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EU countries seek urgent plan B to fund Ukraine​

Officials are looking at an EU bridging loan to help Kyiv stay afloat if they can’t agree on using Moscow’s frozen state assets in time.
November 26, 2025 4:12 am CET
By Tim Ross, Gregorio Sorgi and Bjarke Smith-Meyer

BRUSSELS — European countries are working on an emergency plan B to stop Ukraine running out of money early next year in case they cannot reach a deal on raiding Russia’s frozen assets to fund Kyiv’s war effort.

At a summit a month ago European Union leaders hoped to agree on a proposal to use Moscow’s immobilized reserves for a €140 billion “reparations loan” to Ukraine but the idea ran into fierce opposition from Bart De Wever, the prime minister of Belgium, where the money is held.

Now, with peace talks intensifying, and Kyiv running short of cash, the question of what to do with the Russian assets has taken on a new urgency. “If we don’t move, others will move before us,” said one EU official, granted anonymity like others cited here, to speak freely.

European officials suggested Donald Trump’s new peace drive could help solidify support for the plan to use the frozen funds for a reparations loan. The cash would only become repayable to Moscow in the unlikely future scenario that Russia agrees to pay war damages, under the plan.

EU diplomats expect European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen to order her officials to present a draft legal text on the reparations loan within days as momentum grows for a solution. “The next step is now that the Commission is ready to present a legal text,” von der Leyen told lawmakers in Strasbourg on Wednesday, without specifying when the document would be put forward.

But despite intensive talks between Belgium and Commission in recent weeks, De Wever still has concerns about legal liabilities and the risk of retaliation from Moscow if the Russian funds were used for the loan.

So policy specialists in Brussels are now turning to how to help Ukraine in the event that the reparations loan proposal does not come together in time for EU leaders to sign off on it at a summit on Dec. 18.

One option gaining support is for a “bridging” loan, financed by EU borrowing, to keep Ukraine afloat during the first months of 2026, according to four officials. That would allow more time to set up the full reparations loan using the Russian assets in a way that Belgium can live with, to provide a longer term solution.

Two diplomats said Ukraine could be asked to repay the initial bridging loan to the EU, once it has received funding from the long-term reparations loan. Another possibility would be a long-term solution involving a combination of the reparation loan and joint EU borrowing.

“I cannot see any scenario in which the European taxpayers alone will pay the bill,” von der Leyen told lawmakers on Wednesday.

EU countries' envoys discussed the options with the European Commission at a meeting in Brussels on Tuesday. Countries including France, Germany, the Netherlands, Lithuania and Luxembourg all pushed the Commission to make progress on proposals to finance Ukraine, according to one official briefed on the discussion.

The prospect of a bridge financing model had been raised on Nov. 4 by EU Economy Commissioner Valdis Dombrovskis, who noted: "The longer we now run delays, the more challenging it will become."

Urgency​

The Commission is acutely aware of the need to get a solution in place urgently, with Kyiv warning it faces running out of money in the first few months of next year.

On Tuesday, French President Emmanuel Macron said EU allies will finalize "in the coming days" a solution that will "secure funding" and "give visibility to Ukraine."

In the longer term, the reparations loan is widely seen as the only game in town. There is no appetite among EU member countries to dip into their own national budgets to send cash grants to Ukraine. Many are already struggling with budget deficits and high borrowing costs. Persuading the Belgians to come on board ultimately is therefore seen as key.

“We hope to be able to solve their hesitation,” one EU diplomat said. “We really do not see any other possible option than the reparations loan.” One idea would be to “combine the reparations loan option with one of the other options” the diplomat said. But this must “not take too much time because of course there’s a sense of urgency now and it’s pressing.”

There are still problems with creating a bridging loan using joint EU borrowing, which some commentators have described as “eurobonds” though others dislike the term.

Perhaps the biggest obstacle will be that this kind of EU borrowing would require unanimous support from the bloc’s 27 member countries and Hungary has long opposed new measures to help finance Ukraine’s war effort.

