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Huelague

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intuition. Much of what he types are narratives not really normal to Turks. Its a bit like if someone claiming to be a jew on here starts talking about how jews should be ok with hitler. Your instrict would tell you this guy cant be jewish.

Northern syria is a critical issue to Turkiye and he's bringing up "where were these guys for Gaza" its a foolish statement, but its as if the Turks are meant to bend over and get fucked by everyone so we can help a people that never really helped us. Iranians Shia types are like this where they act as if you are meant to do only whats good for them and anything you do that's good for yourself is haram.

I'm about 95% certain he's not ethnically a Turk. Maybe he has some connection to Turkiye and the Turks, but i doubt he's Turkish himself.
Even our government is pro Palesine. The whole world is pro Palestine right now. Every disable human must be pro Palestine, no matter what Palestine government do/did to us.
 

Rooxbar

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Even our government is pro Palesine. The whole world is pro Palestine right now. Every disable human must be pro Palestine, no matter what Palestine government do/did to us.
Morality is a matter of scale. You can't have morality at the scale of a state, except for one overarching principle and that's survival. You can be pro-Palestine as a matter of personal moral principle; a state can be pro-Palestine for other reasons and pretend that it is due to moral principle. But a state cannot be pro-Palestine actually as a matter of moral principle.

Survival is the only principle guiding all other actions of a state and the best path to survival is power. This is why you maximise your power because that will guarantee your survival; and this is a moral principle (the only one in this large scale) because survival of a state for the coming centuries is about survival and prosperity of potential billions and that trumps losing power to be potentially moral about mere thousands.

This may sound blunt but this is the real principle by which states act (despite the moralistic facade of public relations side of it all). Any moralistic naivete in deviance from this law in a jungle where everybody plays by this rule will result in ruin. In a state of nature, which is the state of international relations, any moral action which does not maximise your power will hence reduce your power and reduce your survival chances.

Obviously seeming moral/amoral and trustworthy/untrustworthy is part of the payoff matrix, hence attempts at maximising your power can actually result in a reduction of your power if the attempts are not seen as acceptable (for moral or any other reasons); this is why states sometimes do the moral thing, as they calculate the amoral opportunistic move will reduce their influence and reputation, hurting their power maximisation in the long run. Of course sometimes the calculation is that you can afford the blow to the reputation as what you get in return will compensate it in terms of power maximisation. The world actors only understand of power; if you're powerful everybody will respect you.
 

mehmed beg

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Even our government is pro Palesine. The whole world is pro Palestine right now. Every disable human must be pro Palestine, no matter what Palestine government do/did to us.
Someone can be pro Palestinian but to tell you the truth, I know from day 1, that over 90% so called pro Palestinian crowd is scum.
Many of them are Commies , many of them are just anti establishment, anti Racist etc .
I saw it in Bosnia 30 years ago. Just now it is a lot worse.
Can you see any " brothers" on this thread???
 

Huelague

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Morality is a matter of scale. You can't have morality at the scale of a state, except for one overarching principle and that's survival. You can be pro-Palestine as a matter of personal moral principle; a state can be pro-Palestine for other reasons and pretend that it is due to moral principle. But a state cannot be pro-Palestine actually as a matter of moral principle
That’s absolutely wrong and sounds like Western (Niccolò Machiavelli) „Reasons of State“ bullshit. Institutions, which a State is,-are lead by humans-, can tolerate Genozide or not.
Finding an excuse not to support Palestinians, just because of our history, his highly immoral. This kind of immoral are not in our Turkish veins!
 
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Huelague

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Someone can be pro Palestinian but to tell you the truth, I know from day 1, that over 90% so called pro Palestinian crowd is scum.
Many of them are Commies , many of them are just anti establishment, anti Racist etc .
I saw it in Bosnia 30 years ago. Just now it is a lot worse.
Can you see any " brothers" on this thread???
I meet many Palis, none of them were anti Turkish. We could have our differences (remember our close ties with Israel before AKP- which could be one reason of the differences). That doesn’t mean, a tolerance of any kind of Genocide against a People. You should adjust your morality compass new.
 

Oublious

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I have read and listend various people on the internet, it seems that Russian airpower is drasticly down in Syria. They have 10 old fighters and most of them are not operational because of parts. They transfert most of ther fighters to Ukraine, so we will not see a lot of bombardment.
 

Barry

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Someone can be pro Palestinian but to tell you the truth, I know from day 1, that over 90% so called pro Palestinian crowd is scum.
Many of them are Commies , many of them are just anti establishment, anti Racist etc .
I saw it in Bosnia 30 years ago. Just now it is a lot worse.
Can you see any " brothers" on this thread???

They're always pro-Kurdistan too, thinking all these PKK/YPG/etc terror groups represent all Kurds.

