Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

UkroTurk

Experienced member
Land Warfare Specialist
Professional
Messages
2,452
Reactions
31 4,298
Nation of residence
Turkey
Nation of origin
Turkey
The occupiers plan to evacuate more than 3,000 workers from the Energoatom nuclear power plant.

Energodar, home soon 🇺🇦

IMG_20230510_112840_213.jpg
 

Woland

Committed member
Moderator
Ukraine Moderator
Messages
171
Reactions
4 564
Nation of residence
United States of America
Nation of origin
Ukraine
Russia's quota under this treaty was 6,400 tanks, 11,480 armored vehicles, 6,415 artillery systems, 3,450 aircraft and 890 helicopters.

If we look at the leaked Pentagon documents:
Tanks of the Russian Federation as of February 28, 2023:
• total was 3028
• destroyed 2048
• involved in Ukraine 419
• in storage [on the territory of the Russian Federation] 561

So more than two months ago, Russia had less than 1000 combat-ready tanks, whereas the treaty's limit was 6400. Russia can withdraw from the treaty as much as it likes, but this won't result in it being able to field more tanks.
 

Woland

Committed member
Moderator
Ukraine Moderator
Messages
171
Reactions
4 564
Nation of residence
United States of America
Nation of origin
Ukraine
Regarding the single tank in Russia's military parade. While it is amusing to mock this spectacle, the reality is that if Russia wanted to send 50 tanks to the parade, it certainly could have done so. In my opinion the Kremlin's logic here is different.

For a long time now Russian soldiers have been complaining about a lack of shells, artillery, tanks and other equipment. This was particularly heard across Russia as a result of Prigozhin's recent statements. If the Kremlin showed off countless new pieces of equipment while soldiers on the front reported struggling, it would have been received badly by their population and soldiers. From this we can draw another conclusion: the Russian government is worried about morale, both among the Russian population and among their troops, if they concluded that having a small parade with one tank would be less damaging than the alternative.
 

Relic

Experienced member
Canada Correspondent
Messages
1,588
Reactions
12 2,580
Nation of residence
Canada
Nation of origin
Canada
Czech Republic will donate 2 batteries (each consisting of 4 launchers + associated radars) of Kub air defense systems to Ukraine. According to the Czech Prime Minister Petr Pavel, his government will also send "quite a large number" of air defense missiles.


The Czechs are replacing the Kub systems with state-of-the-art Spyder systems that they have purchased from Israel and are ready for delivery.
 

Relic

Experienced member
Canada Correspondent
Messages
1,588
Reactions
12 2,580
Nation of residence
Canada
Nation of origin
Canada
Truthfully, It doesn't really matter what missile / rocket Ukraine gets, as long as it meets these 4 characteristics.

1. It has range between 200-300km, giving Ukraine the ability to execute strategic strikes in all of Ukraine, Crimea and when necessary, western Russia.

2. They are available in a quantity that will allow Ukraine the potential to saturate Russian air defense systems in selective regions. Russia has quality air defense systems. Ukraine needs a workable number of missiles to account for the fact that, inevitably, a good number of them will be shot down on the way to their target.

3. They have to be highly accurate, with a low probably of missing their intended target. Not only are many of the key Russian assets in the middle of populated areas, Ukraine all doesn't want the bad publicity associated with killing civilians like the Russians have. Furthermore, they can't afford to miss their strategic targets when they do get through Russian air defenses.

4. They have to either come with a launch platform, or be compatible with one of Ukraine's existing platforms. This one is, obviously, self-explainable.
 

Lordimperator

Experienced member
Indonesia Correspondent
Messages
4,748
Reactions
1 2,631
Nation of residence
Indonesia
Nation of origin
Indonesia
Truthfully, It doesn't really matter what missile / rocket Ukraine gets, as long as it meets these 4 characteristics.

1. It has range between 200-300km, giving Ukraine the ability to execute strategic strikes in all of Ukraine, Crimea and when necessary, western Russia.

2. They are available in a quantity that will allow Ukraine the potential to saturate Russian air defense systems in selective regions. Russia has quality air defense systems. Ukraine needs a workable number of missiles to account for the fact that, inevitably, a good number of them will be shot down on the way to their target.

3. They have to be highly accurate, with a low probably of missing their intended target. Not only are many of the key Russian assets in the middle of populated areas, Ukraine all doesn't want the bad publicity associated with killing civilians like the Russians have. Furthermore, they can't afford to miss their strategic targets when they do get through Russian air defenses.

4. They have to either come with a launch platform, or be compatible with one of Ukraine's existing platforms. This one is, obviously, self-explainable.

The news could fullfill poin 1 to 3, except which platform will be used for stormshadow? The Sukhois?
 

UkroTurk

Experienced member
Land Warfare Specialist
Professional
Messages
2,452
Reactions
31 4,298
Nation of residence
Turkey
Nation of origin
Turkey
IMG_20230511_131822_458.jpg

"Putin has put himself in a situation where he can’t win, can’t lose and can’t stop. "

"Putin’s Plan B is to disguise that Putin’s Plan A has failed. If this military operation had an honest name, it would be called Operation Save My Face."
 

Relic

Experienced member
Canada Correspondent
Messages
1,588
Reactions
12 2,580
Nation of residence
Canada
Nation of origin
Canada

The news could fullfill poin 1 to 3, except which platform will be used for stormshadow? The Sukhois?
I suspect Su-24 aircraft would be suitable launchpads for Storm Shadow, but would have required retrofitting to have taken part in quiet. Another possibility is that either the Polish or Slovak Mig-29s (or both) that were donated to Ukraine, have been upgraded in a manner that makes them compatible to carry the NATO weapon. I'm sure that problem has been solved.

More importantly, I'm interested in quantity. The reports claim that Ukraine has received "multiple" Storm Shadows, but we have no idea what that means. 10? 20? 50? 100?... IMO, in order for this to have a significant effect on thr battlefield, I'd hope the number is 50 at a minimum.

Most importantly, this crosses another imaginery line when it comes to weapons supply. Now that Ukraine has donated Storm Shadows, France can do the same. Americans can donate Tomahawks and Germany can donate KEPD 350s. Maybe Ukraine can get 100 multi-variant cruise missiles. That would add a lot to their strategic capability.
 
Last edited:
Top Bottom