It is possible, however, that casting the bridging loan as designed for Ukraine’s reconstruction, rather than for funding its war machine, would help.

Another factor will be the renewed momentum for a peace deal as Trump’s team seeks to push officials from Ukraine and Russia closer to agreeing terms. The evolving drafts of a peace proposal refer to using the frozen assets to fund Ukraine’s reconstruction. European officials reacted with dismay last week to the idea contained in the original American draft for the U.S. to profit from the use of these assets.

EU leaders are now hopeful that they have convinced Trump’s team that they must have the final say over what happens to these assets, as well as over the timing of European sanctions on Russia being lifted and on Ukraine’s path toward membership of the EU, diplomats said.

Clea Caulcutt and Esther Webber contributed reporting. This article has been updated.

 

Soldier30

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A Russian Kh-38 missile strikes a temporary Ukrainian army base. To avoid casualties during the assault on the building, a decision was made to launch a missile strike, using a Su-34 fighter-bomber. The video was filmed in the Vovchansk direction of the Kharkiv region, near the village of Vilcha.
Judging by the video, the Kh-38 missile completely destroyed the Ukrainian building and damaged a neighboring one.

 

blackjack

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Russians are calling the agreement a "basis" or a "foundation" meaning they would be asking for more shit from that agreement.
 

blackjack

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I am pretty sure the oil attack on Kazakhstan works against the interests of the US trying to drive a wedge between Russia and Kazakhstan.

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Relic

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The Netherlands 🇳🇱 announced a new military aid package for Ukraine today in the form of a $290 million usd contribution to a PURL package from the United States 🇺🇸. PURL packages are valued at $500 million usd, therefore, the Dutch will be teaming up with an undisclosed nation (at least to this point) who will provide the other $210 million usd to complete the purchase. The package will will consist of the following:

- Air Defense Missiles (NASAMS/Patriot)
- AIM-9 and AIM-120 Missiles (F-16s)
- Recon and Kamikaze Drones
- Sustainment and Spare Parts for F-16s


 

Relic

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Italy 🇮🇹 has announced a new military aid package for Ukraine, it's 12th package of the war. In keeping with Italian "tradition" the contents of the package have not been divulged, although anonymous sources have stated that the package contains, among other things, armored vehicles and SAMP/T air defense missiles.

Italy 🇮🇹 also signaled that they will join the list of countries contributing to the PURL initiative to buy U.S. made weapons directly for Ukraine. The Italians did not announce how much money they'd be donating to the PURL purchase.

 

Relic

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Today Luxembourg 🇱🇺 announced a $17 million usd pledge towards a PURL package from the United States 🇺🇸.

Meanwhile, Germany 🇩🇪, Norway 🇳🇴 and Poland 🇵🇱 indicated that they will team up to jointly fund a PURL package in December.

Politico is reporting that Australia 🇦🇺 and New Zealand 🇳🇿 are expected to jointly announce their co-funding of a package in the coming days.

Mark Rutte has indeed indicated that the goal is for Ukraine's allies to contribute AT LEAST $1 Billion usd per month to the PURL initiative in 2026. That would include the purchase of 24 packages, valued $500 million usd each. Rutte also noted that while the majority of Europe's key players + allies in Canada 🇨🇦, Australia and New Zealand have joined the funding initiative, some key funders have not yet made their intentions known. Italy 🇮🇹 has agreed to provide funds, but hasn't detailed how much support they are willing to contribute. Meanwhile, Britain 🇬🇧 and France 🇫🇷 have not yet contributed to PURL, instead focusing on domestically made weapons for Ukraine. Meanwhile, Greece 🇬🇷, Portugal 🇵🇹 and the Czech Republic 🇨🇿 are examples of mid sized European countries Rutte and the rest of the EU hope to convince to step up.

If Ukraine's Allies are going to fund the $12 Billion usd project in 2026, I suspect it would like something like the following....

