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Pakistan Pakistan Economy Updates

Fatman17

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Fatman17

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Pakistan stands at a critical moment in its economic transformation. While the global economy enters a new era of critical mineral demand, the country has an opportunity to convert its geological resources into industrial capability. The real question is not whether Pakistan possesses mineral wealth, but whether it can transform those resources into value-added industries, exports and long-term economic growth.
 

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HP0B_SDWYAEB6JQ.jpg
 

Fatman17

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Pakistan’s petroleum exports reached an all-time high of $939 million in FY26, increasing 3.9 percent from $903 million in FY25, as lower domestic furnace oil (FO) demand and a shift toward low-sulphur petroleum products supported export growth.
 

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If you took a trip to a livestock market this past Eidul Azha, you could see Pakistan’s cash paradox performing itself live.

On one side, a bank kiosk with a QR code taped to a pole and some digital transactions happening. A few feet away, a bigger deal closing the old way: a purchaser counting out bundles of Rs5,000 notes, folding them into a plastic bag — no camera, no receipt, no trace. Both transactions were real and both continue to grow. This is the puzzle that this article shall attempt to solve.
 

Fatman17

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If you took a trip to a livestock market this past Eidul Azha, you could see Pakistan’s cash paradox performing itself live.

On one side, a bank kiosk with a QR code taped to a pole and some digital transactions happening. A few feet away, a bigger deal closing the old way: a purchaser counting out bundles of Rs5,000 notes, folding them into a plastic bag — no camera, no receipt, no trace. Both transactions were real and both continue to grow. This is the puzzle that this article shall attempt to solve.
Pakistan’s digital payments revolution is real, but so is the country’s stubborn dependence on cash. As money increasingly enters the financial system digitally, only to be withdrawn again for settlements, the real challenge lies not with consumers scanning QR codes but with the wholesalers, distributors and property markets, where the country’s biggest transactions still happen in cash…

The above sectors don't pay their taxes hence the dependence on cash...
 

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Waiting for a miracle to happen is an old practice of Pakistan’s power elite. Every few years, the ruling establishment constructs a new narrative of hope: that a breakthrough is just around the corner, prosperity is waiting beyond the horizon, and Pakistan need only remain patient for the miracle to unfold. This habit of looking abroad for transformation dates back to the country’s inception, when its leadership placed its hopes in the US, joined Seato and Cento, and became a Western defence and security partner alongside Iran. Pakistan’s dreams of geopolitical influence and economic gains through its defence partnership with the US have been shattered repeatedly. Yet, its power elites have repeatedly restored their optimism and embraced new partnerships, expecting external allies to increase the country’s strategic weight and generate financial inflows.
 

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Waiting for a miracle to happen is an old practice of Pakistan’s power elite. Every few years, the ruling establishment constructs a new narrative of hope: that a breakthrough is just around the corner, prosperity is waiting beyond the horizon, and Pakistan need only remain patient for the miracle to unfold. This habit of looking abroad for transformation dates back to the country’s inception, when its leadership placed its hopes in the US, joined Seato and Cento, and became a Western defence and security partner alongside Iran. Pakistan’s dreams of geopolitical influence and economic gains through its defence partnership with the US have been shattered repeatedly. Yet, its power elites have repeatedly restored their optimism and embraced new partnerships, expecting external allies to increase the country’s strategic weight and generate financial inflows.

Yes this is the underlying reason the investment ratio is so low so long. There is not sufficient trust developed between Pakistani people with the Pakistani "political system" internally.

Without investment ratio high enough, you become/stay reliant on external events and external interests....all comes at a cost and whatever % ends up meshing with yours (and the inverse turning into things like the circular debt problem, low forex and so on....past the social development problem internally).

It all keeps political elite cushy enough and the musical chairs game politically....but genuine economy-growers and risk takers whither on vine, they sense loss and no reward for anything they try to do.
 
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