Azerbaijan Armenia Tensions

Agha Sher

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Last clip we see multiple little explosions and then one large strike. Any idea what these are? Seems the drone was used by two different platforms for targetting.

The small explosions are MLRS rockets (BM-21 or similar), the bigger one is most likely the Turkish TRG-230 artillery missile.
 
D

dBSPL

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5 km left for Shusha. Last chance for Armenia to withdraw its army before the Laçin strait closes.
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Vergennes

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To me the liberation of Şuşa would be more symbolic than a real military strategic gain,given its cultural importance.
 

Glass🚬

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To me the liberation of Şuşa would be more symbolic than a real military strategic gain,given its cultural importance.

What? cutting that city will result in an even more strained supply route for the armenians, something they are not in a position to compensate meaning they will be even further pushed back.
 
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dBSPL

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Armenia has already entered the wolf-trap.

Agdam, Hocavend, even Hocali within the means of the Azerbaijani army. It can be dominated in a few weeks by giving weight to these areas.

So if the war slows down and Armenia gets more international support, it will continue to lose strategic towns at different points again. If the war does not slow down and Armenia loses Lachin, this time it will be under a complete blockade, and there will be a military collapse risk of Armenia.
 

Deliorman

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Let’s not get too comfortable with how Azeris are soon going to take Shusha and how basically it will end the war etc. Maybe there are some infiltrating forces of Azerbaijan that operate in the area but that doesn’t mean that Azeri forces are even close enough to the city to threaten it.


The video of that Armenian Minister that claims how Azeri forces are 5km away might just be a propaganda trick to rally Armenians and prepare them for a grand victory... even an imaginary one. Don’t be surprised if tomorrow Armenians claim how they pushed back the Azeri “forces” from Shusha etc. Until we see an Azeri flag waving over the town it’s not a won battle.
 

Vergennes

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Armenia has already entered the wolf-trap.

Agdam, Hocavend, even Hocali within the means of the Azerbaijani army. It can be dominated in a few weeks by giving weight to these areas.

So if the war slows down and Armenia gets more international support, it will continue to lose strategic towns at different points again. If the war does not slow down and Armenia loses Lachin, this time it will be under a complete blockade, and there will be a military collapse risk of Armenia.

Don't forget Sun Tzu,always allow an escape route to your enemy so there's an alternative to death.

The Armenians might not give up so quickly despite heavy losses and the NK and Armenian armies would prefer opposing a fierce resistance than being captured by the Azeris. (Given how they treat Armenian POWs too)
 

Xenon54

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Don't forget Sun Tzu,always allow an escape route to your enemy so there's an alternative to death.

The Armenians might not give up so quickly despite heavy losses and the NK and Armenian armies would prefer opposing a fierce resistance than being captured by the Azeris. (Given how they treat Armenian POWs too)
Azerbaijan is probably gonna drive them towards north out of Karabakh, closing Lachin corridor is absolutely necessary to finish the war fast and prevent further casualties on booth sides.
 

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