Germany 🇩🇪: $2 Billion usd
Norway 🇳🇴: $1.25 Billion usd
Canada 🇨🇦: $1.25 Billion usd
Netherlands 🇳🇱: $1Billion usd
Spain 🇪🇸: $1 Billion usd
Sweden 🇸🇪: $750 Million usd
Denmark 🇩🇰: $750 Million usd
Britain 🇬🇧: $500 Million usd
France 🇫🇷: $500 Million usd
Italy 🇮🇹: $500 Million usd
Finland 🇫🇮: $500 Million usd
Poland 🇵🇱: $500 Million usd
Belgium 🇧🇪: $250 Million usd
Czech Republic 🇨🇿: $250 Million usd
Australia 🇦🇺: $250 Million usd
Greece 🇬🇷: $250 Million usd
Portugal 🇵🇹: $100 Million usd
Latvia 🇱🇻: $100 Million usd
Lithuania 🇱🇹: $100 Million usd
Croatia 🇭🇷: $100 Million usd
Estonia 🇪🇪: $50 Million usd
Luxembourg 🇱🇺: $50 Million usd
New Zealand 🇳🇿: $50 Million usd
Bulgaria 🇧🇬: $50 Million usd
Romania 🇷🇴: $50 Million usd
 

Relic

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As expected, Australia 🇦🇺 and New Zealand 🇳🇿 have jointly announced a new military aid package for Ukraine valued at $110 million usd. The package consists of the following...

- Tactical Air Defense RADARS
- Military Engineering Equipment
- $65 million usd contribution to the PURL Initiative to purchase weapons from USA 🇺🇸 for Ukraine.

Note: Ukraine is also in conversation with Australia surrounding the transfer of additional Bushmaster APCs, as well as Australia's soon-to-be-retired fleet of Eurocopter / Airbus Tiger attack helicopters.


 

Oublious

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Kushner and Witkoff are now talking in Russia, what kind sell out are they talking about?
 

Spitfire9

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President Vladimir Putin has warned again that Ukrainian troops must withdraw from Ukraine's eastern Donbas region or Russia will seize it, rejecting any compromise over how to end the war in Ukraine.

"Either we liberate these territories by force, or Ukrainian troops will leave these territories," he told India Today. Moscow controls around 85% of Donbas.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has ruled out ceding territory.

So, no peace in Ukraine for some time. When did Russian-backed fighters start trying to take the Donbas? Was it 2014?

About oil/gas revenues:

Russia's oil export revenues, measured in rubles, have plunged 50% this year, tumbling from the equivalent of 7.6% of GDP to just 3.7%, according to Goldman's analysis.

The bank's report landed just as the Russian Finance Ministry disclosed that oil and gas tax revenues fell 34% from a year ago, underscoring the fiscal strain.

I guess Russia's economy is now contracting. I think that figures released end January will show that Q4 2025 economic output was lower than Q4 2024 economic output... if the figures are not doctored. There is some speculation that inflation figures published are understating the real level of inflation. For example, officially inflation in October was 7.7%. Many analysts place the true inflation rate at a far higher level.
 
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Spitfire9

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A picture is worth a thousand words...

 

Spitfire9

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If Ukraine's Allies are going to fund the $12 Billion usd project in 2026, I suspect it would like something like the following....

Germany 🇩🇪: $2 Billion usd
Norway 🇳🇴: $1.25 Billion usd
Canada 🇨🇦: $1.25 Billion usd
Netherlands 🇳🇱: $1Billion usd
Spain 🇪🇸: $1 Billion usd
Sweden 🇸🇪: $750 Million usd
Denmark 🇩🇰: $750 Million usd
Britain 🇬🇧: $500 Million usd
France 🇫🇷: $500 Million usd
Italy 🇮🇹: $500 Million usd
Finland 🇫🇮: $500 Million usd
Poland 🇵🇱: $500 Million usd
Belgium 🇧🇪: $250 Million usd
Czech Republic 🇨🇿: $250 Million usd
Australia 🇦🇺: $250 Million usd
Greece 🇬🇷: $250 Million usd
Portugal 🇵🇹: $100 Million usd
Latvia 🇱🇻: $100 Million usd
Lithuania 🇱🇹: $100 Million usd
Croatia 🇭🇷: $100 Million usd
Estonia 🇪🇪: $50 Million usd
Luxembourg 🇱🇺: $50 Million usd
New Zealand 🇳🇿: $50 Million usd
Bulgaria 🇧🇬: $50 Million usd
Romania 🇷🇴: $50 Million usd
My congratulations and gratitude for all the research needed to come up with those numbers.

