TR Unable to withstand the energy crisis, European aluminum producers flocked to Türkiye

Bogeyman 

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Unable to withstand the energy crisis, European aluminum producers flocked to Turkey.

The pressure of the energy crisis on aluminum is increasing. Production in Europe fell to its lowest level since the 1970s. The fact that the production cost was much higher than the price of the product hit the manufacturer in Europe. This crisis, which took Europe captive, was both a challenge and an opportunity for the aluminum producer in Turkey. Production started to shrink in factories that increased billet casting capacity last year. However, the fact that the European manufacturers who were stuck in a corner turned to Turkey for contract manufacturing opened a new door of opportunity.

Emre Köksal, CEO of Alumet Aluminum, which is preparing to cooperate with Europe, said that many European manufacturers, who had to cut down or stop their production, are looking beyond the border to protect their brand value and market share. Evaluating the effects of the crisis on Turkey, Köksal stated that European companies turned to contract manufacturing in order to survive and said, "Turkey is one of the addresses preferred by these companies." Köksal gave the following information:

Demand for 'luxury' metal slumps in recession


“Due to the supply problems experienced last year, there was an increase in billet casting capacity all over the world, including Turkey, in order to meet the demand. However, this year, inflationary pressures, shrinking demand due to recession concerns and the cost shock created by the energy crisis triggered by the Russia-Ukraine war caught the European producer by surprise. Europe could not produce and lost the market. Aluminum is a metal that can be described as 'luxury' because it is used in higher segment products.

Therefore, consumption is adversely affected in times of crisis. The decline in consumption due to the concerns of economic recession hit the producer. They are looking for the solution in contract manufacturing. As Alumet Aluminum, we are also negotiating with European companies. We are working to develop cooperation between companies that have market in Europe and companies like us that have production power in Turkey.”

Turkey stands out, China cannot take back the market

Expressing that the freight problem in the Far East, antidumping practices up to 40 percent and the restrictions of COVID-19 in China brought Turkey to the fore, Köksal pointed out that despite China's efforts, it could not regain its market share because it was stuck with freight and high tariffs.

THEY ARE FIGHTING TO SURVIVE

Aluminum production in Europe fell to its lowest level since the 1970s. Because now the cost of production has exceeded the price of the product. The cost of electricity needed to produce a ton of aluminum in Germany last week was $4200. It had exceeded $10,000 the previous month. The London Metal Exchange futures price is $2,300 per ton. At the end of this quarter, the price is estimated to be around $2,200. Over the 12-month period, prices are more likely to stay closer to $2,000. This means that the restrictions are likely to accelerate over the winter.

They were in danger of extinction

Experts warn that if the problem grows in Europe, some companies may disappear. Norsk Hydro ASA will stop production at a large facility in Slovakia this month. German aluminum giant Speira GmbH has announced that it will reduce its aluminum production in Germany by 50 percent due to rising energy prices. “Once gone, aluminum smelters are not going to come back,” says Mark Hansen, CEO of metal trading house Concord Resources Ltd. Similarly, Uday Patel, Wood Mackenzie's senior research manager, warns, "Once things get better, there are smelters that may never start their operations again." Wood Mackenzie estimates that Europe is losing about 1 million tonnes of annual aluminum production capacity, and Patel says it's about a percent of that. He says he expects 25 to be permanently restricted, with another 500,000 tonnes "highly vulnerable" to closure, according to Wood Mackenzie's estimates.



Foreign direct investment to Turkey in July reached 1.7 billion Euros.
 

Xenon54

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Unable to withstand the energy crisis, European aluminum producers flocked to Turkey.

The pressure of the energy crisis on aluminum is increasing. Production in Europe fell to its lowest level since the 1970s. The fact that the production cost was much higher than the price of the product hit the manufacturer in Europe. This crisis, which took Europe captive, was both a challenge and an opportunity for the aluminum producer in Turkey. Production started to shrink in factories that increased billet casting capacity last year. However, the fact that the European manufacturers who were stuck in a corner turned to Turkey for contract manufacturing opened a new door of opportunity.

Emre Köksal, CEO of Alumet Aluminum, which is preparing to cooperate with Europe, said that many European manufacturers, who had to cut down or stop their production, are looking beyond the border to protect their brand value and market share. Evaluating the effects of the crisis on Turkey, Köksal stated that European companies turned to contract manufacturing in order to survive and said, "Turkey is one of the addresses preferred by these companies." Köksal gave the following information:

Demand for 'luxury' metal slumps in recession


“Due to the supply problems experienced last year, there was an increase in billet casting capacity all over the world, including Turkey, in order to meet the demand. However, this year, inflationary pressures, shrinking demand due to recession concerns and the cost shock created by the energy crisis triggered by the Russia-Ukraine war caught the European producer by surprise. Europe could not produce and lost the market. Aluminum is a metal that can be described as 'luxury' because it is used in higher segment products.

