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    Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

    Ukraine will never sign away NATO entry. They won’t join NATO anytime soon, but the writing is on the wall that it will happen in the future. All it needs is a US president with balls and brains, and Putin or his successor will have to accept the inevitable. Putin couldn’t do anything about...
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    Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

    Russian incompetence is polluting the Black Sea: Readovka media outlet reported: “According to preliminary data, a hole was formed in the hull due to strong waves, after which the ship broke in half and began to sink.” One unconfirmed report stated: “Volgoneft-212 was built 55 years ago. It...
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    Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

    Putin will have no choice in this case. Ukraine will be aligned with NATO whether he likes it or not. Ukraine has decided to align with the West, and there is no turning back after this war. Putin lost Ukraine for good. What will be decided is just where the borders between Ukraine and Russia...
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    Live Conflict Syria After the Civil War

    Allowing Russia to keep the two military bases would be a huge mistake for the new Syrian government that would have dire long term consequences for the country. If Syria wants to have a chance at a better future, it must force the Russians to leave and build good ties with Israel. This is the...
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    Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

    This is obviously not true. By using meat wave tactics with poorly equipped soldiers, the Russians are losing men at a much higher rate than the Ukrainians. Ukraine is playing a defensive game where it inflicts a lot of damage with minimal losses on its side. They trade territory for a much...
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    Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

    It’s simple mathematics. If they lose 50 men to capture one sqkm, and Ukraine has 500k sqkm under its control, they would need to lose 25 million men to capture it all at the current pace. I was just proving to you how ineffective the Russians are fighting right now, and how unsustainable it is...
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    Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

    Yes, but that article also shows how ineffective they are while wasting so many lives, which means the Ukrainians are still mounting a very effective defence. ISW said that Russia lost more than 50 men for every square kilometer of captured territory. Ukraine had 600k sqkm pre-war, so they...
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    Live Conflict Syria After the Civil War

    I hope Turkey will not make the mistake to help Russia retain its Syrian bases. The opportunity to kick Russia out of the Mediterranean must be supported by all regional powers, including Turkey, Israel and the EU. This is a huge opportunity that should not be missed. Russia needs to be taken...
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    Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

    Hmm, you have a very strange way of evaluating the Ukrainians as “no longer able to put up much of a fight”. In the meantime, here are some of the estimated numbers from the battlefield: “Britain's defence ministry says that in November Russia suffered 45,680 casualties, more than during any...
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    Live Conflict Israel-Palestine War|Regional Escalations

    The moderation on this forum is very tolerant compared to other places, so we should not complain. I had my entire account banned forever on defencetalk.com because I was disputing the effectiveness of Covid vaccination campaigns, and this was considered “outrageous/crazy/conspiracy” stuff...
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    Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

    Meanwile, in the real world: Russia < Europe China < US Russia + China < Europe + US
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    Live Conflict Israel-Palestine War|Regional Escalations

    It seems it’s not going to happen: https://www.vavel.com/en-us/soccer/2024/11/05/1203198-security-concerns-force-uefa-to-relocate-besiktas-match.html But the match between France and Israel will be played on its normal schedule, so there may be some problems in Paris next week.
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    Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

    They had no problem when Finalnd joined NATO, which is right next to St.Petersburg. I wonder why. Maybe it has to do with the fact that they couldn’t afford a second front and were afraid that NATO would actually come to defend Finalnd. For Finland it did work like that. They joined NATO...
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    Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

    Most people who condemn Russia’s invasion of Ukraine also condemned the US invasion of Iraq and condemn Israel’s butchering of Palestinians. But when it comes to US invasions and the Russian invasion of Ukraine, there are three big differnces: 1) A US invasion is quick and succesful in...
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    Live Conflict Israel-Palestine War|Regional Escalations

    It is exactly the same. People coming from a differnt continent to settle the land. And they had a legal mandate back in the day, from the world powers of that time. British settlers had a mandate from the British Government, Spanish settlers had a mandate from the Spanish Monarchy, etc. That...
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    Live Conflict Israel-Palestine War|Regional Escalations

    Whether you use the term “abandoned”, or “left”, or “forced out”, or “sold the land”, or “migrated from”, or “moved”, or “were expelled”, or ”were conquered and had to flee”, etc., it is irrelevant. We’re talking about people who left that land centuries ago. They lost all their property and...
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    Live Conflict Israel-Palestine War|Regional Escalations

    The current state of Israel is made mostly of jews from Europe or America. Most of them have no connection to the Middle East, and even those who are actually descendants of the jews who left millenia ago, they have no right to claim a land their ancestors abandoned so many centuries ago...
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    Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

    Only time will tell if Trump will be able to deliver on his pre-election promises. Once he becomes president, he may find the situation to be much more difficult to deal with than what he expects. And there will be a lot of pressure on him to not give Putin a clear victory. The media will make...
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    Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

    What I’m talking abut is the proximity and the level of danger of each threat. The war is right now and it is far more dangerous. Climate change is just a theoretical threat in the distant future (even if we accept the curent “science” around it). Any discussion about very long term potential...
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    Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

    They would give up on Ukraine if the alternative would be the disintegration of Russia and complete collapse of the regime. If the West applied economic sanctions in a meaningful way, coupled with more help for Ukraine including capabilities to strike deep inside Russia (Especially against...

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