I dunno, I hope you are correct.....but I got a bad feeling about whats coming up with the West vs Russia....and they will be looking to maximise sanctions on Russia wherever possible.....and they know India is likely a ripe soft prize to illustrate/demonstrate it on....even though crux of the...
From BBC:
Putin popularity could plummet - Russian policy expert
We know that there have been numerous anti-war demonstrations in Russia and a host of Russian celebrities and influencers have shown their opposition to the war on their social media accounts.
Now an adviser to the Kremlin -...
There are things India prioritises with Russia past Putin's Tsarism.
Do I (as an individual) like that or prefer it that way? Nope....I despise Putin's guts and Tsarism's guts (as they portend to the power realm especially). I personally wish India was in a different situation to make a better...
Ally is not really the right word....but close enough.
There are lot more things governing this stuff ....but those are two big ones.
Then we see some stuff like how much Europe has imported from russia (and paid cold hard cash for) in the last 30 years...... compared to India.
A lot of...
What has foreign policy in the end got to do with being secular and caring about human rights?
Those are both internal issues to build upon.
I can start a large conversation about what/how countries voted on (at the same UN) regarding their fellow muslim bengalis (and what they were facing)...
Its a typical liberal-western approach (not classical liberal, but the evolved neo-liberalism and current crop of progressivism)
They have become so far removed from what conservatism is....that they do not understand what other conservatism (in other countries) is.
That (understanding) is the...
Its a bluff call....and I am glad NATO finally made it....I didn't expect one this soon tbh.
There has likely been something planned behind the scenes with Ukraine in this scenario thats unfolded from the possibility tree mapped out)....
Remember there is lot of people involved behind the...
Likely rotation phases to see/test ukraine and west too.
Phase 2 will be after a few days if they proceed with it....you dont want to keep the same demoralised guys in the bridgehead and columns.....you have to rotate them with fresher bunch....this is already starting in places.
It is (in...
Enforcing a NFZ would be tantamount to a war with NATO though.
NATO is already announcing providing air defence systems to ukraine (along with "other weapons").... to call that bluff Putin made (about instant reaction to outside help).
I doubt they will call it even harder than that....as...
More or less this was wargamed in by ukrainian commanders early.
They knew the bad hand they had been dealt with (by their politicians decision not to arm more intensively and mobilise earlier)....so it (russian shock and awe start) was among the 10 or so situations war gamed...and prepared...
This is what many russian simps cringely deflect around each and every time.
They just dont understand one bit the Tsarist psyche that drives Russian political class in the end.
Of course everyone else is going to have issues of being consistent + principled in support to Turkey or whomever...
It depends....sometimes the action merits a suicide. If you think about it a lot of operations in military combat involve some element of suicide when push comes to shove, you know you gotta make that decision to help the other brothers out.
India will have to pick a side very soon I think....much more firmly.
I do not think a CAATSA waiver will be done by US in light of what Putin is doing now.
I think France and Israel ecosystems will tip it enough to take clear call on Western side....but let us see.
Wherever possible in back...
I'll tell you right now that CCP (whatever sordid stuff they have inherited and do get up to in various cycles) psyche....are not quite the same as Russian tsarist psyche.
Consider what the respective inflictions have been (and their transmittance) from the Mongols.
China has lot of edifice...