That's part of the racism these Western Marxists/"Leftists" love to peddle. They can't separate people into anything but broad, dumb buckets of white/black/this/that. They'll happily support a monolithic ethno-state at the expense of every other ethnic group or state in the region. What about Assyrians? Turkmen? Do they not deserve their own states, by these moral supremist's own logic?

What about the will of the Syrian people as a whole? Does that matter to them? No, you must carve up legal borders and territory for these specific people, because social media and the usual handlers of western leftism tell them. They'll ignore all the terror, the massacre, the butchery, the ethnic cleansing, the female genital mutilation, the human trafficking/paedophilia/kidnapping, the huge drug trade these groups partake in; instead it'll be "they're feminists," "they're social democrats," "they're western-aligned."

Western leftist morality is a toilet of contradiction, cognitive-dissonance, racism and opportunism to create layers of prejudice and victimhood under the guise of being progressive.

Sick of them.
 

Rooxbar

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That’s absolutely wrong and sounds like Western (Niccolò Machiavelli) „Reasons of State“ bullshit. Institutions, which a State is,-are lead by humans-, can tolerate Genozide or not.
Finding an excuse not to support Palestinians, just because of our history, his highly immoral. This kind of immoral are not in our Turkish veins!
Corporations also are led by humans, but all these human actors are forced into the structure in which they maximize profit and do not act as individual agents but according to the rules and the forces of the market, hence all corporations converge in their behaviour in maximizing profits as if run by robots. Those who don't play by the rules of the market and scoff at market forces bite the dust. Same thing for inter-state relations.
 

Tabmachine

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Morality is a matter of scale. You can't have morality at the scale of a state, except for one overarching principle and that's survival. You can be pro-Palestine as a matter of personal moral principle; a state can be pro-Palestine for other reasons and pretend that it is due to moral principle. But a state cannot be pro-Palestine actually as a matter of moral principle.

Survival is the only principle guiding all other actions of a state and the best path to survival is power. This is why you maximise your power because that will guarantee your survival; and this is a moral principle (the only one in this large scale) because survival of a state for the coming centuries is about survival and prosperity of potential billions and that trumps losing power to be potentially moral about mere thousands.

This may sound blunt but this is the real principle by which states act (despite the moralistic facade of public relations side of it all). Any moralistic naivete in deviance from this law in a jungle where everybody plays by this rule will result in ruin. In a state of nature, which is the state of international relations, any moral action which does not maximise your power will hence reduce your power and reduce your survival chances.

Obviously seeming moral/amoral and trustworthy/untrustworthy is part of the payoff matrix, hence attempts at maximising your power can actually result in a reduction of your power if the attempts are not seen as acceptable (for moral or any other reasons); this is why states sometimes do the moral thing, as they calculate the amoral opportunistic move will reduce their influence and reputation, hurting their power maximisation in the long run. Of course sometimes the calculation is that you can afford the blow to the reputation as what you get in return will compensate it in terms of power maximisation. The world actors only understand of power; if you're powerful everybody will respect you.
I'm reading into structural realism right now, although in terms of directly reading from books I've decided start more historically with Machiavelli.

I am beginning this journey with a measure of skepticism of the black-box approach to formulating a general theory of state behavior because I find it counter-intuitive to formulate arguments at a macro-level without "micro-foundations", however even in these early stages I can recognize there are obvious and good reasons why this is not done, chiefly I think this is somewhere between very difficult to impossible. I refer to the categories of structural-realist (Waltz, Mearsheimer) arguments about why this "blind-ness" is necessary like so:

1) The argument of inevitability (which you're making): that the pressures/forces of the anarchic international system force states to behave according to their "structural imperative" or optimally for their survival

2) The argument of simplicity/generalizability: that it is not sensible to attempt to account for every factor, and that one can restrict variables in order to feasibly formulate a general theory which is a sufficient approximation of state behavior to be useful as an explanatory vehicle.

What I take away from this is that the pressures of international anarchy function as constraints, but not the entirety of the variables influencing state behavior, and that in the eyes of structural realists, analyzing state behavior according to these constraints as a best approximation has explanatory power.

Looking at the world around me, I just don't see a world insulated from beliefs, and identity complexes in the political realm. Whether it is in the solidarity that countries exhibit with one another, who they choose to form deeper partnerships with, how they structure and select the multi-lateral institutions they participate in.

Would Turkey and Malaysia be signing technological co-operation agreements if not for their shared religion? Would there be an organization of turkic states, without a shared identity complex, cultural practices, and beliefs? Would the EU be possible without the same, or the general solidarity between all the Western countries be possible without the same? On the tin, I think phenomenon like these point to the influence of socio-cultural factors, however constrained by the realities of state-interests within international anarchy.

To be clear, I'm seeking a counter-argument from you oh wise Rooxbar.
 
