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Live Conflict Israel-US vs Iran War (2026)

MadEvix

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I just love this guy tbh
Hakan Fidan knows how the game is played really well
He knows how Israel operates at the very least. He knows that Israel's lust for power, territory and blood wont stop at Iran but will sooner or later spread to Lebanon and Syria followed by Egypt, Jordan, and Turkey
It does him justice that he was the previous head of MIT




erez jisrael.png


A 100 years old roughly.
 

4MikeEcho

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MAGA is elected president of the US.

Houthis are illegal gang that controls only a part of Yemen. There is no any comparison here.
Yes thats your opinion of the Houthis. Neither you nor I live there . They may not have chosen in the civilized manner we may have but then after Jan 6th riot, that line becomes very then.

Yemenis can very well say that US is a dictatorship (regardless of the three branches of Govt were elected) and no checks and balances exist and one guy is pretty much calling the shots.


My point is every opinion can be perceived very differently from the other side to justify their higher moral standing. The Yemeni population clearly supports at least to some level the Houthis, much like the US minority population supports this war.
 

500

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There is much evidence of Israel provoking starvation in the enclosed population of Gaza. Some settlers actively blocked provision supply, too. Denial by Israel supporters is confounded by the evidence.




Famine is declared when at least two people (or four children) per 10,000 die each day from outright starvation or the interaction of malnutrition. That means in 1 year of REAL famine in Gaza would die at least 155,000 people (and since over half Gaza population are children that number would grow to over 233,000 in 1 year of REAL famine). In reality even Hamas ministry recorded only 440 deaths in 2 years (all had sever pre existing medical conditions). That's much much less that 1% required to declare a famine.
 

500

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Yes thats your opinion of the Houthis. Neither you nor I live there . They may not have chosen in the civilized manner we may have but then after Jan 6th riot, that line becomes very then.

Yemenis can very well say that US is a dictatorship (regardless of the three branches of Govt were elected) and no checks and balances exist and one guy is pretty much calling the shots.


My point is every opinion can be perceived very differently from the other side to justify their higher moral standing. The Yemeni population clearly supports at least to some level the Houthis, much like the US minority population supports this war.
That's not my opinion but undisputed fact. Houthis are just an illegal armed gang which first seized power in North of Yemen by force and then tried to take over South Yemen too (they were pushed back). They are no different from ISIS in that matter.
 

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Screenshot 2026-04-14 165313.jpg


Areas in Lebanon seized by IDF so far. Red are Sunni, Christian and Druze areas where IDF did not enter.

IDF encircled Hezbollah stronghold Bint Jbeil and took more than half of it. Some 50-100 Hezbollah are trapped in Bint Jbeil old city and their destiny is doomed. Overall nearly 1500 Hezbollah were killed in this war.

That in addition to 4000 Hezbollah killed in 2023-2024.

Ayatulas brough a total disaster upon Lebanese Shiites. First they initiated a useless war with Israel 1985-2000. Then again in 2006. Then they sent them to die for Assad in Syria. Then another disastrous war for Hamas.
 

Perun

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That's not my opinion but undisputed fact. Houthis are just an illegal armed gang which first seized power in North of Yemen by force and then tried to take over South Yemen too (they were pushed back). They are no different from ISIS in that matter.
No, it is just your opinion
 

fenris

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No, it is just your opinion
No thems the facts. Houthis are not the official government of Yemen. They are just a group that controls parts of Yemen. Kinda like the Cartels in Mexico, they control parts of Mexico but they are not the official government.
 

FiReFTW

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Trump has gone completely off the rails insulting everyone that doesn't cater to him or agree with him with profound insults.

This guy is singlehandedly going to completely ruin the US relations with every single nation apart from Israel for decades to come lol.
 

Perun

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No thems the facts. Houthis are not the official government of Yemen. They are just a group that controls parts of Yemen. Kinda like the Cartels in Mexico, they control parts of Mexico but they are not the official government.
Houthis have a very large support among the Yemeni people, and that says more about their legality than a Aden government that seems to be recognized by everyone except their own people.
 

TurkWolf

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Trump has gone completely off the rails insulting everyone that doesn't cater to him or agree with him with profound insults.

This guy is singlehandedly going to completely ruin the US relations with every single nation apart from Israel for decades to come lol.
We're witnessing the end of a superpower before our very eyes. They will still be strong no doubt, but that aura they had decades back is gone almost completely.

Also not sure if Trump came to stop the rot or have US destroyed from within.
 

500

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Trump has gone completely off the rails insulting everyone that doesn't cater to him or agree with him with profound insults.

This guy is singlehandedly going to completely ruin the US relations with every single nation apart from Israel for decades to come lol.
U are focused on Western Europe which rapidly loses any importance. The mighty French army was pushed out of Africa by bunch of drunk Wagner mercenaries.
 
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YeşilVatan

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My honest assessment is that this operation was really rushed. Militarily, the buildup was good. Bombing campaign was tactically successful (except for the kids school). It seems the administration 'glitched' into ignoring the Iranian capability to close the strait, and this is the root of the diplomatic problems. The diplomacy side of things was greatly neglected. There was no coalition building. No international law justification. In EU4 terms, Trump No CB declared on Iran.

