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It would be a good thing for all its neighbors, as they could finally live in peace without the fear of being invaded. It would be a good thing for all the countries where Russia is currently supporting rogue regimes with mercenaries, money, technology and weapons. It would be a very good...

If Ukrainians want to settle for peace, I support them, because they are doing the heavy lifting and the burden of deaths is on them. But if they are willing to go on fighting, it is the duty of the West to support them with money and weapons for as long as they are willing to fight, as they are...

I think that the West’s biggest mistake is their fear to let Russia collapse and turn into “Mad Max”. This should be the objective, not the scenario they try to avoid. I mean, if I were to choose an endgame scenario to my liking, it would be exactly what you described. Russia eating itself...

This is why Europe and Ukraine should not give in to Trump’s demands for a quick surrender-like peace. The longer the war goes on, the deeper the collapse of the Russian economy will be. With or without the US, Europe needs to continue to support Ukraine as long as it takes to bring economic...

Pakistani airspace is completely closed:

If it’s a lie meant to confuse your adversary, it may be wise. But if you are actually able to do that, you must be crazy to give away such valuable information for free and help your adversary to fix its communications.

The decision makers chose a very high risk / low reward strategy, and it backfired. I find it extremely irresponsible to completely ignore the enemy’s air defences and air force when deciding to do a “one time” strike. If you’re unwilling to do SEAD/DEAD because you want to avoid escalation...

The only thing it proves is that IAF has executed a very ill-prepared attack, with no consideration whatsoever to Pakistani air defences. When you desconsider your opponent, you risk making a fool of yourself. Many people think that modern weapons win wars by themselves, but this is not how it...

We shall see later today how Dassault Aviation stock opens in Paris. If it opens sharply down, than it might be a confirmation of a Rafale being downed. If it trades as usual, it would point to the opposite. Euronext Paris market opens in 45 minutes. Too bad it is very late here and I have to...

Where did you see Dassault Aviation stock go down? The market is closed in France at this hour, and yesterday it fell just a little, nothing special related to an event. Also, stock market movements are based on speculation, not confirmed information. So far, we don’t know for sure if any...

It’s crazy that they put limits on upside movements. Most stock markets only halt trading for downside movements…

That would be more credible, as it would be the older Mirage 2000 instead of the modern Rafale.

Is there a 20% daily limit for stocks on the Shenzen market? It seems that trading was halted after the stock jumped by 20%.

Yes, five jets seems extremely unlikely, but it is interesting to see if they had shot down one or two jets, and if they indeed managed to shot down a Rafale.

According to the CNN live reports on the situation, Pakistani sources claim they have downed five Indian jets, of which three are Rafales: ”In a statement released to reporters, the security sources said three French-made Rafale jets, one MiG-29 and one SU-30 fighter jets were downed “in...

Trump has repeatedly said this, in order to justify his surrender deal. He tries to present his surrender as a victory, in the sense that Russia is giving up the rest of Ukraine, which they would otherwise conquer. So, when Trump wants to broker a peace deal where Russia keeps all the land it...

Apparently, Netanyahu’s plane was barred from flying over Turkey, and this is why he cancelled his visit to Azerbaidjan: https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/report-netanyahu-forced-to-cancel-azerbaijan-visit-because-turkey-barred-him-from-airspace/

I perfectly agree with you here. It is a disgrace that European countries are willing to spend less on defending Ukraine than what they spent on Covid. The threat posed by Russia is many magnitudes higher than Covid, and it is perfectly known how to spend the money to defeat Russia, while with...

While I agree with this as a pragmatic solution, I think purchases from the US should be avoided as much as possible, and the excessive cash should be used to ramp up capacity in Europe and Ukraine. Give European companies big contracts worth billions of dollars so that they have the certainty...

The problem with this situation is that it will be very hard to justify sending money to Ukraine for countries like Australia or New Zealand, when the US is not only not giving money, but actually making a profit by selling military hardware (and also getting the minerals). Why should...