Short of the wheels coming off the Russian economy - which looks increasingly probable to me in 2026 - the war will probably continue. I guess that Ukraine's war costs (weapons, essential infrastructure repairs to keep the country functioning, army/air force personnel costs etc) are 5+ billion USD a month. Could be 10 billion USD a month. Whereas there are many analyses made publicly where Russia's economy, finances and war spending are concerned, I have seen none regarding Ukraine.

Unfortunately generous European support of 10 or 20 or 30 or 40 billion USD in 2026 looks unlikely to be enough to keep Ukrainian resistance adequately financed, now that the US has halted support for Ukraine and sees the place as a potential profit centre.

IMO Europe needs to wake up, pull out all the stops and really commit to a Russian defeat on the battlefield and to the destruction of Russia economically. If Europe does not grasp the nettle financially speaking and provide Ukraine with massive support now it is likely it will end up spending hundreds of billions USD more in the next few years than if it helped Ukraine now.
 
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blackjack

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1765073490495.png

1765073548810.png


Losses
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What is factually known

1. Anyone that calls a ceasefire 1st contradicts the statements of what their losses are in comparison to their adversaries of why the so called "winners" need a time break while the other doesn't.

2. The U.S. made the concessions for Ukraine; there was a tweet that Zelensky supported it, Europe then comes in and makes disagreements on it, Zelensky pulls out and sides with Europe. While the U.S. is playing bad cop and Europe is playing good cop no one has asked the worst cop yet being Russia on the proposed peace deal. If Ukraine was winning Zelensky would have not initially agreed to the US before listening to Europe to pull out of it.

3. Orban has been caught a few times with Trump mocking the idea of Ukraine's victory like Trump asking if he thinks Ukraine can win he responds miracles can happen and Trump just went along with that statement. The US has funded more than half of NATO's spending, them leaving the responsibilities to Europe in 2027 suggests they have some kind of Intel in how they think this war will end if they thought about "shifting responsibilities" like they no longer see a point in trying to shift east and doubt anyone cares about Moldova after Ukraine to be of any strategic use.

4. Blinken atleast during the Biden administration suggested in November 2024 that Ukraine lowers the mobilization age to 18 before they let congress pass any kind of large spending bill. Assuming if there was an agreement it would have sparked headlines everywhere of manpower shortage that even the most bias news sources couldn't cover it up to make anything positive out of it.

It doesn't matter who would have won the US election, one side would have just speeded up the war to end faster (not in Ukraine's favor since they disagreed with passing another mobilization law to lower the age) The other side that did win suggest they offer concessions without asking if the Russians agreed to it who would have obviously asked for more. I personally gave up listening to 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025 and maybe 2026 of the Russian economy crashing any day now. The further hilarious part is Syria's new leader asking Russia for some kind of military assistance against Israel.
 

Iskander

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While the question was not directed at me, I would like to add that I share your opinion about Russia’s economy, and I think Trump’s current attempt at ending the war is a desperate attempt to save Russia from total economic collapse.

Trump is trying to save Putin from bankruptcy, in the same way that Russian banks saved Trump decades ago from his own bankruptcy.

It is important that Europe blocks the attempts of Trump’s administration to force Ukraine to capitulate, because if the current “peace” talks collapse, Russia will not be able to avoid economic collapse.
I believe the widespread belief in Ukraine about Trump's possible secret ties to Moscow is most likely a conspiracy theory (although I acknowledge that Trump sympathizes with Putin).