Anyone who depends on energy from Hormuz is told to eat shit.
  • Europeans are pretty passive and lethargic but they are just humiliated by US leadership and I think this will have consequences in the future. Italians just got into a row with Israelis.
  • East Asians are panicking like crazy because they actually use the energy to build stuff, that's how their economy works. South Korean officials have been feuding with Israelis on twitter. I imagine Japanese decision makers are chainsmoking as their fuel storage strategy can only carry them for a few months more.
  • Gulf arabs are at the mercy of Iranians because if they decide to blow up the wells, there is nothing to realistically stop them from doing so. US prioritized air defence munitions away from them and to Israelis (lol).
  • Chinese are doing some shady stuff like sending a spy ship to the area and landing a cargo plane in Tehran. idk what happens with those but I think Iranian strikes have increased in efficiency compared to 12 day war.
Diplomatically, this war is a disaster for the US.

The point of no return is the global oil supply. If the oil wells are rendered inoperable for an extended period of time (think a few years), then the global economy has to adjust and this will send shock after shock to the US centric global finance infrastructure. My guess is it will cause a global depression.

So, why did US attack in this specific time? My guess is it's something to do with Bibi's political position, as well as Israel losing its grasp on the US public support. They decided to just go with it because they wouldn't be able to again.

I'm curious if they can turn the public opinion around. It seems impossible now. If the economy goes the way it goes, it will get a lot worse. Remember, Israeli state's survival is not determined in the ruins of Gaza or skies above Iran. It is determined at the American ballot.
 

TurkWolf

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Two worst enemies - Iran ayatulas and MB Qatar destroyed each other:

Whats the mood like In Israel though, how do they feel about US and Iran having ceasefire talks, or even peace?
Not going to lie, I kind of expected Israel and US to hit harder than they actually did.
So far it seems like a win for Iran. Even the markets are not bothered much by the war.
 

Anastasius

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So, why did US attack in this specific time? My guess is it's something to do with Bibi's political position, as well as Israel losing its grasp on the US public support. They decided to just go with it because they wouldn't be able to again.

I'm curious if they can turn the public opinion around. It seems impossible now. If the economy goes the way it goes, it will get a lot worse. Remember, Israeli state's survival is not determined in the ruins of Gaza or skies above Iran. It is determined at the American ballot.
I've seen a Twitter comment that basically went something like "in 100 years, Israel will either be Greater Israel or it will not exist at all".

Regardless of what one may think of Israeli justifications, they have absolutely f***ed their reputation on the global stage. I've never seen this many people in the US openly s***ting on them and almost everybody in the Middle East is either extremely wary of them or outright hates them. They can't really walk this back anymore, not that any of their political leaders seem interested in doing so.
 

Passenger

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Despite Beijing’s rising anger over the war in Iran, a country upon which it relies heavily for oil, U.S. President Donald Trump insisted his relationship with his Chinese counterpart remains strong. However, in a post on his social media network, Trump also dismissed Chinese concerns that its energy situation is becoming more precarious as the result of strangulation of the Strait of Hormuz and U.S. blockade of Iranian ports.

All this comes as Trump has been telling media outlets that he believes the war could soon end. We’ll talk more about that later in this story.

“China is very happy that I am permanently opening the Strait of Hormuz,” the American leader proclaimed on Truth Social, even as the flow of oil from the Middle East has been drastically reduced by the war. “I am doing it for them, also – And the World. This situation will never happen again. They have agreed not to send weapons to Iran.”

“President Xi will give me a big, fat, hug when I get there in a few weeks,” he added. “We are working together smartly, and very well! Doesn’t that beat fighting??? BUT REMEMBER, we are very good at fighting, if we have to – far better than anyone else!!!”



Newest bullshit, before the lockdown issue is completely resolved, he cannot visit China.
We were ready to watch how Trump and his slaves drove the vehicle off the cliff.

I have some friends in S.Korea and Japan, they tell that is a historical time for the people of those two country, they now think the communist neighbor is more rational than their US ally.
 

4MikeEcho

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That's not my opinion but undisputed fact. Houthis are just an illegal armed gang which first seized power in North of Yemen by force and then tried to take over South Yemen too (they were pushed back). They are no different from ISIS in that matter.
These along with Taliban and whatever other acronym we choose are just labels used to describe a set of people that don't buy into the narrative of democracy. I don't agree with them, and I don't buy into their idealogy, but like the US military, not agreeing with a group is not a reason to not understand how the adversary things. That is what US military is good at.

And its not just US adversaries that subscribe to the principle of using unhinged ways to get to power. Many of US allies do the same thing. Egypt's Sissi and Pakistan's Sharif all stole their elections but are closely aligned with us.

So Houthis are no more illegal than these countries or the monarchies in GCC.


Might is right: taliban are in power, houthis in power, and in the US on Jan 6th, they tried to approximate the same scenario. Those are all facts. How they got there or if they had polls and parliament matters to us, but does not matter to them or the population that supports them.

Saudis, UAE for 3 years bombed Houthis using our advanced tech to finally capitulate and agree to recognize them. If Saudi's can recognize them, then we can accept them as defacto power.
 

4MikeEcho

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Looks like it wasn't Russians providing targeting information. Iran had procured a satellite to do so.

ttps://www.yahoo.com/news/articles/chinese-built-satellite-iranian-hands-085829936.html

Chinese‑built satellite in Iranian hands helped track US bases​

 

4MikeEcho

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I've seen a Twitter comment that basically went something like "in 100 years, Israel will either be Greater Israel or it will not exist at all".

Regardless of what one may think of Israeli justifications, they have absolutely f***ed their reputation on the global stage. I've never seen this many people in the US openly s***ting on them and almost everybody in the Middle East is either extremely wary of them or outright hates them. They can't really walk this back anymore, not that any of their political leaders seem interested in doing so.
Today the Italians dropped them. Spain did so last year. Israel messed up the long game. US support for Israel declining.
 
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