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Bro trust me, what the DC swamp fellas say at the slick highest level (5%) is very different to the instruction and operating norms of the inner layers (the 95%) which are always on the look for maximising their leverage....and who do most of the actual policy working groups with other...

TIFWIW: https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1497498201527521281.html 1/I am going to try to explain the irrational Russian Armed Forces behavior towards strategy, common thought, or even the chances repatriated SSO that are now POW try to murder a bunch of men with stars. 2/Here's where I will...

I dunno man, Russia is ramping up bombing on Kiev right now..... I don't think Zelensky is giving them any room on what they (Russians) have gone in wanting.

Nope. There will be no "toughness" from US on India.....especially before they get tough on Germany and EU for financing Russia to this large degree over the last 30 years first....and whatever they have done themselves. To make ACTUAL deployed amends on that for the next 30 years or however...

Its fairly obvious by now its the B or even C team mostly in these units used so far.... But it is (IMO) clear they expected some manner of capitulation from Ukraine by now...given there is no good investment into logistics supply and protection. Now Russia seems to be approaching big fork in...

Very much doubt that....

Remember we are only getting piecemeal footage....we dont know what the formations were and how a/c might have got separated from each other etc...

The Russian SEAD is awful basically. They go in to knock the AD out...looks like ukros keep things silent and eat the SEAD bombs.... ...knowing the 2nd wave has the real stuff to turn them on for....or they have the proper sensors and intel themselves (from NATO a/c nearby peering in) on the...

I dunno, I hope you are correct.....but I got a bad feeling about whats coming up with the West vs Russia....and they will be looking to maximise sanctions on Russia wherever possible.....and they know India is likely a ripe soft prize to illustrate/demonstrate it on....even though crux of the...

From BBC: Putin popularity could plummet - Russian policy expert We know that there have been numerous anti-war demonstrations in Russia and a host of Russian celebrities and influencers have shown their opposition to the war on their social media accounts. Now an adviser to the Kremlin -...

There are things India prioritises with Russia past Putin's Tsarism. Do I (as an individual) like that or prefer it that way? Nope....I despise Putin's guts and Tsarism's guts (as they portend to the power realm especially). I personally wish India was in a different situation to make a better...

Ally is not really the right word....but close enough. There are lot more things governing this stuff ....but those are two big ones. Then we see some stuff like how much Europe has imported from russia (and paid cold hard cash for) in the last 30 years...... compared to India. A lot of...

What has foreign policy in the end got to do with being secular and caring about human rights? Those are both internal issues to build upon. I can start a large conversation about what/how countries voted on (at the same UN) regarding their fellow muslim bengalis (and what they were facing)...

Its a typical liberal-western approach (not classical liberal, but the evolved neo-liberalism and current crop of progressivism) They have become so far removed from what conservatism is....that they do not understand what other conservatism (in other countries) is. That (understanding) is the...

Finally, what I've been saying for last few posts heh.

Russian SEAD is pretty horrid from what I've seen so far. There will be much more to analyse on this after the war is over and dust settles.

Its a bluff call....and I am glad NATO finally made it....I didn't expect one this soon tbh. There has likely been something planned behind the scenes with Ukraine in this scenario thats unfolded from the possibility tree mapped out).... Remember there is lot of people involved behind the...

Likely rotation phases to see/test ukraine and west too. Phase 2 will be after a few days if they proceed with it....you dont want to keep the same demoralised guys in the bridgehead and columns.....you have to rotate them with fresher bunch....this is already starting in places. It is (in...