Trump is a businessman and views geopolitics from a businessman's perspective. Putin understands this and offers him all sorts of grandiose projects, such as vast oil and gas fields worth trillions of dollars. Unfortunately, Whitkoff, Trump's representative in negotiations with the Kremlin, is also a businessman.
Trump also lacks empathy, and despite his claims to have ended eight wars in eight months, he seems more concerned with golf than with matters of war and peace, including in Ukraine.

I have no doubt that in all of Whitkoff's meetings with Putin's representative Dmitrov, where Putin slyly persuaded Trump, the conversations revolved more around "joint" business projects than about Ukraine. Putin is trying to deceive Trump and bring Ukraine under his complete control at any cost. Putin has no interest in these so-called "joint projects." After all, even before Russia's attack on Ukraine, several major joint Russian-American projects existed!
Where are they?!
What happened to them?!
Putin, furious at the sanctions, simply canceled them.
These grandiose projects will suffer the same fate.
They say Trump has already gone bankrupt in business four times.
I hope he doesn't bankrupt America.
 

mehmed beg

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My congratulations and gratitude for all the research needed to come up with those numbers.

Short of the wheels coming off the Russian economy - which looks increasingly probable to me in 2026 - the war will probably continue. I guess that Ukraine's war costs (weapons, essential infrastructure repairs to keep the country functioning, army/air force personnel costs etc) are 5+ billion USD a month. Could be 10 billion USD a month. Whereas there are many analyses made publicly where Russia's economy, finances and war spending are concerned, I have seen none regarding Ukraine.

Unfortunately generous European support of 10 or 20 or 30 or 40 billion USD in 2026 looks unlikely to be enough to keep Ukrainian resistance adequately financed, now that the US has halted support for Ukraine and sees the place as a potential profit centre.

IMO Europe needs to wake up, pull out all the stops and really commit to a Russian defeat on the battlefield and to the destruction of Russia economically. If Europe does not grasp the nettle financially speaking and provide Ukraine with massive support now it is likely it will end up spending hundreds of billions USD more in the next few years than if it helped Ukraine now.
Well this might sound a bit odd , but Spain, Italy, Netherlands and Slovenia are withdrawing from Eurovision for the sake Israel.
So only what really matters to the European leaders is Israel and their own chairs, it is pretty obvious.
So war will go on as long as the Jewery wants it. How much of damage they want to induce to Europe, basically that what it is.
Of course, that is suitable for for Russia. Any lie , any nonesense just to grab something. These things happened before.
This i just prolonged agony.
 

contricusc

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Trump is a businessman and views geopolitics from a businessman's perspective. Putin understands this and offers him all sorts of grandiose projects, such as vast oil and gas fields worth trillions of dollars. Unfortunately, Whitkoff, Trump's representative in negotiations with the Kremlin, is also a businessman.
Trump also lacks empathy, and despite his claims to have ended eight wars in eight months, he seems more concerned with golf than with matters of war and peace, including in Ukraine.

While Trump is a businessman and sees everything through a transactional point of view, he has a weak spot for Putin. He is simply too soft whenever he speaks to Putin. I do’t believe in conspiracy theories that Putin has something on Trump, but I do believe that Trump is a very frustrated beta male who feels very insecure whenever he meets strongmen.

Trump can be very aggressive and arrogant when he confronts democratic leaders, but he is very attentive with dictators. With Kim Jong Un, he went from being publicly called a ”dotard” to granting him a meeting.

As for Whitkoff, he is just pathetic. The Russians humiliate him whenever they have the chance, by keeping him waiting for hours before he can meet his master, and he continues to kiss Putin’s backside.
 

blackjack

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Even if Trump didn't win the elections, like the Biden administration Harris would have kept pushing Ukraine to lower the mobilization age before passing any huge spending bill, but Ukraine pretty much declining their last request just shows that Ukraine's leadership is more desperate to cling to power as long as they can then it ever was about winning the war.

Before anyone accuses my 4th point that I am lying the information is still all archived on the web.
1765122534281.png


The funny part is that I think Zelensky is happier that Trump won because the other administration began pressuring them to lower the draft age which would have pushed the war to ending faster then slower.
 
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