Turkey dealt a blow to Israel's "Abraham Accords" plan.
You have to very know what Art.5 means in NATO statutes. From a single harsh note to a full out war. Every single NATO member can decide which reaction they prefer.
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Turkey dealt a blow to Israel's "Abraham Accords" plan.
We only want to secure our interests.We only want to defend the SA we don't want to cause damage.
Well, at least our alliance has three members. That should make decision-making easier.You have to very know what Art.5 means in NATO statutes. From a single harsh note to a full out war. Every single NATO member can decide which reaction they prefer.
You enter an alliance and acting in accordance with the alliance objectives becomes your interest. Your direct interest is fulfilled when other members do their part and help build up your strength, like paying the bill to making weapons or deploying their strong weapons in your defense.We only want to secure our interests.
May 18, 2026
Pakistan has deployed 8,000 troops, a squadron of fighter jets and an air defence system to Saudi Arabia under a mutual defence pact, ramping up military cooperation with Riyadh even as Islamabad serves as the main mediator in the Iran war.
All five sources said the deployment includes around 8,000 troops, with a pledge to send more if needed, as well as a Chinese HQ-9 air defence system.
One of the government sources, who has seen the text of the confidential defence pact, said it provides for the possibility of up to 80,000 Pakistani troops being deployed to Saudi Arabia, to help secure the kingdom's borders alongside Saudi forces.
As soon as the ceasefire was signed in the 40-day war, Pakistan indicated it could potentially deploy 80,000 troops to Saudi Arabia. They have already deployed 1-2 squadrons of JF-17s.
Therefore, it wouldn't be surprising if Türkiye undertook a similar initiative. Yesterday, Hakan Fidan emphasized this precisely. If Saudi Arabia expects support from its partners in the event of an attack, that support will not go unreciprocated. If the same call comes from Türkiye and Pakistan, other countries will provide support.
You cannot create deterrence against your enemies without an agreement that will be implemented like Article 5 of NATO. At its core, this requires believing that the agreement will be activated when you need help; and your enemies must see this belief reflected in defense purchases/technology sharing, the establishment of permanent bases, and military exercises.
If this agreement remains only on paper, as you say, you cannot intimidate anyone (neither Iran nor Israel).
Pakistan deployed a major combat contingent—including up to 13,000 troops, a squadron of JF-17 fighter jets, drone units, and Chinese-made HQ-9 air defense systems—to Saudi Arabia's King Abdulaziz Air Base. This deployment operates under a bilateral mutual defense agreement signed by the two nations. [1, 2]
Deployment Overview
- Troop Strength: Roughly 8,000 to 13,000 active military personnel deployed to forward positions in the kingdom's Eastern Province. [1, 2, 3]
- Air Power & Hardware: Around 16 JF-17 fighter jets, support aircraft, drone squadrons, and HQ-9 air defense units operated entirely by Pakistani personnel. [1, 2]
- Financing & Context: The mission is funded by Riyadh and shifts Pakistan's historic training and advisory presence into a direct combat-ready defense posture amid regional tensions. [1, 2, 3]
- The Defense Pact: Stemming from a strategic mutual defense framework, the agreement treats an attack on one nation as an attack on both, with provisions allowing for even larger force deployments if required
I think it requires the attacked country to invoke the clause first to be aided. Which Saudi didn't do so far afaik.
People forget that being isolated is exactly what forced us to become strong in the first place. When you don’t have anyone to rely on, you’re pushed to innovate, build your own industry, and stand on your own feet. That’s how Türkiye ended up with a defence sector that actually works. Compare that to the Saudis ...they spent decades assuming the US would always protect them, and now they’re scrambling to form alliances with their own “regional rivals” because that dependency collapsed.Apart from Pakistan's nukes and war experience, we have nothing else to gain from this alliance. I'm wary about the Saudi's more than anything else. Saudi money comes along with Saudi influence. Even look at the name of it, Mecca alliance. Put your religion aside for a minute, Saudi's are clearly trying to be the top dog in this
They've been hopeless against Houthis, and they've seen that the US is overstretched, and now they're inviting Pakistan and Türkiye to do their work for them.
