Got it.
Is there any plan to have PAL shipyard capacity/expansion for building with ToT these (3) destroyers or they (assuming funding allotted etc)have to be built for most part in foreign shipyard?
If its the latter, definitely India has little to no chance for this decade. Everything is near 100% commited already (for own domestic warship production) and being restructured (for expansion to catch up with the larger powers) where possible.
Yup, pretty much.
Yah, but the issue is shipyard capacity (for shipyards that have the capital equipment + mgmt + labour expertise i.e public owned big 4: MDL, GRSE, HSL, CSL) for warships.
Building one in India for export of new (large i.e destroyer, frigate etc) warship is basically not possible....everything is tied up.
Reorganisation + more funding to expand the public owned ones and build institutional trust etc with private ones will take time to achieve say export capacity.
@TR_123456 and I noticed the viewership had even touched 1000+ at times in recent days.
Yup thats all a big part of the reason. The civilian shipbuilding leveraging. However the nature of war has changed a lot since WW2, the capacities will be targetted much quicker by opponents.
I dont think there will be long term capacity operation/utilisation in the equation to the degree we saw in WW2 in a major world war today.
Even international logistics argument (often used as to why so and so routes are invested in and made as alternative to some shipping chokepoints)... I think is overrated.
Every sensitive node will be targeted as a piority by whichever opponent....a lot of these are and will remain extremely vulnerable. Large powers will want to have as much advantageous initial starting power + positioning as possible with all of this in mind.
The numbers are a bit old now (this was in the previous decade ~ 2000 - 2010), things are changing now as India economy and investment capacity grows in absolute levels that are required (roughly where china was in early 2000s, assuming the accounting of inflation is about the same which may not be the case in Chinese statistics but thats another story).
In any case a number of specific reasons are explored in this paper below ("productivity" issues along with suggestion to merge the 6 PSUs into just one):
Basically the public shipyards (which are preferred when it come to warships) suffer lack of investment and infrastructure given way the budgeting works from govt along with strong unionisation and associated corruption + bureaucracy norms caused by that.
The private shipyards that are more responsive/dynamic and have better accountability (from market pressures) and scope to grow (say using India's market capitalisation and debt market financing) and use their existing capacity etc, are not looked upon favourably for large warship builds....though some smaller ones have been given for now. Some also facing insolvency on top that needs to be sorted out first before recapitalisation of their capacity (whereas public shipyards will never face such insolvency like that).
This is exacerbated by lack of real volume of scale to leverage (in first place) like East Asia has in its shipyard raw output and labour + mgmt pools that Rai spoke to earlier.
That will take time to grow to anything appreciable, so in interim extra competent handholding is needed to account for that lacking, which is why the Admiral suggests merging PSU's as first step to generate more economy of scale there given the mental block in defence block about role of private sector here (and let private sector grow its commerce shipbuild side this decade and see where they stand next decade etc).
Otherwise there will just be piecemeal capacity expansion and iterative improvement separately which definitely will only just about manage to keep up with domestic needs, forget about export capacity:
State-run Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders Ltd is weighing plans to build a greenfield shipyard with a floating dry dock at Nhava Sheva, located across the channel where it currently operates, estimated to cost some Rs 3,000 crores to overcome capacity constraints, the top official at India’s biggest...
infra.economictimes.indiatimes.com
Maybe
@Gessler @Anmdt et al. can add their thoughts to this from anything they know.