Ah nope, that wasn't victimhood narrative. My sentences are 100% factual.
However factual you feel your sentences are isn't the point. The point is what I've seen from certain Bangladeshis and their discussion reels...often with my own BD friends watching over my shoulder giving me some good context.
It wasn't meant towards you personally.
However, what I mean by 'huge problem' is, people see this India-BAL dynamic for what it is. And if a democratic government manage to come back into power tomorrow, its sentiment isn't going to be very friendly.
Who dares wins. The institution of democracy isnt solid enough to describe any govt as "democratic" in BD.
If the "sentiment" bleeds into anything untoward past an establishment-establishment unfriendliness, then we'll see how that goes then.
In the interim, India is fully multi-partisan on which party is friendly to India in BD.
Definitely not the ones that are pro-islamist or overtly islamist.
That is why IMO, Chinese approach is more effective. They work with whatever government in power and work toward long term economic integration, trade and infrastructure development. Consequently, In the end you can't ditch them no matter who comes and goes.
If you say so. There is enough anti-India sentiment in BD for them to do this for it to also be perceived as such....and what promise BD holds for Chinese strategy to begin with.
When the issue is closer to them like say Taiwan, Japan, Korea and the rest (that have developed some political pluralism etc), no, they dont quite work with whatever govt all the same (and where these occupy in the security paradigm promise for other powers, notably the US).
The Yasukuni shrine visits, what the first democratic elected KMT president of Taiwan had to say about it all (given his heavy pro-Japan sentiment) in general....forget the DPP stuff later....as just one small example of it.
Stuff that makes the CCP really upset, and then even more upset when you mention Mao actually paid major kudos to the Japanese actions in his country since it brought him to power in the end and the CCP still officially reveres Mao to a great degree... and gets caught in this particularly nauseous conundrum of own making that colours a lot about how they interact politically with these entities.
Similarly when the issue of what Bangladesh even was in first place, was closer in view to their basic interests in the region and their decision to not recognize BD for the first years it existed commensurately.
But now can China "ditch" Taiwan, Korea and Japan in some extreme way given what would be wrought by doing so? Nope. So will be the case for BD with India in all further hypotheticals. Neighbourhoods bake in lot of realities by the fact of what neighbours are in the end.
I totally agree with this. Hence, I don't necessarily blame India. This is how realpolitik works apparently. And ultimately it is our job to ensure how our system should function and not let other foreign powers jeopardize that.
But apart from this, even from realpolitik perspective, I think it can be questioned how sound India's strategy regarding BD actually is? I mean, more and more BAL is leaning toward PRC and if economy continues to worsen, BD will very likely to end up more entangled with PRC than previously. Besides, US now clearly wants a Regime change in BD.
BAL is the least worst option for India. How it conducts things with PRC would just be a plate that grows in new ways if other entities related to BNP-JeI-fellow travellers et al come to power and establish in any long term meaningful way. So its an even worse option. There's simply no upside to the other entities for India.
Disagree the US wants some regime change fundamentally, but they have reasons to put pressure on BAL like they do when they sense anti-incumbent pressure having really grown and advantages to be gained in that.
They know they exactly how much they buy from BD too, a phenomenon existing unlike China. i.e what investment actually matters as an integral in the end....rather than whatever gets laundered into varying degrees of success.
For all this talk after all of investment, theres a reason China buys very little from BD....and why BD's forex is now at the level its at.
The 1 billion forex injection being sought now is also from the IMF as expected, not from a Chinese bank. Common story as usual now.
Maybe the Chinese need to "work towards" things in different ways if they actually were genuinely comprehensive to BD (and all other countries too) and their interests are actually exactly what they claim they are. Guess a lot of things look good on brochures though.
So I see little to no entanglement with the PRC if they cant keep up right now on these more mundane measures the US can do easily given the US actually has put money where its mouth is far longer on what keeps BD financially viable and solvent on the international scene.
Then it would be hypocritical, unless you would support a hypothetical autocrat who could have been able to 'hold' more 'principles' in India than democratic BJP government.
Egypt is a very different country to both India and BD. I just said I sense some similar things going on with the BD context and Indian context too. Now what the intensities are, I rely on a larger network of people I trust in end. With the Egyptian one, the intensity was off the scale according to my Egyptian friends and the backdrop has its power precedence unique to Egypt in end.
I don't support autocrats, or democracy-abusers that launder autocracy (like the BJP) to varying degrees.
How the "who is less bad" (when say these 2 get into some power-struggle) thing goes when some SHTF in huge way, well that needs lot more details (and what is the situation in question) and thats a larger topic....given there are first of all lot of other political parties in India (running and functioning) and number of checks and balances in play institutionally... unlike Egypt where there is stark divide and folks have pretty much binary absolutes to pick from.
Edit- Could you please move this convo to BD-India relation thread? I don't want to derail this thread further and we could continue there if you want to reply.
Parts of it connect back to partition basis, islamist-majoritarian vs secular (whatever the faults and attrition of the latter)....so I will keep it here for now.
If there are enough requests for a move, I will do so.
I do request we should probably try bring the conversation back to partition as directly as we can. But the downstream and upstream of partition is going to be recurring thing in this thread too from time to time.