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Live Conflict Israel-US vs Iran War (2026)

Spitfire9

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Trump writes that Iran has begun laying mines in the Strait of Hormuz. He demands that Tehran remove them immediately.
Iran has 2,000-6,000 naval mines.
The Russians can provide them with another 10,000.
The Russians are happy: the strait is closed, oil is worth $100! China and India can't buy oil from the Persian Gulf countries; they'll have to turn to Putin.
The Gulf mess is certainly giving Putin a financial reprieve. Restoration of free movement in the Gulf will not be a return to status quo ante. An unknown amount of damage has been done to loading facilities and refining capacity in the arabian peninsular countries.

tradingeconomics forecasts crude at $100+ for the four quarters of 2026. Of course, that is a best guess exercise, given the current instability in the Gulf: https://tradingeconomics.com/forecast/commodity
 

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So far Iran is striking everything they can. They launched hundreds of heavy ballistic missiles at Israeli residential areas. They attack gulf countries.

Israel and US on the other hand did NOT started Iranian main assets: oil refineries, ports, electric facilities, bridges...

Israel and US can take out all these in 1 day and return Iran back to stone age.
 

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This war showed once again that traditional air defences like S-300/400, Buk, Tor etc are completely useless against modern air force.

The only Iranian air defence which is doing something is passive optical guided which they use to shoot down slow flying UAVs.
 

Spitfire9

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So far Iran is striking everything they can. They launched hundreds of heavy ballistic missiles at Israeli residential areas. They attack gulf countries.

Israel and US on the other hand did NOT started Iranian main assets: oil refineries, ports, electric facilities, bridges...

Israel and US can take out all these in 1 day and return Iran back to stone age.

I would not count on the US and Israel NOT doing exactly what you say they have chosen not to do so far. This is a war of hatred for Iran and Israel, isn't it?
 

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All THAAD Batteries assigned to U.S. Forces Korea (USFK) have been withdrawn from the Korean Peninsula and redeployed to the Middle East.


Extreme strategic mistake


"This is a huge story in China right now given how big an outcry the installation of this caused back in 2017: Chinese tourism to South Korea was stopped, the Lotte Group was essentially shut down in China (nearly all of Lotte Mart's 112 Chinese stores were closed down due to "fire safety issues"), Hyundai and Kia had to close factories, k-pop disappeared from Chinese media, etc.

And now the US is just dismantling it to send it to the Middle-East... So, quite literally, to have this, South Korea endured tens of billions in economic damage and did enormous harm to its relationship with its neighbor and largest trading partner... only for the US to take it back whenever it suited them.

The lesson writes itself."
 

Mis_TR_Like

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So far Iran is striking everything they can. They launched hundreds of heavy ballistic missiles at Israeli residential areas. They attack gulf countries.

Israel and US on the other hand did NOT started Iranian main assets: oil refineries, ports, electric facilities, bridges...

Israel and US can take out all these in 1 day and return Iran back to stone age.

Israel and the US can bomb Iran as much as they want, but I think the only way to remove the regime is boots on the ground, and I don't see that happening unless the US is willing to lose 1000+ soldiers in the short term. This would be nothing like Iraq, let alone Venezuela. Not only is the population much larger, but they're more motivated. Furthermore the terrain is horrendous for the attacking force.

Frankly I think Israel's real goal will be achieved, Iran will be severely handicapped. However this whole thing has been a massive embarrassment for the US. Trump and Hegseth have spoken really big and they went straight for the decapitation of the leadership, this was a severe miscalculation.

If Iran has tens of thousands of Shahed 136s and a large stock of ballistic missiles underground, this could last a lot longer than the US can stomach. Not to mention their shorter range missiles that can target the gulf. How much longer until the gulf states lash out at the US to end the war? Their whole image as a safe haven is now in tatters.

Iran might be knocked back to the stone age (as if they weren't already with the regime in charge), but it won't be the only loser. The Arab Gulf states went from safe havens to hellscapes. Meanwhile Israel is being hit more than ever before, we'll see how much damage is done after the media blackout is lifted. The US has lost billions of dollars worth of radars, it's literally bringing in air defences assets from east Asia, what if those also get hit?

