• Forum restore complete (see latest announcement thread)

TR Space Space Programs

somegoodusername

Committed member
Messages
225
Reactions
2 378
Nation of residence
Turkey
Nation of origin
Turkey
I don't see any European Kizilelma flying? Or how much is Eurodron and is it in use?
The reason for that is the same as why you live in the UK and not Bosnia. Europeans don’t need it. No voters demand "Kızılema" If the threat environment changes to one where they do, they have the capability to develop something like "Kızılelma" within 10 years and produce a version twice as advanced of "Kızılelma 2", in the next decade after that.

Read about the history of World War II military technology. The defense industries of all Yugoslav, Romanian, Czech, Swedish, and many other middle and minor powers became obsolete within just two-three years of actual military demand.

After all, Turkey’s economy is only 24% the size of Germany’s, 33% of the UK’s, and 36% of France’s. Every year, thousands of Turkish engineers leave Turkey to work in these countries, but you don't see the reverse happening.
 

mehmed beg

Contributor
Messages
716
Reactions
3 831
Nation of residence
United Kingdom
Nation of origin
Bosnia & Herzegovina
The reason for that is the same as why you live in the UK and not Bosnia. Europeans don’t need it. No voters demand "Kızılema" If the threat environment changes to one where they do, they have the capability to develop something like "Kızılelma" within 10 years and produce a version twice as advanced of "Kızılelma 2", in the next decade after that.

Read about the history of World War II military technology. The defense industries of all Yugoslav, Romanian, Czech, Swedish, and many other middle and minor powers became obsolete within just two-three years of actual military demand.

After all, Turkey’s economy is only 24% the size of Germany’s, 33% of the UK’s, and 36% of France’s. Every year, thousands of Turkish engineers leave Turkey to work in these countries, but you don't see the reverse happening.
I live in UK for the reason other then being a guest worker. Other of your discourse didn't answer what I said. Does Germany possess ballistic missiles? Regardless of the sizes of given economies, Germany doesn't have ballistic missiles?
And by the way, all what you have been saying is not unknown but tell us what would you do.
Please spare me of ww2 conjectures or something similar live that, so go on and say what exactly you would do or want?
 

Sanchez

Experienced member
Moderator
Think Tank Analyst
DefenceHub Diplomat
Messages
4,190
Reactions
127 19,047
Nation of residence
Turkey
Nation of origin
Turkey
The technologies we're discussing are already 10-15 years old and will be even more outdated, at 15-20 years old, by the time they’re fully implemented. Just because they’re the most advanced tech that the public can comprehend doesn’t mean they are the most cutting-edge technologies in existence. We may not even have 10 people in the country capable of working on the kinds of projects currently being developed in the US and China.

Turkish people often misinterpret Turkey’s current catch-up in military technology, which comes after Western countries began demilitarizing post-Cold War. The primary reason we are using American jets and tanks in out military is that our domestic defense industry couldn’t keep pace with the rapid advancements during the Cold War arms race. However, after the Cold War ended, and Europe entered a dolce vita period, Turkey, being in a constant threat environment, was able to close the technological gap, when other countries didn't push the gas pedal too much.

One of the lessons from the Russia-Ukraine war is that the myth of possibility of being a military giant while remaining an economic dwarf during the Cold War has been debunked.

Now, as the US-China arms race intensifies, we are having a significant delay in adapting 5th generation aircraft in our air force. If the Kaan Block 20 enters service in 2033, Turkey will be 15-20 years behind in upgrading its air force to current tech. And 6th gen fighters are on the way.
Sorry, this is just a hodgepodge of ideas thrown around.

The technologies we're discussing are already 10-15 years old
Tech we are talking about isn't obsolete or outdated. If anything, satellite swarms and drone fighters are literally the future.

Turkey’s current catch-up in military technology, which comes after Western countries began demilitarizing post-Cold War.
Turkey's catchup is found in late 80s economic boom and some small number of Turkish inventors seeing the future correctly.

The primary reason we are using American jets and tanks in out military is that our domestic defense industry couldn’t keep pace with the rapid advancements during the Cold War arms race.
No one's could, except US, USSR and France to a degree. Current arms race however is different. At the moment there are no real game changers and name of the game is to first catch old capabilities for most of the nations, not soaring into the future. Ukraine also showed us that present capabilities are not going anywhere. Capability to churn out 20000 155mm shells a week is more important than HGVs and F-35s for Ukraine.

