Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

[Spitfire9]

While Russia is advancing on the ground, I think a little perspective is needed. As 2025 nears its end more than one source I have read estimates that at the end of the year Russia will occupy 1% more of Ukraine's territory than it did at the start of year.

Russia is not enjoying a runaway victory on the ground. It is slowly advancing at a high cost in the lives of its soldiers.

Perhaps Russia will occupy 1% more of Ukraine in 2026. Perhaps 2%. Perhaps 0.5%. I don't think any of those numbers are important to the outcome of the war.

 

[Relic]

While Russia is advancing on the ground, I think a little perspective is needed. As 2025 nears its end more than one source I have read estimates that at the end of the year Russia will occupy 1% more of Ukraine's territory than it did at the start of year.

Russia is not enjoying a runaway victory on the ground. It is slowly advancing at a high cost in the lives of its soldiers.

Perhaps Russia will occupy 1% more of Ukraine in 2026. Perhaps 2%. Perhaps 0.5%. I don't think any of those numbers are important to the outcome of the war.

Yep. Russia chewed hundreds of thousands of men this yesr, and war materials that are hard / impossible for them to replace... And by year's end they occupy about 20.5% of Ukraine. Approximately 1% more than they did last year at this time.

What's worse is that the Kramtorsk / Slovyansk fortress belt is the most heavily fortified part of the entire country. So as Pokrovsk slowly falls, Russia will spend yet another year, chewing up people and resources, simply to the defensive lines in and around Kramatorsk and Slovyansk, which will be another slaughter.

If the EU follows through on Thursday and uses Russia's frozen assets to extend Ukraine a $180+ Billion usd line of credit, while maxing out PURL purchases in the USA at $12-$18 Billion usd per year... Russia is going to be in a horrible place. Ukraine will have the money it needs to fund it's war campaign, max out domestic arms production, make substantial purchases from Europe, and using PURL l, return American weapons inflows to the levels they were at when Biden was sending the Ukrainians $1 Billion+ usd worth of weapons each month.

Manpower with continue to be an issue for Ukraine without significant reforms, however, their access to Western technology and superior weaponry will be significantly amplified, at a time when Russia keeps borrowing at insane rates to fund the war and slowly runs out of armor, air defense, etc.

 

[Lool]

Lool, Zelenskyy sends you greetings from Kupyansk, which you supposedly occupied

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1999460913401987446

First of all, If you have been following this shitty war from the beginning, then you will realise that nearly all the cities that Zelensky posed infront of has been lost to Russia. In fact it is so infamous that many users on X are calling it the Zelensky curse

Finally, Zelensky posted a fake video bro

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2000091742750523829

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2000191079560183908

 

[Lool]

While Russia is advancing on the ground, I think a little perspective is needed. As 2025 nears its end more than one source I have read estimates that at the end of the year Russia will occupy 1% more of Ukraine's territory than it did at the start of year.

Russia is not enjoying a runaway victory on the ground. It is slowly advancing at a high cost in the lives of its soldiers.

Perhaps Russia will occupy 1% more of Ukraine in 2026. Perhaps 2%. Perhaps 0.5%. I don't think any of those numbers are important to the outcome of the war.

The problem is that last year, Russia's gain was less than 0.5% of Ukrainian territory. This indicates that the rate at which Ukraine is losing men is more detrimental to Ukraine than Russia's casuality rate to Russia's offensive operations.

This is what the Western media fails to mention or doesnt want to mention to be exact

This is why Trump is trying to make a peace deal; he knows it is just not sustainable for Ukraine in the long run anymore

 

[Relic]

It's looks increasingly likely that later this week the European Union will free up a loan mechanism for Ukraine of approximately $200 Billion usd, that will be paid back using confiscated Russian financial assets. At $100 Billion usd per year, the funds are designed to cover 2/3 of Ukraine's Government and military budget for the two year period of 2026 and 2027. If the plan passes later this week, step 1 in Europe's plan to take the invasion of Ukraine into their collective hands will be complete. As Donald Trump prepares significantly sever the U.S. role in Europe's defense matters, this will mark beginning of Europe fighting for itself.

With the Russian asset backed loan in place, the next step is to ask individual EU countries + Canada , Britain and Norway to continue to dig deep and support Ukraine use their own budgetary funds to augment the loan and increase the military support to Ukraine through programs such as PURL, the Czech Ammunition Initiative and the Danish model of direct support for Ukraine's domestic defense industry, where it is cheaper to build many weapons than it is in the West.

Below are some figures detailing planned support from Ukraine's Allies in 2026, over and above the loan being discussed.

Germany : $13.5 Billion usd
Norway : $8.4 Billion usd
Britain : $6.0 Billion usd
Sweden : $4.8 Billion usd
Netherlands : $4.5 Billion usd
Canada : $3.0 Billion usd
France : $2.0 Billion usd (estimate)
Italy : $1.5-2.0 Billion usd (estimate)
Denmark : $1.5 Billion usd
Spain : $1.0 Billion usd
Belgium : $1.0 Billion usd
Poland : $1.0 Billion usd (estimate)
Portugal : $250 Million usd
Lithuania : $250 Million usd
Latvia : $120 Million usd
Estonia : 117 Million usd

Total: $49 Billion usd

These are the numbers that have been made public to this point. Numerous other countries have not yet detailed what their respective financial support will look like. It's safe to assume that the support will rise to over $50 Billion usd, however.

If we are to assume that Ukraine gets approximately $100 Billion usd via the Russian asset loan, and a further $50 Billion in funding EU countries, they are set to receive an influx of approximately $150 Billion usd in 2026, and a similar number in 2027. That's a massive surge funds, thr likes of which Ukraine has not received in any year of this war. If there was ever an opportunity for Ukraine to significantly increase the strength of their military via an insane weapons buying spree, 2026 and 2027 are the years in which to do it.