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  1. Joe Shearer

    Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

    I expect so, but until we have put our own house in order, in terms of the social compact within our country, and even otherwise in general, we are best advised to learn what is happening, and not broadcast our thoughts and conclusions. We have enough capacity for equitable growth, not the kind...
  2. Joe Shearer

    Is Taiwan Next?

    Yes, I thought, obviously wrongly, that I was saying that. The Chinese today can swamp Taiwan. The Chinese are also projected to peak, and to decrease thereafter; one study says that it has already peaked and is already in decline. So it seems that this is a window that the PRC has, that will...
  3. Joe Shearer

    Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

    Our present government simply had no alternative but to tapdance their way out of an extremely awkward situation. It is not statesmanship, it is the survival instinct - nothing wrong with having one, of course. Russia is an overwhelming source of arms and ammunition for us, and it is well-known...
  4. Joe Shearer

    Is Taiwan Next?

    You are probably right on the button on these forecasts. Nothing will slow down the Chinese other than their population shrinkage, and that will take years to reach proportions where they are diverted from their long-term goals and objectives.
  5. Joe Shearer

    Is Taiwan Next?

    I understand that he is a confirmed office-holder, without limit on his terms.
  6. Joe Shearer

    India Coffee House

    (y)(y)(y)
  7. Joe Shearer

    Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

    That speech was amazing. A tour-de-force.
  8. Joe Shearer

    Ukraine Analysis Why Russia will lose this war

    This is also a very high-risk strategy. Warships are peculiarly risky, because the casualty rate in a damaged or sunk warship is enormously high. Can the PLA, psychologically speaking, do anything about this?
  9. Joe Shearer

    Ukraine Analysis Why Russia will lose this war

    Wherever there is evidence that a military doctrine is changing to favour a short brief war, and wherever there is room for neutralisation of two sets of nuclear assets, there will be a temptation to plan for a long-grinding war of attrition, that is specifically meant to wear down an opponent...
  10. Joe Shearer

    Ukraine Analysis Why Russia will lose this war

    I believe it has, to test its logistic capabilities. The results were reported, but that happened years ago. All I can recall is that a battalion would be available anywhere on PRC's borders in a day, a brigade in three days, and so on; the upper end larger volumes are too fuzzy in my mind.
  11. Joe Shearer

    India Coffee House

    Both their reactions, and our brown, black, native and Asian reactions to their reactions are so insightful.
  12. Joe Shearer

    Is Taiwan Next?

    In the US, at one time, they had thought about nuclear war and its consequences, and called it the thinking of the unthinkable. However, in the US, at that time, and today, in a residual kind of manner, there exists the capability of taking an issue, stripping it down to its bare essentials, to...
  13. Joe Shearer

    Is Taiwan Next?

    Completely different from Ukraine, but even there, an indifferent public quickly rallied once they were invaded.
  14. Joe Shearer

    Ukraine Analysis Why Russia will lose this war

    An immediate reaction (literally - this is not a considered, thought-through response) is that apparently the Army has increased its investment in Rashtriya Rifles from 50 (@1,000 per formation, 50,000 troops) to 75, a 50% increase. As you perhaps know, I am hugely opposed to the entire RR...
  15. Joe Shearer

    India Coffee House

    We need to return to these, armed with buckets of tar and bolsters of feathers. We have issues with you, young Sir.
  16. Joe Shearer

    Historical Indus Valley Civilization Research papers and Theories.

    I am surprised that you are no lawyer. Whatever you do, your posts are awesome! You've made me re-think my total opposition to the Modi administration, and, in particular, my contempt for its effete foreign policy activities. It is a new perspective; not one, as a friend of all people in south...
  17. Joe Shearer

    Historical Indus Valley Civilization Research papers and Theories.

    I suddenly feel I am out of my paygrade.
  18. Joe Shearer

    Historical Indus Valley Civilization Research papers and Theories.

    What a stunning post! @Nilgiri You must read this and the previous two, one from me, responding to him, and one his original post. You will know how much I must disagree with the tenor of his post and his finding positive aspects to the Modi administration. I am so entranced by the way he has...
  19. Joe Shearer

    Historical Indus Valley Civilization Research papers and Theories.

    Their predicament is clear enough, but there is a lot to be reviewed about both their motivation, and their ability to affect India. First, about their motivation. This mutual hostility was never about riparian rights and the water shortage problem. It never was, and putting it on top is...
  20. Joe Shearer

    Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

    https://www.msn.com/en-in/news/world/us-offers-to-evacuate-prez-zelenskyy-from-war-torn-ukraine-here-s-part-2-of-his-roaring-reply/ar-AAUkhzu?ocid=uxbndlbing 3 Comments| 23 © Provided by News18 US Offers to Evacuate Prez Zelenskyy from War-torn Ukraine. Here's 'Part 2' of His Roaring...

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