It's the camel story basically.How do you mean ? In which Aspects ?
His premise is wrong, for starters. Israel didn't just use ALBMs against Iran. They used everything from small drones to kill Haniyeh to cruise missiles and ALBMs. F-35s may or may not have flew all the way to Zagros mountains or not, we do not know. There is nothing to suggest Israel only used ALBMs against Iran and they would only ALBMs against a possible base in Syria. They have 2 squadrons of F-35s. They can literally loiter over the base unhampered, jam our own EW equipment and strike any targets they deem a threat.
His retelling of Iran's air attacks against Israel are leaving much to be desired. Iran sent more than 200 missiles against Israel in the october attack, about 20 to 30 of which struck ground in Nevatim, Tel Nof and Tel Aviv. To achieve this 85% interception rate, Israel used multiple Arrow 3, Davids Sling batteries, US navy ships off the coast and had real time intelligence sharing by US satellites and ships in the Basra Gulf. It was the first ever case of modern ABM systems in action. History was made that night. And we have nothing like it as he adds.
But, his premise is still wrong. Israel doesn't have to use ballistic missiles to strike a Turkish base in Syria. It somehow reads as "we can't defend against it anyway, why bother, we should on the contrary, place offensive weapons that can reach Israel." Dismissing the very real notion that those same offensive weapons will also be in the crosshairs of every US satellite and the F-35s we can't see coming from 100kms away. Why would we put very expensive weapons in a place we can't defend, in an area that is not covered by Article 5 in the first place, telling the other side that "yes, we are fucking retards that can't defend ourselves against you but here are some 10 ballistic missiles that I will aim at you that you will very likely intercept anyway." Where is the sense in this, apart from making hundreds of soldiers very clear targets.
We are not US, we don't have nukes. There is history of others actually striking us and us doing nothing or doing very little in return in Libya and in Syria.
If we are going to escalate, we should do so smartly at our own terms, not idiotically at theirs.