Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

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Poland 🇵🇱 and Ukraine 🇺🇦 are negotiating the transfer of Poland's 14 remaining Mig-29s to Ukraine, along with their munitions and spare parts. In return, Poland is looking for Ukraine to share missile and drone technology and expertise with Warsaw. A deal is expected to be finalized soon, with Ukraine receiving the remaining airframes throughout 2026, as additional FA-50 and F-35 aircraft arrive from South Korea 🇰🇷 and the United States 🇺🇸.

The 14 Polish Mig-29s will serve to help reinforce Ukrainian squadrons as Ukraine slowly runs out of SU-27 aircraft and transitions it's Mig-29s into SU-27 front line role.

Meanwhile, approximately 60 of Ukraine's F-16s are now in their possession, with approximately 12 being used for training outside of Ukraine. The number in Ukrainian possession is expected to climb to 70+ units in 2026, before reaching 90'ish units in 2027. Right now it's estimated F-16 training in USA 🇺🇸, Romania 🇷🇴, Denmark 🇩🇰 and Canada 🇨🇦 is capable of producing 30-40 F-16 pilots per year, meaning that by mid-2026 Ukraine should finally be able to fly a large volume of sorties them.

Finally, Mirage-2000F5 donations from France 🇫🇷 will continue in 2026, as France receives more modern replacements. Ukraine is hoping to grow it's fleet of Mirage-2000s to approximately 16-20 units in the short term, with pilot training in France capable of producing limited quantities of pilots each year.

 

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