Khagan1923
Contributor
Great point after 22:00 mark. Vance did mention a certification process already being underway regarding legality of transferring F-35s to Turkey(S400). And a sale notice was made to the congress for F110 engines. Engines will be delivered to TAI; and the project belongs to SSB, which is under CAATSA sanctions. This must mean that CAATSA is a goner in short term.
I see a lot of people talking about the F-35s not coming even if S-400 gets resolved. Im sorry but that is not how the systems in the US works. As much as we clown on the US under Trump they still have systems in place that are working and will continue to work.
F-35 not being handed over to Turkey is connected to the S-400 and nothing else, as stated in the NDAA. If the Admin signs the certification that the S-400 issue has been resolved there is nothing the congress can do in the short term to stop it. Also both Democrats and Republicans would have to unite to accomplish another blockade of the hand over of the 6 F-35 and sale of further F-35 which wont happen as leaks are already circulating with the White House telling Republican Senators to be quiet and sit down. To block the sale Congress would need to pass another amendment, can it happen? Sure, is it likely to happen? No. With no law standing in the way Trump can push the sale through just like he did with the F-110. (He did the same in his first term with the UAE and F-35 which only fell through after he lost the election and Biden stopped the sale)
The handful of greek paid reps who are screaming have no actual power. I would like to mention that the House has over 400 Reps in it with 3-4 greek paid agents screaming around. That is 1% of the House making a ruckus who have no influence in the White House or even a connection to it.
Same group was also whining when the F-16 deal was being leaked (and yes the F-16 purchase has been greenlit the reason it has not been signed is LM and MSB negotiating over the price and other details).
Even if a further purchase is made impossible I think we will see at least the 6 F-35 sitting around be deliverd to the Turkish Air Force. Which alone would be a benefit to get the plane known with its quirks and weaknesses.
As I said I would not be suprised to see a mega deal be announced around the NATO summit between Turkey and the US. Trump is not doing this out of the good of his heart. He will extract that which he loves the most, money.
Vance might also see this as a way to show the Israelis the stick, after their behaviour against him and Trump over the last month.
We will see next week.