Who's to say Russia and China aren't providing intelligence?

This might be a tactical victory for Israel, but it's a disaster for the US. It's Trumps "special operation" moment. He is stuck between a rock and a hard place. Just like Russia, the US is an inflexible empire. Its tech might be the best in the world but that's not enough to defeat a determined enemy.
 

Soldier30

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US Central Command has released footage of missile strikes on the Iranian Navy. The video shows American missile strikes on the Iranian Shahid Soleimani-class corvette, as well as on Gadir-class submarines, Zolfaghar-class missile patrol boats, and other Iranian assets.

The Gadir-class submarines are a series of midget submarines built by Iran specifically for navigating the shallow waters of the Persian Gulf. The project is named after the religious site of Ghadir Khumm. As of 2025, approximately 20 submarines of this class have been built and commissioned, all of which are operated by the Iranian Navy and serve in the Southern Fleet. The Gadir-class submarines are designed for littoral combat operations.

 

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I wonder what will happen if oneday US finally exit the middle east. Everyone know they will.
More than 80 percent of US people against to start anew war in middle east, so perhaps this is the last time US declear a war to make Isreal satisfy.
But, what is the cost?
 

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Israel and the US can bomb Iran as much as they want, but I think the only way to remove the regime is boots on the ground, and I don't see that happening unless the US is willing to lose 1000+ soldiers in the short term. This would be nothing like Iraq, let alone Venezuela. Not only is the population much larger, but they're more motivated. Furthermore the terrain is horrendous for the attacking force.
You did not read what I said. Israel and US can take out all Iranian oil and electric facilities in 1 day effectively reducing it to stone age. Without any boots on the ground.

I would not count on the US and Israel NOT doing exactly what you say they have chosen not to do so far. This is a war of hatred for Iran and Israel, isn't it?
If such attack occurred we would immediately knew.
 

Soldier30

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Hezbollah launched an unknown missile attack on the Israeli satellite communications center near Beit Shemesh. The missile strike severely damaged the Israeli satellite communications center, as shown in the video. The video was filmed by a local resident.

 

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There are now MANY cargo planes from Saudi Arabia, Qatar, UAE flying to Rzeszów airport near Ukraine border just to get some antidrone protection from Ukraine.
Why they didnt think about that BEFORE the war?
 

Mis_TR_Like

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You did not read what I said. Israel and US can take out all Iranian oil and electric facilities in 1 day effectively reducing it to stone age. Without any boots on the ground.
I read what you said, and I agree that US and Israeli strikes can reduce Iran to dust, but Trump's goal is regime change; regime change won't be possible without boots on the ground.
 

Mis_TR_Like

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Listen to what he says after 14:45... He says that Iran was close to having its own revolution, but the bombing campaign has made that very unlikely and that the US has pretty much guaranteed that Iran will remain a theocracy for some time. Makes you think.

 

Sanchez

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Israel and US can take out all Iranian oil and electric facilities in 1 day effectively reducing it to stone age. Without any boots on the ground.
That doesn't win them the war, and fucks the world economy after the retaliation.

There are now MANY cargo planes from Saudi Arabia, Qatar, UAE flying to Rzeszów airport near Ukraine border just to get some antidrone protection from Ukraine.
Why they didnt think about that BEFORE the war?
Probably because Ukraine needs those men more and they weren't on offer then. But Ukraine needs all the goodwill it can get so they are on offer when they are desperately needed.
 

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Listen to what he says after 14:45... He says that Iran was close to having its own revolution, but the bombing campaign has made that very unlikely and that the US has pretty much guaranteed that Iran will remain a theocracy for some time. Makes you think.

Macgregor? Seriously? This guy who predicted Russia victory over Ukraine in 10 days? Who claimed that 1/3 of Tel Aviv is destroyed and other nonsense?

HDActHgaMAEVe9u.jpg



All his "analyses" are like "Russia STRONK111" America Weak.
 

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I read what you said, and I agree that US and Israeli strikes can reduce Iran to dust, but Trump's goal is regime change; regime change won't be possible without boots on the ground.
Without oil current regime in Iran wont last for too long.
 
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