Big problem with Ukraine is that the PAC-3 missiles they use that successfully intercept the Iskander and Kinzhal missiles are running out. US cant produce enough of them to meet the numbers needed. Russians are saturating the battlefield with these so called hypersonic missiles. They are hyoersonic in midcourse. But they slow down in terminal phase and are intercepted by the PAC-3s.
Another problem is that Ukraine need to fire minimum 2, more likely 3 PAC-3s to intercept a Kinzhal or Iskander.
Where as big majority of the Russian missiles were being intercepted before May this year, now that the PAC-3 quantities are less, the interception rate has fallen sharply.
Also, a PAC-3 is around 4 million dollars a piece. Yet it costs Russians 400 to 500 thousand dollars to produce an Iskander. When Russia fires 6 Iskander at Kiev at a cost of 3 million dollars, Ukraine has to respond with 12 to 18 PAC-3s at a cost of 48-72 million dollars. That is unsustainable.
US can’t produce enough PAC-3s. Their production is capped at 650 PAC-3 a year. Yet Russians can produce this amount of missiles in a quarter.
This is a very good live experiment we as Turkiye should be watching very carefully. Interceptors like siper block 3 should cost much less than the incoming target missiles.
There are ominous developments in Russia’s aerial bombardment of Ukraine but the West is failing to understand the dangers.
cepa.org