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Live Conflict Israel-Palestine War|Regional Escalations

Ravager

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contricusc said:
You are actually confirming my point. It is the US who wants China to attack now, when the US still has the upper hand. It is not in the interest of China to start a war now. China wins by playing the long game.
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And who said they going to jump in diretcly at first ?? The curtain hasn't been opened as yet . Only teasing snippet were being seen . But , the moment US bogged down ... That is the moment all suprises comes out and breaking the stalemate . Even the US recognized this . Hence the the 2 carrier batlegroup present . And they doubling it down for a notch too ... This old and weary croc can't afford to be seen as weak in front of alll the circling tigerfish and hippos alike ...

And all the opportunistic moslem countries ( Indonesia included ) are eagerly waiting for the new reshufling of an established order


☕☕ .
 
Gary

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So the U.S. will transfer 2 batteries of Iron Dome to Israel.

It was initially ordered for the Marine corps, intended for the defense of Guam. Now with the war in Gaza we might see more and more assets that are intended for U.S. planned defense in the Pacific to be transferred for Israeli use at the detriment of U.S. posturing in the Pacific.

Such was Israeli privilege that allows them to act as if the world rotate around them.

I hope they're not shocked once those privilege dried up.
 
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The United States and Israel are discussing the possibility of creating an interim government in the Gaza Strip with the support of the UN and the participation of Arab states, Bloomberg reports. According to his sources, discussions between the sides are at an early stage and will depend on developments in the Palestinian-Israeli conflict, in particular the ground operation of Israeli troops.


Negotiations between the US, Israel and Qatar with Hamas on the release of 50 hostages have failed, - The Wall Street Journal

Earlier, Hamas released two captured American women, Judith and Natalie Raanan (photo), and the parties discussed a temporary ceasefire, the supply of water to Gaza and the delivery of humanitarian goods.

However, according to the newspaper, the sides did not reach a consensus.


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Bogeyman said:
No, even if the economy collapses, the collapsed order still needs oil and gas. And this need applies not only to the civilian economy but also to the needs of the military.
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This is another reason why China won’t start a war. They don’t want to be cut off from Middle Eastern oil.
 
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contricusc

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Woland said:
I would argue it's the other way around. China has a short window of time when it came challenge the US due to demographics.

By 2100 US population is expected to increase to 434m, whereas China's is expected to decrease to 600mil. Consider this: China is currently 5x larger than US. By 2100 China will be 1.5x. Additionally it's worth noting that Canada is currently at 40 million, expected to rise to 54 million by 2100. Canada's foreign policy is practically a mirror of the US's.
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You can’t challenge a country in modern long range war based on demographics. The high population of China won’t help in a sea and air war, but it would be very costly to maintain and feed during an embargo.

If China and the US shared a large land border, your theory would make sense. But considering the geography, the high population is actually a liability for China, as it makes it much more vulnerable to internal strife if put under a blockade and starved of energy and food.

China has no realistic way to win a conflict with the US, and has a lot to lose from one. If their leadership retains a dose of sanity, they will not start a war.
 
Bogeyman

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contricusc said:
This is another reason why China won’t start a war. They don’t want to be cut off from Middle Eastern oil.
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While the order works like this today, the order may not work this way tomorrow. China is also aware of this. And they have to face it
 
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