TR Nuclear Energy Program

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10%+10% is a significant portion of electricity production. You can’t simply replace that much of your energy supply in a few years. Do you remember when Iran cut off our natural gas, and we couldn't keep our industry running? Any conflict with Russia would cripple our economy, thus force our government to make concessions to prevent it.

That 10% is based on recent annual electricity consumption of Türkiye. So Türkiye is already able to cover that.
Do you understand what i mean?
 

Nilgiri

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True, Akkuyu is just a Russian Nuclear Power located in Turkey. If they don't to provide us energy, we cannot do anything about it.

Depends on fine print and what any (future) arbitration agreed upon is inside that.

Doubt Turkiye went in blind.
 

Sanchez

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If Russia controls the supply 10% of your electricity production, that is a very big dependence.
10% number is based on current consumption.
This is much more accurate with the long course projections that includes greens, LNG and other NPPs:
"It is estimated that Akkuyu will meet 5.5% of Turkey's energy consumption 8 years after it becomes fully operational, 4% by the end of its feed-in tariff period, and 1.8% by 2082, the end of its projected economic life."

Will we be able to shot down another Russian plane that violates our airspace?
I think you're underestimating how much Turkish/Russian relationship is based on transactionalism and how adept two countries are at compartmentalization. Turkey killed about 10 more Russian soldiers since the 2015 shootdown.

There are rumors about Russia preparing a big operation in Idlib
4 million refugees that possible operation creates is more devastating than Akkuyu not producing energy.

Russia is building a second NPP to Sinop
That is not yet clear.
 

Huelague

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By design, if it doesn't supply energy, Rosatom doesn't get paid. And it can only supply energy to Turkey, so only way for it to make money and recoup its 25 billion dollar cost is to sell energy to Turkey. We can use other energy sources, we have a huge LNG sector and US is always ready to sell.
For a much more facking price.
 
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