Search results

Putin will be faced with various forms of defeat. He will not have a choice between victory and defeat, but between various forms of negotiated defeats. Ukraine will join NATO. Theree is no IF about it. They already received lots of advanced NATO weaponry and have one of the most experienced...

You’re more optimistic even than I am when it comes to Ukraine’s chances to win this conflict. Your scenario so far sounds really good. They have a very easy option to defend their territory. They can negotiate with Ukraine the retreat from all the occupied lands. If they withdraw from...

So your opinion is that Putin is so stupid that despite all the advice he received from his friends in France and Germany, he still fell into the trap set up by the UK-US axis, and even now, despite the obvious trap, he will fall again and nuke Ukraine. If that is the case, Putin is completely...

Zelensky didn’t start the war. He was elected on a platform of reconciliation with Russia and trying to end the conflict. But Putin was having none of it, as he wanted to grab more land and change the regime in Kyiv, to bring back his old serfs in power and keep Ukraine as a vassal state, in the...

I know it hurts when Russia gets beaten up, but let’s try to be serious for a moment. The Kursk incursion captured more territory in two weeks than Russia did since the start of the year (8 months). Why would you use those troop to stop the last two weeks of Russian advances in the Donbass (to...

People expected Russia to break Ukraine in three days, and they couldn’t in two years. If the expectation now is 24 months, than it means they won’t be able to do it in two centuries.

Nobody knows what Trump will do once in office. This will be his second term, so he doesn’t have to compromise for the electorate, as he can’t run again. And don’t forget that Trump voters are sheep, they agree with whatever he says, so if he suddenly decides to win the war for Ukraine, his...

That’s exactly why Russia will lose in the end. Long attrition wars are won by the stronger economy.

Of course Ukraine mattered more because it was bordering the EU, and a potential future member. Also, having a direct border makes helping them much easier from a logistical point of view. Europe cannot deliver help to a far away country without a direct border in the same way it supplies...

Russian supporters keep saying that, but there is no indication of this being a real possibility in the near future. What if Ukraine can sustain the manpower losses for another 10 years? Can Russia’s economy and MIC sustain the war for 10 years as well? The West can easily support Ukraine for...

Russia is a monster of production because it refurbishes old Soviet equipment from storage. Once they run out of things to refurbish, their production levels will drop a lot. As for their allies, only China is a true manufacturing powerhouse, but so far they are unwilling to help Russia with...

Russia’s population is much higher than Ukraine’s, but wars are not won on population numbers alone. If you get to the point where you can’t equip your army with enough weapons, your capability to field capable troops hits a ceiling. While everyone is speaking about Ukraine running out of...

Unfortunatelly you are completely right. Hopefully the EU and some of the more involved European nations will have enough resources and determination to help Ukraine win the war in the end. Europe is slowly ramping up weapons manufacturing, while at the same time Russia is slowly exhausting its...

Yes, my base case scenario is that Ukraine will win in the end. Ukraine’s army is getting better equipment than before, while the European MIC is ramping up production capability. Russia is suffering tremendous equipment losses, and it won’t be long before they will run out of Soviet gear to...

It is almost a certainty that Ukraine will join NATO in the future. The amount of modern weapons and training invested in the Ukrainian military will not be wasted. After the war is over, Ukraine will have the most experienced army in Europe, and one of the most modern in terms of equipment, so...

Historically, it is much likelier for a dictator to lose power than for a nation to be anihilated, so I know where I would put my bets.

The problem for Iran is there is no winning option for them. If they make an attack that doesn’t inflict any meaningful damage to Israel (like the last time), their threats will not be taken seriously and people will doubt their ability to harm Israel. If they make a successful attack that...

Ukraine’s top military commander says his forces now control 1,000 square kilometers (386 square miles) of Russia’s neighboring Kursk region, the first time a Ukrainian military official has publicly commented on the gains of the lightning incursion. Gen. Oleksandr Syrskyi made the statement in...

There is talk about Ukrainians digging trenches on Russian territory, which would indicate that they plan to hold the territory, or at least defend it as much as they can to force high losses on the Russians when they try to take it back. It would be foolish to just retreat, because retaking...

This is why it is so dangerous to have a corrupt leader. Netanyahu is willing to destroy the country if necessary, just to remain longer in power, because once he loses power he may end up in prison. He doesn’t care about his country at all, he does what he does out of self interest.