create some kind of mission to stop Turkish weapons to the UN recognised government. While weapons from Russia, Assad, Iran to Hafter were ok. So France was ok with extending Russian power projection into the med sea. Actually not just ok with it but playing a position that would give Russia a real strategic chokehold in the med sea.

Every nation in Europe will look to their own interests first and foremost, european identity sounds good on paper but in reality its "real politik" And if there is one thing Trump said that i 100% agree with, "everything macron touches turns to shit." Him trying to position himself as the leader of a new security mechanism probably means its going to be a complete failure.
 
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Spitfire9

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worth keeping in mind that countries like france and germany were ok with Russia's invasion of Ukraine, it was American pressure that pulled them into the fold. If the US were to normalise relations with Russia, i would expect France and Germany to follow suit. Especially France. No way on earth the French or Germans will want to be opposed to the US/Russia combo.

Potentially had Turkiye not sold Ukraine drones and probably in a few years we will find out Turks probably operated them to a degree, the war may have been lost in the first few weeks.

This doesnt even take into account that many european nations only came into the fold once Ukraine had proven they could hold Russia back. Many of them were ready to welcome their Russian master back in.

Also France and Russia were working together in Libya, the French even got the EU to create some kind of mission to stop Turkish weapons to the UN recognised government. While weapons from Russia, Assad, Iran to Hafter were ok. So France was ok with extending Russian power projection into the med sea. Actually not just ok with it but playing a position that would give Russia a real strategic chokehold in the med sea.

Every nation in Europe will look to their own interests first and foremost, european identity sounds good on paper but in reality its "real politik" And if there is one thing Trump said that i 100% agree with, "everything macron touches turns to shit." Him trying to position himself as the leader of a new security mechanism probably means its going to be a complete failure.
How does this relate to France supplying more M2K to Ukraine while Trump and Putin strip Ukraine of assets yet the EU countries, UK, Norway and Canada remain committed to supporting Ukraine?
 

TR_123456

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worth keeping in mind that countries like france and germany were ok with Russia's invasion of Ukraine, it was American pressure that pulled them into the fold. If the US were to normalise relations with Russia, i would expect France and Germany to follow suit. Especially France. No way on earth the French or Germans will want to be opposed to the US/Russia combo.
So,current events dont show you otherwise?
 

Ryder

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Such a shame Ukraine lost most of Kursk oblast.

Oh well they fought hard for months and tied down the Russians in their home turf. Embarassing for the Russians to allowed it to last this long.
 

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