It won't stop Israel even if Iran successfully demonstrates its nuclear capability and attaches a nuclear warhead to the tip of a ballistic missile. On the contrary, it will bring the US into the picture.
As I said, until I see a report of radioactivity detection from a US satellite, it is pure propaganda.
Anyway, successfully detonating a nuclear device is not enough. Iran has to turn it into a proper warhead for a ballistic missile. Dropping it from an aircraft and attaching it to a ballistic...
Propaganda won't stop Israel. If there is actual nuclear testing, the US satellites will detect radioactivity. The reported depth of 10km is too deep for nuclear device testing.
Israel won't stay silent? Israel wants Azerbaijan to cut the border access of Iran to Armenia. Iran gets some vital goods through Armenia since Armenia is a spoiled child of the West, western countries turned a blind eye to that trade for years.
Iranian air defense is non-existent now. Today, Israel started hitting ballistic missile armories. Israel struck one such place in Kirmanshah. Iranian salvo launch capability is 40-50 missiles per salvo at maximum. Iran still has a big missile stockpile. Israel will continue striking Iran at a...
If Iran can secure Chinese help with production, Iran can outproduce Israel massively. The production of high-tech interceptor missiles, such as Arrow, is challenging. Even the US has problems producing those missiles. The US can produce 500 PAC-3s per year, which have poor reliability...
Israel will have a problem with the interceptor missile stock if Iran keeps this tempo. Replacing Arrow missiles is not easy. I expect a big op from Israel to reduce Iranian missile stocks and production capability. This exchange is not favorable for Israel.
The Israeli Defense Committee authorized the use of deep bunker buster tactical nukes against Iranian underground facilities. According to simulations, due to deep underground detonation and low yield of the warhead, radiation exposure above the ground will be negligible. I expect Israel to go...
I expect Azerbaijan to invade the Zangezur corridor if Armenia doesn't implement the signed deal. Azerbaijan might cut the border connection between Iran and Armenia.
At some point, Turkiye will outgrow Israel, and the US will be too busy to commit vital assets to defend Israel. Until then, it would have been best if we had kept a low profile, but it seems this will be difficult going forward.