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Comparing Russia's invasion of Ukraine to WWII is accurate. In both cases, the defense of "ethnic" Germans/Russians was used as pretext for grabbing land. "Ukraine bombing and killing thousands of people" is a Russian propaganda narrative that has little basis in reality, and using it as pretext...

The US is preparing to provide Ukraine with $800 million to finance drones manufactured in Ukraine. Source: Zelensky evening address. https://t.me/V_Zelenskiy_official/12136

US announced a new $400 mil PDA package: Ammunition for High Mobility Artillery Rocket Systems (HIMARS); 155mm and 105mm artillery ammunition; 60mm, 81mm, and 120mm mortar systems and rounds; Tube-launched, Optically tracked, Wire-guided (TOW) missiles; Javelin and AT-4 anti-armor systems; M113...

There's a strong letter from a bipartisan group of US congressmen and senators to Biden arguing he should let Ukraine strike back and why - Here. This in addition to NATO's Secretary-General Mark Rutte, a resolution by the European Parliament, pressure on the White House from the UK and France...

Ukraine's F-16s are mainly used for air defense for now. Russia's meanwhile are primarily used for launching glide bombs and missiles.

Certainly not. Both Russian and Ukrainian planes stay far away from the front due to air defenses.

Hard to say. Here's what we know: In total 79 are currently promised: Denmark - 19 (some already delivered) Netherlands - 24 (some already delivered) Norway - 6 Belgium - 30 - Denmark promised to send a second batch by the end of 2024 - Netherlands promised to deliver the remainder of the...

Every red line was already crossed when Ukraine invaded Russia proper in Kursk. Yet nuclear weapons were not used.

US announced $700m in aid: The latest American aid package includes $325 million in energy support to help repair and restore Ukraine’s power generation facilities, provide emergency backup power for critical services and strengthen the physical security of energy infrastructure. Some $290...

House Foreign Affairs Chairman McCaul stated that Ukraine is about to get permission to strike back: Some context. Four days ago it was confirmed that Iran provided Russia with ballistic missiles. Meanwhile McCaul reported that Blinken told him three days ago that Ukraine will receive...

Sweden announced a new $444 million package: 6 Combat Boat 90 combat boats Robot System 70 anti-aircraft missile systems funds to support Ukrainian drones camouflage equipment for previously transferred equipment, armor-piercing and small-caliber projectiles, recoilless rifles and anti-tank...

I've written here previously what I think the reasons for the Kursk invasion are. Optics are incredibly important for ensuring support continues or increases. Polls show that American voters want Ukraine to win and view Russia very negatively. You can see the impact Kursk had below: The US's...

There are approximately 6.6 million Ukrainians who left Ukraine as of July 2024. Not according to Ukraine, but according to the countries where they reside. The only way to get from 6.6 million to your 12-15 million figure is by making up numbers out of thin air.

Germany military aid update, delivered in the past 3 weeks: 2 IRIS-T SLS launchers 10 Sonobot 5 USVs 26 Vector UAVs 1 Bergepanzer 2 ARV 6 High Mobility Engineer Excavators (armoured) 50 CR 308 rifles 10 HLR 338 precision rifles 700 MK 556 assault rifles 14,000 155mm shells material for...

For now I would give it 20%. Although the Senate is more pro-Ukrainian than the House, it's still going to be a challenge, and some Senators will prefer to delay to see who wins in November. Graham and Blumenthal often introduce legislation that has low chances of passing (like their recently...

StratCom wrote today that Ukraine has now matched Russia's 2024 gains. In other news, Ukraine is continuing to press for permission from the US use ATACMS and the UK to use Storm Shadows, to strike targets on Russian territory. The Biden administration is still refusing to grant permission...

I think it's a bit of several: 1. Incur more losses onto RU than UA is taking 2. Show that Ukraine is still capable of taking the initiative, which is essential to Ukraine continuing to receive support from the West. This goes for both politicians and voters. 3. Boost the morale of Ukrainians...

The Republican party of today can be divided into four groups. People are certainly more complex than four categories, but like most categorizations the purpose here is to simplify a complex dynamic to make it easier to understand and draw conclusions. Grifters. Trump, Murdochs, Elon Musk...

NATO summit declaration got released: https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/official_texts_227678.htm Some highlights, though overall it's pretty unimpressive: New rhetoric: The just released declaration states that Ukraine's membership in NATO is irreversible: "we will continue to support it on...

The most reliable information we have regarding what a Trump administration's policy towards Ukraine could look like comes from this: https://americafirstpolicy.com/issues/america-first-russia-ukraine The writers are expected to hold senior positions in a Trump administration, and are part of...