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What Taiwan provides to China (and the world at large more broadly) is also huge.... It is for example the literal single failure point for immense amount of processors/chips etc (especially at the highest tiers). That adds a huge amount of deterrence to keeping status quo....for all sides...

Ukraine at start (by most indications/analysis now) was sorely not expecting this war at all (i.e the final level of commitment to it by Putin et al.) So they could/did not do the early logistics interdiction....and they also maybe waited to see if Russians would do early withdrawal too (after...

Only with war we can actually see what SEAD and DEAD a country actually can exert. PRC has not gotten into one for it....so how would we know their performance?

It is what I do not understand. Two things can be wrong at the same time. Just because ones "friend" is doing same thing that ones "enemy" was doing earlier.....does not make it suddenly right. Some people are just too stupid!

Absolutely heartbreaking....

This is the kind of thing that PRC will not want to have with Taiwan for example:

Neil Hauer recent tweet thread: Something I've noticed over the past week or so here: almost every Ukrainian I spoke to has made it clear that they blame not only Putin, but the average Russian as much (or more) for this war. The view is: we overthrew our corrupt government, and they accept...

They can blab whatever they want in their filthy media... We know exactly what they will have to do first to get principled themselves on their own logic: https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10627511/France-Germany-Italy-sold-hundreds-millions-pounds-worth-arms-Russia-despite-ban.html...

https://topbizlink.com/russian-oil-exports-to-india-surge-as-europe-shuns-cargoes/ (original story: https://www.ft.com/content/5efc6338-3f01-4015-aedf-53a4a1944ca8 ) Russian oil exports to India surge as Europe shuns cargoes Delhi maintains close trading ties with Moscow despite western...

Ukrainians in coming days and weeks will most likely be doing their upmost to interdicting the russian supply chain from belarus to kyiv. Preferably if possible to do counter attack and maybe leave isolated Russian troops at Kyiv area. Similar to stalingrad situation etc. The positioning is...

Presser and forum meet:

Just need to hold the mirror and employ reverse uno cards were needed with the minefield coming out purely on their end itself: https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10627511/France-Germany-Italy-sold-hundreds-millions-pounds-worth-arms-Russia-despite-ban.html?ito=social-twitter_mailonline...

Awaiting confirmation:

https://asia.nikkei.com/Politics/International-relations/Indo-Pacific/Japan-to-offer-India-42bn-in-investments-during-Kishida-s-visit TOKYO -- Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida is set to announce a plan to invest 5 trillion yen ($42 billion) in India over five years when he visits the...

The main issue is keeping stuff on hair trigger (to do short - intermediate range first strike or tactical strikes)....makes those warheads very detectable and vulnerable to a first strike themselves. That costs lot of money to mitigate against (and retain CnC reliability + safety over...

Most likely spreading their commanders to hedge (in hardened bunkers) in next phases of the conflict if it broadens to something more direct with the West (or do the proper bluff to try indicate that to West) .....Read my last few replies.

Right now in another place, bunch of us are having a big debate over Russian nuke specifics. i.e where do they keep their best + most reliable ones.....in silos or subs? Our great mentor (sadly passed away from covid) there many years back estimated at best 60% reliability given the...

Ukrainian forces say they launched a successful counterattack against a Russian armored column in the Kyiv region. On March 15, RFE/RL correspondent Levko Stek surveyed the aftermath of the battle.

TIFWIW (i.e this is by no means verified or vetted...and could be part of the Russian or Western disinfo as well)....and interesting read nonetheless to muse a bit on.... Russian FSB whistleblower leak (section from March 13th internal letter): Operation “Gordian Knot” 1st Stage: Most likely...