I'm all for alliances, we've isolated ourselves for too long. But I don't trust the Saudi's one bit. They've been a hotbed for US intelligence activities for decades, and are the reason why the Muslim world as a whole is in turmoil.
Furthermore, we need to pick and choose who's actually going to be a good ally. Not only do we need to ensure that they don't backstab us or provide intelligence about our activities to our foes; We also need to ensure that anyone we support, whether that's through training or providing our advanced weaponry, actually wins. The Saudi's are freaking hopeless, if we sell them our best equipment and they do an abysmal job with it, that's a major PR loss. Part of warfare is psychological.
When TB2 was sold to Azerbaijan and they used it skillfully, it didn't only lead to a victory, but was a huge PR win globally. Yes, TB2 is now largely ineffective by itself, more suited to picking apart what's left of an army after their air defence is defeated. But we'll be selling Saudi's our best equipment, can we trust them to fight effectively, or will they be an embarrassment?
There is S-400 in India also, so you mean eachtime F-35s/F-22s arrived to India always with the luneberg lenses.I've read about this back when it first appeared in media, but as far as I can gather, all the reports are just regurgitating from a single unnamed source based in Pakistan. There's been no evidence of aircraft/missile deployment. Aircraft are easy enough to spot with satellite imagery of airfields, but there's been some embargoes on imagery of US-allied airfields so there's scope for ambiguity. But a Chinese HQ-9 system going online in an airspace where the US had F-35s/F-22s (maybe even B-2s) flying around without luneberg lenses? I don't see how CENTCOM would've been okay with that.
Smallish ADS like Pantsir/FK-2000 with short-range radars are one thing (easy to map & avoid), but systems like HQ-9 or S-400 with theatre-level radar surveillance (hundreds of kms) create huge OPSEC problems. I'm not sure if that part is believable.
A hypothetical Turkish deployment of aircraft/missiles to KSA would integrate much more smoothly with the US defence networks already sitting there.
As of Pakistani troop deployment, that is certainly possible and likely to have been done. But the thing is, Pakistan has been deploying troops (around ~15,000 or more) to KSA since at least the 1970s. Troop levels have routinely surged during times of war/crises (like the earlier Gulf Wars) and subside afterwards (see link below). So linking troop deployment to the Sep 2025 agreement would be a mischaracterization.
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The signal and substance of the new Saudi-Pakistan defense pact | Brookings
Countries across the region may rightly view the Saudi-Pakistan defense pact as a hedge against over-dependence on great powers, and may well seek to do the same.www.brookings.edu
Not to mention, invoking a mutual defence agreement after a ceasefire had already been reached doesn't really make much sense...unless of course, Pakistan had made it clear to KSA beforehand that they will not be getting involved in active hostilities with Iran. So the ceasefire period was the only time it could be invoked.
If I was Saudi, I wouldn't invoke anything publicly until & unless I've privately received assurances as to what the response is going to be. Otherwise I'd risk looking like a fool (and making the other party look untrustworthy/unreliable). I wouldn't want that.
I agree infantry has been deployed at various times during the last 50 years or so.I've read about this back when it first appeared in media, but as far as I can gather, all the reports are just regurgitating from a single unnamed source based in Pakistan. There's been no evidence of aircraft/missile deployment. Aircraft are easy enough to spot with satellite imagery of airfields, but there's been some embargoes on imagery of US-allied airfields so there's scope for ambiguity. But a Chinese HQ-9 system going online in an airspace where the US had F-35s/F-22s (maybe even B-2s) flying around without luneberg lenses? I don't see how CENTCOM would've been okay with that.
Smallish ADS like Pantsir/FK-2000 with short-range radars are one thing (easy to map & avoid), but systems like HQ-9 or S-400 with theatre-level radar surveillance (hundreds of kms) create huge OPSEC problems. I'm not sure if that part is believable.
A hypothetical Turkish deployment of aircraft/missiles to KSA would integrate much more smoothly with the US defence networks already sitting there.
As of Pakistani troop deployment, that is certainly possible and likely to have been done. But the thing is, Pakistan has been deploying troops (around ~15,000 or more) to KSA since at least the 1970s. Troop levels have routinely surged during times of war/crises (like the earlier Gulf Wars) and subside afterwards (see link below). So linking troop deployment to the Sep 2025 agreement would be a mischaracterization.
