Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

[Spitfire9]

While Russia is advancing on the ground, I think a little perspective is needed. As 2025 nears its end more than one source I have read estimates that at the end of the year Russia will occupy 1% more of Ukraine's territory than it did at the start of year.

Russia is not enjoying a runaway victory on the ground. It is slowly advancing at a high cost in the lives of its soldiers.

Perhaps Russia will occupy 1% more of Ukraine in 2026. Perhaps 2%. Perhaps 0.5%. I don't think any of those numbers are important to the outcome of the war.

 

[Relic]

While Russia is advancing on the ground, I think a little perspective is needed. As 2025 nears its end more than one source I have read estimates that at the end of the year Russia will occupy 1% more of Ukraine's territory than it did at the start of year.

Russia is not enjoying a runaway victory on the ground. It is slowly advancing at a high cost in the lives of its soldiers.

Perhaps Russia will occupy 1% more of Ukraine in 2026. Perhaps 2%. Perhaps 0.5%. I don't think any of those numbers are important to the outcome of the war.

Yep. Russia chewed hundreds of thousands of men this yesr, and war materials that are hard / impossible for them to replace... And by year's end they occupy about 20.5% of Ukraine. Approximately 1% more than they did last year at this time.

What's worse is that the Kramtorsk / Slovyansk fortress belt is the most heavily fortified part of the entire country. So as Pokrovsk slowly falls, Russia will spend yet another year, chewing up people and resources, simply to the defensive lines in and around Kramatorsk and Slovyansk, which will be another slaughter.

If the EU follows through on Thursday and uses Russia's frozen assets to extend Ukraine a $180+ Billion usd line of credit, while maxing out PURL purchases in the USA at $12-$18 Billion usd per year... Russia is going to be in a horrible place. Ukraine will have the money it needs to fund it's war campaign, max out domestic arms production, make substantial purchases from Europe, and using PURL l, return American weapons inflows to the levels they were at when Biden was sending the Ukrainians $1 Billion+ usd worth of weapons each month.

Manpower with continue to be an issue for Ukraine without significant reforms, however, their access to Western technology and superior weaponry will be significantly amplified, at a time when Russia keeps borrowing at insane rates to fund the war and slowly runs out of armor, air defense, etc.