Military Operations Syria

[Sanchez]

Stars realigned, after the touted Syrian offensive was stalled due to Israeli actions, looks like SNA and HTS wants to use the opening created by Hezbollah and Iran faltering. Talks are about the Idlib axis.

"The opposition operation in Syria, which I have been saying for a long time and it is not clear when it will happen, seems to be closer now. Spokespersons of the group are starting to speak out and threaten Assad."

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1841517924395200964

"According to a senior military source in the SNA, the opposition is in talks with Turkey about an operation in Aleppo city. Several SMO commanders have recently emphasized the possibility of an operation in the coming days."

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1841799349660942467

Meanwhile on the northeast, south of Mardin:

"Today in the morning, the Turkish Armed Forces and the Russian Military Police held a meeting at the Shirk border crossing in the western countryside of Derbesiyeh. Afterwards, the Turkish Armed Forces did not enter the area for patrolling and the Russians returned to the Russian base in Qamishli after completing their patrol."

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1841829567566102998

There's also this, claimed to be Turkish tanks and mraps near the border, but not geolocated or confirmed.

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1841827516190687427

And there's also this to consider.

"The first group of those who crossed from Lebanon to Syria has reached the safe zone line in Syria. They are trying to come to Jarablus. A mass migration that will start in Lebanon will move towards TR."

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1841839996161929248

 

[Sanchez]

More talks of something brewing.

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1842284404313383247

KKK chief also visited some bases in the region yesterday.

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1842093119539494977

 

[Lool]

Stars realigned, after the touted Syrian offensive was stalled due to Israeli actions, looks like SNA and HTS wants to use the opening created by Hezbollah and Iran faltering. Talks are about the Idlib axis.

"The opposition operation in Syria, which I have been saying for a long time and it is not clear when it will happen, seems to be closer now. Spokespersons of the group are starting to speak out and threaten Assad."

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1841517924395200964

"According to a senior military source in the SNA, the opposition is in talks with Turkey about an operation in Aleppo city. Several SMO commanders have recently emphasized the possibility of an operation in the coming days."

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1841799349660942467

Meanwhile on the northeast, south of Mardin:

"Today in the morning, the Turkish Armed Forces and the Russian Military Police held a meeting at the Shirk border crossing in the western countryside of Derbesiyeh. Afterwards, the Turkish Armed Forces did not enter the area for patrolling and the Russians returned to the Russian base in Qamishli after completing their patrol."

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1841829567566102998

There's also this, claimed to be Turkish tanks and mraps near the border, but not geolocated or confirmed.

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1841827516190687427

And there's also this to consider.

"The first group of those who crossed from Lebanon to Syria has reached the safe zone line in Syria. They are trying to come to Jarablus. A mass migration that will start in Lebanon will move towards TR."

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1841839996161929248

Like will the SNA invade the HTS in Idlib or will they attack Tel Rifat? Iam confused tbh

 

[Sanchez]

Like will the SNA invade the HTS in Idlib or will they attack Tel Rifat? Iam confused tbh

Everyone is. Looks like Tel Rıfat and surroundings, maybe outskirts of Aleppo. But if this is cancelled it would be the 8th or 9th cancelled operation in the last 5 years, so no reason to raise hopes up until it starts.

 

[Scott Summers]

This operation, would that be a operation against Assadists or against the SDF?

Because Erdogan was talking about reconcilation with Assad weeks ago.

 

[Kartal1]

From what we know so far the HTS is planning an attack on Aleppo. The SAA are sending reinforcements to Hama and Aleppo in preparation for a possible operation.

Reportedly HTS, SNA and Turkish representatives met in Turkiye and in result Turkiye opposed such a move and warned that a military/tactical equipment will be banned crossing into Syria. While SAA and HTS are preparing for a conflict Turkiye sent tens if not more than hundred military vehicles in Idlib and other hot areas in order to reinforce the military points in the area and gave the SNA an order for preparations. If HTS starts such an offensive and large scale military action begins SNA and Turkiye will be dragged in this situation and Turkiye will be forced to act on behalf of the HTS.

This situation can be viewed both as extremely dangerous, but also as an opportunity. So far reportedly Turkish representatives are pessimistic and warn of "heavy consequences". Together with the SAA reportedly also Hezbollah is moving forces towards Nubl and Zahra north of Aleppo.

SNA is exercising in preparation for action and reportedly TSK provided MANPADS theoretic and practical courses to SNA personnel.

Meanwhile provocations towards TSK and SNA positions continue.

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1844353448076337572

MIT continues hunting...

