Depends what is meant by Ukraine winning the war. IMO
1 Ukraine will not be able to force the Russian ground military to withdraw back into Russia
2 Ukraine will not be able to force the Russian ground military to retreat back to where is was 24 Feb 2022
3 economic crisis may force Russia to...
The longer this war goes on, the more problems Russia gives itself. It is running down its reserves, both financial and military. USSR ran itself into the ground financially and ended. Russia is heading in the same direction again, not that it will cease to exist but It will be much weaker than...
I get your thinking. A bit like if China invaded India and occupied 20% of India's territory, the sensible thing for India to do would be to surrender the occupied territory and its people to China to achieve a fair and just peace.
It should not be surprising that when a country is attacked by another country and is partially occupied by it, the country continues to resist even if it is gradually losing more and more of its territory. If the cost of peace is subjugation to a foreign power, many will reject surrender and...
One thing that concerns me about some Mk1A assembly being transferred away from HAL is that of HAL co-operating in TOT to another assembler. Will HAL co-operate fully or drag its feet?
The benefits of transferring some assembly away from HAL will be mitigated if HAL slows the process down.
How many Scalp/Storm Shadow/Taurus do France/UK/Germany have now?
How many of those can they release for use by Ukraine?
How many are produced each year?
Given the Sitara experience of discovering a fatal design flaw late in testing, would it not be risk reduction to check AMCA flies as expected ASAP? Could save the MOD a lot of money in the longer run.
There is another thing: actually getting AMCA into the air might increase public interest and...
700 billion euros is a lot of money but it may be a wise investment if it avoids further attacks by Putin on neighbouring countries. I think that cheaper would be to tighten sanctions, increase weapons supply to Ukraine and let Putin continue steering Russia towards long term economic contraction.
You may recall that when Ukraine was invaded and Zelensky was offered help to leave he responded by saying that he did not need a ride, he needed bullets.
Indeed. I have relatives in a couple of countries that were invaded by the Germany in WWII. They stood no chance of repulsing the might of Germany but they did not want to lose their freedom and live under tyranny so they resisted. Ukraine is in a far better position to resist Russia than their...
For Putin believers reading:
https://www.france24.com/en/live-news/20250214-russian-central-bank-sharply-raises-inflation-f
The central bank was expected to raise base rate further at the end of 2024 to contain inflation. Putin is the guy who it is said stopped the bank from raising base...
I don't count people living under military occupation as part of the occupying country's population. If India were to occupy part of Bangladesh, would India's population rise and Bangladesh's population fall?
If Ukraine were to occupy part of Russia, would Ukraine's population rise and...
I agree that Ukraine is losing on the ground but you do not address my observation that Russia has taken 3 years to occupy about 10% of Ukraine.
Russian inflation at an all time low? I suggest you listen to V Putin. He thinks that inflation is a problem. Would he say that if it was at an all...
With cities 'falling like dominoes', Russia should quickly occupy all of Ukraine. How long to occupy the rest of Ukraine? By the sound of things, just a few weeks or months.
A little bit of reality...
In 3 years Russia has occupied about 20% of the country and when it started the war it...