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GoatsMilk

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When I was a kid and I read "the prince" it had that mind opening feel. When i read it now it just seems like really obvious common sense stuff. In the preamble to the copy i had it said something like people at the time didn't really rate it. And honestly if your a ruler most of that shit would become pretty obvious pretty quickly.

Like the section about making sure to completely ruin your enemy, otherwise he will recover and come back at you. Back then it seemed quite harsh and sinister, but these days it seems like basic obvious stuff. If your going to go to war there can't be any half measures, because those people will take the first opportunity to strike back at you. In essence "finish the fight."

As a kid growing up in england and getting into street fights you learn this stuff pretty quickly. I remember the first time i went easy on a guy who started a fight, in essence i let him off the hook. Within a week one his mates attacks me over the incident, this time i make an example of him. After that none of his crowd wanted to mess around with me. The first time wasnt good enough, it made my "enemies" think they could harm me. The second time it created so much fear that none of them wanted to risk it happening to them.
 
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Tabmachine

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When I was a kid and I read "the prince" it had that mind opening feel. When i read it now it just seems like really obvious common sense stuff. In the preamble to the copy i had it said something like people at the time didn't really rate it. And honestly if your a ruler most of that shit would become pretty obvious pretty quickly.

Like the section about making sure to completely ruin your enemy, otherwise he will recover and come back at you. Back then it seemed quite harsh and sinister, but these days it seems like basic obvious stuff. If your going to go to war there can't be any half measures, because those people will take the first opportunity to strike back at you. In essence "finish the fight."
Since you read it only as a sweet summer child, I expect nothing less than that you're in possession of a fiefdom somewhere. Do you prefer Baron, or Duke?

edit: Replied before you added on the last two paragraphs there, deserves a more serious reply now i think. I agree though, the book has been refreshingly sensible so far. Quite a contrast from my brief experiences with contemporary social science. Interesting to hear about the rise of GoatsMilk as well.
 
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Ryder

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You have Hazaras and Palestinians fighting as militias for assad.

These people are oppressed while at the same time being the oppressors.

The world is not black and white.

Lots of Turks fought against the Turkish army in El Bab. These people volunteered to fight for Isis.

This world is fcked up regardless of whoever it is. You will have both external and internal enemies.

Even your own people will turn their guns against you.
 

Strong AI

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The National Intelligence Organization (MİT) identified that the PKK/YPG terrorist group, which is trying to seize land and take advantage of the developments in Syria, had started to smuggle missiles, heavy weapons, and ammunition left behind by the Assad regime in Qamishli. MİT quickly acted and launched an operation.

After the end of the Assad regime, MİT had been carefully monitoring the developments in the region through field agents. The organization discovered that the terrorist group had seized missiles, ammunition, heavy weapons, and tanks from the regime as part of their dirty agreements with the Assad regime, and had started moving these weapons to their own warehouses. The group intended to use the military equipment and supplies stolen from the Syrian people against our security forces.

MİT, which was closely monitoring the region, detected that the terrorists were loading missiles and ammunition onto trucks under the cover of darkness and leaving the area in convoy. Following this, MİT decided to launch an operation, destroying 12 trucks loaded with missiles and heavy weapons, 2 tanks, and 2 ammunition depots.

With the morale of the terrorist group completely shattered by the recent operations in Syria, they began spreading the lie that "the Kamishli Airport was targeted by Israel, and there was no operation against the group." This was an attempt to reduce the intense fear among their cadres, who had been cornered on the east side of the Euphrates River.

According to MİT sources, the current situation in Syria means that any terrorist group nesting near our borders and conducting activities against our country will not be tolerated, and operations against the terrorist group will continue.

 

Iskander

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After Israel, Uncle Sam has an appetite too.

The Russian naval base in Tartus should be replaced by a US naval base in the same location, suggests American Middle East scholar Michael Rubin on 19FortyFive.
The majority of Syrian Alawites live in Latakia, a region of Syria along the Mediterranean coast. […] And it is no coincidence that Latakia is home to the Russian naval base in Tartus. Although Russian President Vladimir Putin says that Russian ships are still in Tartus, reports from Syria indicate that the Russians are leaving, Rubin writes.

The upheaval in Syria opens up new opportunities for the United States. Rubin further suggests that “the Alawites’ main interest is survival, not participation in Iran’s Axis of Resistance or an alliance with Putin.”

Trump should offer a deal: The United States will support Alawite autonomy in Latakia. […] And the US Navy will be ready to protect them with its aircraft if Syrian Sunni forces try to advance into the region. In exchange, the US will take control of the Russian naval base in Tartus
– Mr. Rubin expressed his thoughts.
The author does not stop there. He suggests that by occupying Tartus, the US will achieve several goals at once.
This includes pushing Russia out of the Mediterranean Sea into the Black Sea, where the Russian fleet will immediately become vulnerable to attacks from Ukraine, and a threat to obstinate Turkey , - queted the russian «Reporter»
 
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