![]()
The signal and substance of the new Saudi-Pakistan defense pact | Brookings
Countries across the region may rightly view the Saudi-Pakistan defense pact as a hedge against over-dependence on great powers, and may well seek to do the same.www.brookings.edu
Not to mention, invoking a mutual defence agreement after a ceasefire had already been reached doesn't really make much sense...unless of course, Pakistan had made it clear to KSA beforehand that they will not be getting involved in active hostilities with Iran. So the ceasefire period was the only time it could be invoked.
If I was Saudi, I wouldn't invoke anything publicly until & unless I've privately received assurances as to what the response is going to be. Otherwise I'd risk looking like a fool (and making the other party look untrustworthy/unreliable). I wouldn't want that.
Hesham Alghannam, a Saudi security analyst and researcher, agreed that neither country was likely to engage offensively in the short term, but drew a distinction between what the agreement “can deliver now versus what it aspires to become.”Last few days were interesting.
"Mecca Agreement", is not a military pact at this stage. It's clearly a framework agreement with specifics to be covered in the future. But, this shouldn't make one think that it's something ordinary. It is monumental in its own right. There will be many naysayers from multiple parties of course, from atlantic, Israel, Russia, Iran, subcontinent, but making these three countries to put out an agreement and asking others to join in is very important.
I actually agree with the politicians that it is neither anti Iran nor anti Israel. In an ideal world both Israel and Iran would also join the pact in the next decade, this probably won't happen.
Turkey won't send aircraft to Pakistan to fight India when India is fighting "terrorists" next time, nor will it send commandos to Yemen. Pakistan won't deploy fighters to Aegean, Saudi won't cut its hefty relationship with India. But in time we will probably see more TR/SA support to Pakistan both financially and in ISR, Turkey will probably send assets to Red Sea, Saudi will probably invest more heavily in Syria, help curtail Iran in Iraq and support development road and not IMEC. I wouldn't call IMEC dead just yet, but its importance is lowered considerably starting from this week.
I've read about this back when it first appeared in media, but as far as I can gather, all the reports are just regurgitating from a single unnamed source based in Pakistan. There's been no evidence of aircraft/missile deployment. Aircraft are easy enough to spot with satellite imagery of airfields, but there's been some embargoes on imagery of US-allied airfields so there's scope for ambiguity. But a Chinese HQ-9 system going online in an airspace where the US had F-35s/F-22s (maybe even B-2s) flying around without luneberg lenses? I don't see how CENTCOM would've been okay with that.
Smallish ADS like Pantsir/FK-2000 with short-range radars are one thing (easy to map & avoid), but systems like HQ-9 or S-400 with theatre-level radar surveillance (hundreds of kms) create huge OPSEC problems. I'm not sure if that part is believable.
A hypothetical Turkish deployment of aircraft/missiles to KSA would integrate much more smoothly with the US defence networks already sitting there.
As of Pakistani troop deployment, that is certainly possible and likely to have been done. But the thing is, Pakistan has been deploying troops (around ~15,000 or more) to KSA since at least the 1970s. Troop levels have routinely surged during times of war/crises (like the earlier Gulf Wars) and subside afterwards (see link below). So linking troop deployment to the Sep 2025 agreement would be a mischaracterization.
![]()
The signal and substance of the new Saudi-Pakistan defense pact | Brookings
Countries across the region may rightly view the Saudi-Pakistan defense pact as a hedge against over-dependence on great powers, and may well seek to do the same.www.brookings.edu
Not to mention, invoking a mutual defence agreement after a ceasefire had already been reached doesn't really make much sense...unless of course, Pakistan had made it clear to KSA beforehand that they will not be getting involved in active hostilities with Iran. So the ceasefire period was the only time it could be invoked.
If I was Saudi, I wouldn't invoke anything publicly until & unless I've privately received assurances as to what the response is going to be. Otherwise I'd risk looking like a fool (and making the other party look untrustworthy/unreliable). I wouldn't want that.
and Turkey to accelerate defense-industrial transfers
It means they want our weapon systems produced in SA with all the blueprints.What does that means exactly ?
any change in government in Türkiye and Pakistan could nullify this agreement.
You can never know in both countries.Which is unlikely imo.