Three terrorists were neutralized in a MIT UCAV strike in Tal Rifat area.

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1844009161241350573

 

[Kartal1]

SNA night operation exercise.

 

[Saithan]

From what we know so far the HTS is planning an attack on Aleppo. The SAA are sending reinforcements to Hama and Aleppo in preparation for a possible operation.

Reportedly HTS, SNA and Turkish representatives met in Turkiye and in result Turkiye opposed such a move and warned that a military/tactical equipment will be banned crossing into Syria. While SAA and HTS are preparing for a conflict Turkiye sent tens if not more than hundred military vehicles in Idlib and other hot areas in order to reinforce the military points in the area and gave the SNA an order for preparations. If HTS starts such an offensive and large scale military action begins SNA and Turkiye will be dragged in this situation and Turkiye will be forced to act on behalf of the HTS.

This situation can be viewed both as extremely dangerous, but also as an opportunity. So far reportedly Turkish representatives are pessimistic and warn of "heavy consequences". Together with the SAA reportedly also Hezbollah is moving forces towards Nubl and Zahra north of Aleppo.

SNA is exercising in preparation for action and reportedly TSK provided MANPADS theoretic and practical courses to SNA personnel.

Meanwhile provocations towards TSK and SNA positions continue.

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1844353448076337572

MIT continues hunting...

Three terrorists were neutralized in a MIT UCAV strike in Tal Rifat area.

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1844009161241350573

Maybe that is what HTS is planning, but the degree of our involvement could be to limited, and perhaps HTS could suffer horrible losses. So what do we do with a rabid dog ?

SNA apparently doesn't have what it takes to whip HTS into obedience...

 

[Kartal1]

Maybe that is what HTS is planning, but the degree of our involvement could be to limited, and perhaps HTS could suffer horrible losses. So what do we do with a rabid dog ?

SNA apparently doesn't have what it takes to whip HTS into obedience...

The thing is that in Idlib in order to coordinate actions between Turkish supported groups and HTS there is a Fath al-Mubeen operations room. If HTS starts fighting the operations room will be active too. We can't allow SAA invasion in Idlib and the endangering of our military bases so most probably we will see a situation that is very similar to that of the times of Operation Spring Shield.

HTS for sure will suffer casualties and I hope this will be enough to deescalate. If by any chance Aleppo gets liberated I am not sure how HTS and SNA will share power there, so this will be another problem. Currently there are also a lot of Shia settlers and I don't think they will be safe there.

Question after question arises of which I don't have the answers...

 

[Saithan]

We can't allow an invasion, but we can't let those who open a front and leave the zone get back in. I was thinking of a Hammer and Anvil tactic, but it is risky. Unless the Russians can do fly by bombing of the HTS.

 

[Kartal1]

While Regime and Iranian militia reinforcements flow to every front on the west of Euphrates and especially Aleppo we are witnessing a new level of escalation

The opposition launched MANPADS fire against an An-30 reconnaissance aircraft that was flying under the escort of Russian warplanes in the western countryside of Idlib and Aleppo, with no casualties.

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1845417779295310329

While tension increases TSK moved more than 100 pieces of equipment in Idlib and other relevant points in the last week. It is not wrong to say that TSK movement started after the Commander of the Land Forces, General Selcuk BAYRAKTAROGLU visited the Joint Special Task Force Command Main Command Post in Kilis on the 2nd of October. Right after the visit rumors stated that TSK and the SNA are in preparations for a limited military operation (maybe Tal Rifat) exploiting the pressure on Hezbollah due to the conflict in Lebanon. Statements from some SNA commanders were also pointing at this. Not long after these initial rumors the information about an HTS, SNA, Turkiye meeting came and information started circulating about HTS initiative targeting Aleppo and military movement. Simultaneously Russian ISR flights started flying over opposition areas.

According to local sources an operation room was formed between SNA and NLF for an upcoming operation on Tal Rifat. Shortly after that statements by opposition commanders of the sorts of "All of the opposition movements should be united in this" started . My take on this is that on the news about a planned military operation against Tal Rifat, the HTS decided to exploit the situation and coordinate this military operation with a possible HTS led push on Aleppo, but Turkiye declined. I think that HTS is trying to throw us and the SNA under the bus. It is said that they plan operations not only against Aleppo, but also on the Hama and Latakia fronts.

So what do we have currently? We have a strong SAA force amassed in Aleppo and other points with the commander of the SAA 25th Special Task Division supervising the whole process. Russian fighter jets and ISR planes are flying in Idlib and Russian helicopters are patrolling. While we are still not sure what we are going to do and the HTS is continuing their military preparations for a possible offensive the SAA look like they are determined to launch a pre-emptive military operation on Idlib with Russian blessing. In the meanwhile Russian military equipment is flowing towards Tal Tamr from Aleppo and the Tabqa airport and it is thought that they are in preparations for the establishment of new military bases around the Tal Tamr area.

