oh come on, you're going to singlehandedly blacklists all those research papers ?? fine then.
yes,
sloanreview.mit.edu
foreignpolicy.com
People are too obsessed with the idea of young population. While it is true that a bulge at the bottom can provide vibrancy but it's increasingly not as relevant. We live in interesting times and are at the cusp of another era - post information age where robotics/AI will be the buzzword. Here scientific, managerial talent will be pivotal. A man in his 50s or 60s could be vastly more productive then a 20 year old. With increasing robotics and AI the lower jobs will be replaced thus making skilled or unskilled works redundant.
And flying on agenda articulated papers is delusional.
You can count on these theories as what the west has always believed for decades, and we'll see what will happen by the end of this decade.as @Nilgiri had previously posted this, you should read it, there's the answer
China Is a Declining Power—and That’s the Problem
The United States needs to prepare for a major war, not because its rival is rising but because of the opposite.
By that time US could have been broken into many independent states due to the demographic changes and racial strife.
oh come on, you're going to singlehandedly blacklists all those research papers ?? fine then.
ignorance is a bliss.
yes,
How Culture Gives the US an Innovation Edge Over China
Societies shaped by individualism may have an edge when it comes to growth through innovation.
that means you're born in 1963, where China has people's like MAO ruining the economy.
China rises up from the abyss by adopting free market capitalism, friendly relations with the west and other supporting factors such as young demography. those are the fuel to China's rise
now all of those factors are reversed, guess what will happen when this car (China) are running out on fuel. ??
as @Nilgiri had previously posted this, you should read it, there's the answer
China Is a Declining Power—and That’s the Problem
The United States needs to prepare for a major war, not because its rival is rising but because of the opposite.
wrong, the US is time and time again tested with these so called racial strife and appears to get along with it.
The fact is China gets more innovative every passing year, Chinese market is fast surpassing all western market, Chinese global share in global trade, economy and industries gets bigger each year.
Anyone can make wild claims, even there is chance that China's population will be halved in 80 years, US can break up in the same span of time, both are wild claims very few of us can live that long to see.
The world market has changed, now China is the world biggest market and China is the world biggest investor, you know what has changed, everything has changed.
foreignpolicy.com
These two tiny countries have no comparison with China, they don't have lands, population, natural resources and robust domestic market.Imperial Germany and Japan are textbook examples.
Germany’s rivalry with Britain in the late 19th and early 20th centuries is often considered an analogue to U.S.-China competition: In both cases, an autocratic challenger threatened a liberal hegemon. But the more sobering parallel is this: War came when a cornered Germany grasped it would not zip past its rivals without a fight.
For decades after unification in 1871, Germany soared. Its factories spewed out iron and steel, erasing Britain’s economic lead. Berlin built Europe’s finest army and battleships that threatened British supremacy at sea. By the early 1900s, Germany was a European heavyweight seeking an enormous sphere of influence—a Mitteleuropa, or Middle Europe—on the continent. It was also pursuing, under then-Kaiser Wilhelm II, a “world policy” aimed at securing colonies and global power.
But during the prelude to war, the kaiser and his aides didn’t feel confident. Germany’s brash behavior caused its encirclement by hostile powers. London, Paris, and St. Petersburg, Russia, formed a “Triple Entente” to block German expansion. By 1914, time was running short. Germany was losing ground economically to a fast-growing Russia; London and France were pursuing economic containment by blocking its access to oil and iron ore. Berlin’s key ally, Austria-Hungary, was being torn apart by ethnic tensions. At home, Germany’s autocratic political system was in trouble.
China Is a Declining Power—and That’s the Problem
The United States needs to prepare for a major war, not because its rival is rising but because of the opposite.
China today is what Japan and Germany is in the prelude before WW1 and WW2.
Basically a rising country, with little fuel left to sustain its ascendancy.
foreignpolicy.com
Till last year China was still the fastest growing economy in the world, industries, imports and exports all grew like crazy, at least much better than US which grew negatively, you can keep insist that China is declining, the west had been saying the same for 4 decades with more reasons than you listed, they wrote books about it, but let's wait and see what will happen when the time comes.duhhhh, as I said a big population is a double edged sword.
Since the late 2000s, however, the drivers of China’s rise have either stalled or turned around entirely. For example, China is running out of resources: Water has become scarce, and the country is importing more energy and food than any other nation, having ravaged its own natural resources. Economic growth is therefore becoming costlier: According to data from DBS Bank, it takes three times as many inputs to produce a unit of growth today as it did in the early 2000s.
China Is a Declining Power—and That’s the Problem
The United States needs to prepare for a major war, not because its rival is rising but because of the opposite.
www.reuters.com
foreignpolicy.com