Therefore, consumption is adversely affected in times of crisis. The decline in consumption due to the concerns of economic recession hit the producer. They are looking for the solution in contract manufacturing. As Alumet Aluminum, we are also negotiating with European companies. We are working to develop cooperation between companies that have market in Europe and companies like us that have production power in Turkey.”

Turkey stands out, China cannot take back the market

Expressing that the freight problem in the Far East, antidumping practices up to 40 percent and the restrictions of COVID-19 in China brought Turkey to the fore, Köksal pointed out that despite China's efforts, it could not regain its market share because it was stuck with freight and high tariffs.

THEY ARE FIGHTING TO SURVIVE

Aluminum production in Europe fell to its lowest level since the 1970s. Because now the cost of production has exceeded the price of the product. The cost of electricity needed to produce a ton of aluminum in Germany last week was $4200. It had exceeded $10,000 the previous month. The London Metal Exchange futures price is $2,300 per ton. At the end of this quarter, the price is estimated to be around $2,200. Over the 12-month period, prices are more likely to stay closer to $2,000. This means that the restrictions are likely to accelerate over the winter.

They were in danger of extinction

Experts warn that if the problem grows in Europe, some companies may disappear. Norsk Hydro ASA will stop production at a large facility in Slovakia this month. German aluminum giant Speira GmbH has announced that it will reduce its aluminum production in Germany by 50 percent due to rising energy prices. “Once gone, aluminum smelters are not going to come back,” says Mark Hansen, CEO of metal trading house Concord Resources Ltd. Similarly, Uday Patel, Wood Mackenzie's senior research manager, warns, "Once things get better, there are smelters that may never start their operations again." Wood Mackenzie estimates that Europe is losing about 1 million tonnes of annual aluminum production capacity, and Patel says it's about a percent of that. He says he expects 25 to be permanently restricted, with another 500,000 tonnes "highly vulnerable" to closure, according to Wood Mackenzie's estimates.



Foreign direct investment to Turkey in July reached 1.7 billion Euros.
Electricity demand for Alu production is insane, Turkey itself produces big part of its electricity from imported fossil fuels, there is no electricity abundance in Turkey which might cause a problem in the future as long as the issue is not adressed.
 

Kedikesenfare

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Electricity demand for Alu production is insane, Turkey itself produces big part of its electricity from imported fossil fuels, there is no electricity abundance in Turkey which might cause a problem in the future as long as the issue is not adressed.
Think again.
 

Bogeyman 

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Electricity demand for Alu production is insane, Turkey itself produces big part of its electricity from imported fossil fuels, there is no electricity abundance in Turkey which might cause a problem in the future as long as the issue is not adressed.
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MWh, which is 658 euros in Germany today, will be 1000 euros in 2023. But still the price will not exceed 200 euros in Turkey. That's why they come to Turkey. To be able to produce for free!

No, this is what you don't want to understand. Electricity prices in Turkey are something like free for factories that are completely export-oriented.!
 

Bogeyman 

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@Bogeyman

Interesting article about European companies rushing to invest in Turkey asap.

Unfortunately it is only available in German, though, you can use Google translate to get the gist.

While opening the title, I quoted Mr. Alper. In fact, the link you gave was a source of the news "They are flocking Turkey to invest with 1.7 billion euros".
 

Bogeyman 

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Why would i not want to understand that? The pricce is completely unrelated to my post...
No, the price has a lot to do with it. Because the Turkish market regulates its production in TL. This allows them to crash their production costs. If we were EU members, we would be using the euro. And production would not be so cheap.
 

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EU will find a new something to discriminate. They’ll blacklist companies using fossil, coal erc for their production or such. Using environment as an excuse to tip the balance back to their own companies favor.
 

Saithan

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No, the price has a lot to do with it. Because the Turkish market regulates its production in TL. This allows them to crash their production costs. If we were EU members, we would be using the euro. And production would not be so cheap.
Doesn’t that only matter if we pay for fossil fuel in TL ? If we pay in Euro or usd but regulate internally with TL it’ll still be expensive unless RTE and AKP make the population bear the cost.
 

Bogeyman 

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Doesn’t that only matter if we pay for fossil fuel in TL ? If we pay in Euro or usd but regulate internally with TL it’ll still be expensive unless RTE and AKP make the population bear the cost.
EU countries will soon be crushed under the Russian oil embargo. However, we will continue to buy Russian oil with TL.
 

Saithan

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EU countries will soon be crushed under the Russian oil embargo. However, we will continue to buy Russian oil with TL.
Well what’s the price do we know ?

I know Russia is burning gas that can’t be exported. So ad long as Turkiye gets the the gas cheaper compared to yesterday then that’s fine.
 

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So in the end, is this good for Turkey or not? Thats the most important question.
 

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