So the war came to an end. Lets check the results.
The beginning of Gaza war was a total catastrophe for Israel: 1200 killed, 210 alive hostages, including 10 soldiers. In addition Hezbollah and the Houthis also started their attack against Israel. Both aided by Assad Syria and Iran. First months of the war there were non stop rocket attacks on all Israel major cities both from Gaza and Lebanon.
7 Oct also drastically shattered Israel's deterrence, especially since propaganda spread stories about hundreds of Israeli soldier POWs dozens high ranking officers and generals (not a single officer was captured even lieutenant), hundreds destroyed tanks etc..
Israel is extremely sensitive to hostages and POWS. We gave 1000 prisoners (including Yahya Sinwar BTW) for 1 soldier. So with 210 alive hostages they could dictate almost everything.
So how the war ended?
Overall its's Israeli victory:
1) Israel returned 168 hostages alive (80%). The remaining were killed in captivity. No more alive hostages in Gaza. Thus Hamas lost cards to pressure Israel.
2) Israel still controls half of Gaza territory.
3) Rocket arsenal of Hamas is destroyed. They can't threaten Israeli towns anymore.
4) Border between Gaza and Egypt is totally cut off. So Hamas can't rearm.
5) All of the Hamas leadership which planned 7 Oct is eliminated + the symbol of Hamas Abu Obeida,
6) Trump's plan which was supported by all major Muslim countries, includes disarming of Hamas demilitarization of Gaza. This allows Israel strike Hamas in case they resume training and rearming. Like Israel strikes Hezbollah in Lebanon now.
7) Israeli economy remained stable.
8) Arab Israelis remained loyal, not even small riots during 2 years of war.
9) The Abraham accords remained intact.
10) No any serious sanctions imposed on Israel.
Hamas achievements:
1) They managed to kill 1700 Israelis (including 1200 on 7 Oct).
2) They inflicted heavy damage to Israeli economy.
3) They survived.
4) Most important is propaganda victory. They managed to push "genocide" and "starvation" narratives (using pictures of cerebral palsy kids). They totally dominated university campuses and tiktoks. Only time will show how long living will be this victory (trends are usually pretty short living).
On Hezbollah-Syria front we have a total decisive victory for Israel:
1) The entire leadership is destroyed, instead of supercharmismatic and strong leader Nasrallah we have a scared old man Naim Kassem.
2) Pager operation had heavy impact on medium command.
3) Hezbollah lost thousands and most of its missile arsenal.
4) Israel destroyed frontline Hezbollah villages and still controls 5 strategic points inside Lebanon,
5) Most importantly Syria is lost (which is the direct result of Hezbollah destruction) and now Hezbollah is isolated.
Iran front:
Israeli victory again.
1) Israel killed top IRGC commanders, including the guy who was responsible for connection with Hezbollah and Hamas since 1990-es.
2) Israel inflicted super heavy damage to Iran nuclear program (with US help).
3) Israel inflicted heavy damage to Iran missile program
4) UN sanctions are reinstalled on Iran.
Houthi front:
Here we have a Houthi victory. They inflicted naval blockade on Israel and fired rockets till the end.
Israel killed their ministers and chief of staff, but that does not really affect the Houthis.
Although only 1 Israeli civilian was killed from all the Houthis attacks. But naval blockade is very serious thing.
The beginning of Gaza war was a total catastrophe for Israel: 1200 killed, 210 alive hostages, including 10 soldiers. In addition Hezbollah and the Houthis also started their attack against Israel. Both aided by Assad Syria and Iran. First months of the war there were non stop rocket attacks on all Israel major cities both from Gaza and Lebanon.
7 Oct also drastically shattered Israel's deterrence, especially since propaganda spread stories about hundreds of Israeli soldier POWs dozens high ranking officers and generals (not a single officer was captured even lieutenant), hundreds destroyed tanks etc..
Israel is extremely sensitive to hostages and POWS. We gave 1000 prisoners (including Yahya Sinwar BTW) for 1 soldier. So with 210 alive hostages they could dictate almost everything.
So how the war ended?
Overall its's Israeli victory:
1) Israel returned 168 hostages alive (80%). The remaining were killed in captivity. No more alive hostages in Gaza. Thus Hamas lost cards to pressure Israel.
2) Israel still controls half of Gaza territory.
3) Rocket arsenal of Hamas is destroyed. They can't threaten Israeli towns anymore.
4) Border between Gaza and Egypt is totally cut off. So Hamas can't rearm.
5) All of the Hamas leadership which planned 7 Oct is eliminated + the symbol of Hamas Abu Obeida,
6) Trump's plan which was supported by all major Muslim countries, includes disarming of Hamas demilitarization of Gaza. This allows Israel strike Hamas in case they resume training and rearming. Like Israel strikes Hezbollah in Lebanon now.
7) Israeli economy remained stable.
8) Arab Israelis remained loyal, not even small riots during 2 years of war.
9) The Abraham accords remained intact.
10) No any serious sanctions imposed on Israel.
Hamas achievements:
1) They managed to kill 1700 Israelis (including 1200 on 7 Oct).
2) They inflicted heavy damage to Israeli economy.
3) They survived.
4) Most important is propaganda victory. They managed to push "genocide" and "starvation" narratives (using pictures of cerebral palsy kids). They totally dominated university campuses and tiktoks. Only time will show how long living will be this victory (trends are usually pretty short living).
On Hezbollah-Syria front we have a total decisive victory for Israel:
1) The entire leadership is destroyed, instead of supercharmismatic and strong leader Nasrallah we have a scared old man Naim Kassem.
2) Pager operation had heavy impact on medium command.
3) Hezbollah lost thousands and most of its missile arsenal.
4) Israel destroyed frontline Hezbollah villages and still controls 5 strategic points inside Lebanon,
5) Most importantly Syria is lost (which is the direct result of Hezbollah destruction) and now Hezbollah is isolated.
Iran front:
Israeli victory again.
1) Israel killed top IRGC commanders, including the guy who was responsible for connection with Hezbollah and Hamas since 1990-es.
2) Israel inflicted super heavy damage to Iran nuclear program (with US help).
3) Israel inflicted heavy damage to Iran missile program
4) UN sanctions are reinstalled on Iran.
Houthi front:
Here we have a Houthi victory. They inflicted naval blockade on Israel and fired rockets till the end.
Israel killed their ministers and chief of staff, but that does not really affect the Houthis.
Although only 1 Israeli civilian was killed from all the Houthis attacks. But naval blockade is very serious thing.