The last thing I expected was an India-Canada diplomatic row.
In India, it seems to us that Trudeau is merely catering to his vote bank. If Indian agencies were given a greenlight to carry out a hit, I reckon it is more likely they would have targeted Dawood or Hafiz Saeed in Pak. Would be profoundly stupid to carry out a hit in a Western nation, that too a NATO member with already so much heat on India because of Russian oil.
Afif is correct that this could all really backfire on Trudeau if this is some loose stunt to votebank/pander upon given seriously bad polling numbers currently (dipping close to 30% support now nationally).
When Trudeau goes with "allegations to potential link" (i.e not evidence) and they overtly name a diplomat they are expelling (now putting him under a haze of threat for rest of his life since his name etc is now out there) without evidence presented, he better deliver the goods on all of this in the end commensurate to these actions.
It is already bad these actions were done in first place prior to actual evidence case file from RCMP etc. In fact its quite telling what was done in prior 3 months statements wise that suddenly changed after G20 meet now.
I don't put him down as that petulant or stupid (that large parts of Canadian society do view him as), so there is probably something that caused him to rush the gun like this (that opposition leader has already called out as something Trudeau didnt do with vast array of evidence regarding the Chinese interference stuff in comparison).
It just likely will be something tenuous in the end (otherwise why jump the gun if something solid was being built) and India will deny it and wait for next Canadian administration to rebuild ties.
That course of events gives just enough posturing for both establishment sides to indulge for while and move on from....though the damage to relations will stick for some time that will have effect on regular people which has clumsily not been factored in by liberals in this rush to announce "allegations to potential link" and the expelling method they elected for.
He is saying things like "doesn't seek to escalate with India" since etc. too (after noticing muted response from other western countries).
This can't finish what you started + jumping the gun is part of his spoiled brat daddy-name character that lot of my Canadian friends keep bringing up with me for quite some time now....and is large part of his heavy unpopularity in the electorate. All part of the approach he is taking here.
BTW you should watch this when you have a chance if you have not already (and also read the national post article I posted earlier):