From this hour on I would only pray for our soldiers, friends and allies that are in the middle of this sh!tshow because by the looks of it we crossed the point of no return and something will surely happen. Lets hope for the best!

 

[Kartal1]

The RuAF launched a number of airstrikes at points in Idlib while the PKK/HRE directly targeted 3 Turkish bases in Operation Euphrates Shield territory. The majority (if not all) of the airstrikes did not hit any meaningful targets.

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1845784971299999973

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1845785995838431323

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1845822583922462816

Looks like Israel conducted a limited incursion into Syria. Well, guess where our beloved "mujahideen" from the Hezbollah are moving towards. No, wrong answer! They are reinforcing Aleppo (in preparations for being roasted by the TSK).

 

[Scott Summers]

The RuAF launched a number of airstrikes at points in Idlib while the PKK/HRE directly targeted 3 Turkish bases in Operation Euphrates Shield territory. The majority (if not all) of the airstrikes did not hit any meaningful targets.

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1845784971299999973

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1845785995838431323

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1845822583922462816

Looks like Israel conducted a limited incursion into Syria. Well, guess where our beloved "mujahideen" from the Hezbollah are moving towards. No, wrong answer! They are reinforcing Aleppo (in preparations for being roasted by the TSK).

We should not attack Hezbollah. They are not the enemy.

The real enemy is the one that burns women and children alive in their sleep.

 

[Saithan]

We should not attack Hezbollah. They are not the enemy.

The real enemy is the one that burns women and children alive in their sleep.

Tell that to Iran and Assad. Tell them to move their combat troops towards border with Israel.

 

[MhhJA]

We should not attack Hezbollah. They are not the enemy.

The real enemy is the one that burns women and children alive in their sleep.

Both are our enemies Israel and all shiite militias backed by Iran. If they'd get a chance both would compete to see which side could commit more atrocities to our people. They would butcher every living thing they find men, women, children even animals, like Israel in Gaza and the shiite militias in Syria. So don't talk like one side is better than the other they are not!
In general everyone foreign in Syria be it Russia, USA, Iran, Israel and all their proxies are our enemies and no side is any better than the other.

 

[Scott Summers]

Tell that to Iran and Assad. Tell them to move their combat troops towards border with Israel.

Iran asked Assad to attack the IDF tanks in Quinetra. It could be thay one chance to take the Golan heights back. He refused.

He will regret this. Iran is gonna kill Assad.

 

[Kartal1]

We should not attack Hezbollah. They are not the enemy.

The real enemy is the one that burns women and children alive in their sleep.

What are you talking about? Do you know how many Turkish soldiers were martyred by Hezbollah and other Iranian militias on the Tal Rifat road?

Priority number one is ensuring the security of the Turkish citizens and the national interests of Turkiye. Hezbollah is fighting shoulder to shoulder with the PKK in Tal Rifat.

What I say should be a clear message. We turned Hezbollah terrorists to ashes before and if needed we will roast them again together with their PKK friends.

 

[Kartal1]

Russia continues to conduct airstrikes in Idlib.

While the Regime moved tanks to Tal Rifat the TSK sent a 70+ pieces of military equipment in Idlib including artillery.

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1846129361096781951

TSK targeted Regime units on multiple points with mortars and heavy artillery. It is reported that a lieutenant of the SAA is killed and there are multiple wounded.

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1846126044476006641

The SAA's 25th Special Task Division entered Tal Rifat and established an HQ in the industrial area.

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1845964879988985993

 

[Saithan]

Russia continues to conduct airstrikes in Idlib.

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1846141107022778387

While the Regime moved tanks to Tal Rifat the TSK sent a 70+ pieces of military equipment in Idlib including artillery.

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1846129361096781951

TSK targeted Regime units on multiple points with mortars and heavy artillery. It is reported that a lieutenant of the SAA is killed and there are multiple wounded.

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1846126044476006641

The SAA's 25th Special Task Division entered Tal Rifat and established an HQ in the industrial area.

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1845964879988985993

So does that mean if we decide to take Tel Rifat that we're directly going to clash with Assad and Russia ?

 

[Slayer]

Iran asked Assad to attack the IDF tanks in Quinetra. It could be thay one chance to take the Golan heights back. He refused.

He will regret this. Iran is gonna kill Assad.

Source?