Now, as the US-China arms race intensifies, we are having a significant delay in adapting 5th generation aircraft in our air force. If the Kaan Block 20 enters service in 2033, Turkey will be 15-20 years behind in upgrading its air force to current tech. And 6th gen fighters are on the way.
Turkey is not in arms business to fight it out with China and US. It's in arms business to handle its own needs, create allies and to make money. Fighter generations from this point forward are meaningless and are nothing more than a marketing gimmick. Kaan will be a better 5th gen fighter than F-22 in every metric available.

I fail to see your general point.
 

Saithan

Experienced member
Moderator
Denmark Correspondent
DefenceHub Diplomat
Messages
9,849
Reactions
66 21,993
Nation of residence
Denmark
Nation of origin
Turkey

I thought this place was best thread for this :) Congrats to Ayse and Ömer :)
 

TheInsider

Experienced member
Professional
Messages
4,894
Solutions
1
Reactions
51 17,040
Nation of residence
Turkey
Nation of origin
Turkey
Comparing a startup to Baykar is a bit stretch yeah?

Also that startup used smaller arrays dont they? And main problem was that ASELSAN couldn't supply to them given that ASELSAN needs the arrays themselves first
I don't want any research funded by my taxes to end up in a private firm period. TEI, Aselsan, DelttaV and Tübitak are not Baykar's free research facilities.

Aselsan wants to sell FPAs it is ok but it should be available to all companies.
DeltaV shouldn't deliver sensitive research to a private space start-up Fergani. Fergani supposed to be developing satellites, first they transferred CEO of DeltaV, later announced they are developing orbital transfer vehicle and SLV.
There is a reason why Mr. Gürcan Okumuş is fired from Tübitak SAGE.
 
Last edited:

TheInsider

Experienced member
Professional
Messages
4,894
Solutions
1
Reactions
51 17,040
Nation of residence
Turkey
Nation of origin
Turkey
FERGANİ and Delta V are collaborating on a project for an orbital transfer vehicle. Delta V is developing the engine, while FERGANİ is working on the electronics.


Fergani Space and Delta V Space are merging their forces.


Where is your source?
IP of the OTV belongs to Fergani= Fergani hi-jacked DeltaVs project. DeltaV can find electronics from anywhere but Fergani can't find hybrid engines. There are a shit ton of satellite producers in Turkiye.
 

dBSPL

Experienced member
Think Tank Analyst
DefenceHub Ambassador
Messages
2,871
Reactions
123 14,521
Nation of residence
Turkey
Nation of origin
Turkey
- Fergani is working on a 50-ton launch system to independently go into space.

- The launch vehicle will have a liquid-fueled rocket engine and the capacity to put satellites into orbit.

- The first test rocket launch is planned for 2026.

Ga0D_W-bQAEfcr3

ferg.JPG

 
Last edited:

hugh

Contributor
Messages
567
Reactions
17 1,533
Nation of residence
Turkey
Nation of origin
Turkey
- Fergani is working on a 50-ton launch system to independently go into space.

- The launch vehicle will have a liquid-fueled rocket engine and the capacity to put satellites into orbit.

- The first test rocket launch is planned for 2026.

Ga0D_W-bQAEfcr3

View attachment 71495
This is utter bullshit. 50 tons my ass. Why not develop a fully reusable starship on your first go then? Roketsan has been developing the tech for decades and will put 100kg into orbit in a year or so and then will go on to develop 1.5tons LEO vehicle to launch in 2028. And here's BAYKAR talks of 50 tons launch vehicles(essentially 2x Falcon 9) to be launched in 2026.
 

hugh

Contributor
Messages
567
Reactions
17 1,533
Nation of residence
Turkey
Nation of origin
Turkey
Fergani Space Launch Vehicle...
- 50 tons
- Liquid fuel rocket engine
- first test rocket to be launched in 2026
- first stage vertical landing system




I think 50 tons is the mass of the Space Launch Vehicle, not payload.
"Fergani’s 100 kg class micro satellite platforms will operate at an altitude range of 500-600 km. These satellites will provide communication and positioning services and will be operating in the Ku, Ka, S and L bands for global coverage."

then it's my bad. payload to mass ratio could differ between 1% to 5% depending on the isp of the engines. So a 50 tons rocket can yeet from 500kg to 2.5tons payload to LEO. They will probably do a suborbital launch with a scaled version of it in 2026.

i really doubt the vertical landing claim. the necessary hardware and the additional propellant needed for the reentry and the landing burn would make it impossible for the rocket to lift any payload(or even reach the orbit). You need bigger rockets with more uplift capacity to enable those features.

edit: this could be our icbm if we had nonconvetional warheads.
 
Last edited:

Agha Sher

Experienced member
DefenceHub Diplomat
Messages
2,909
Reactions
14 9,764
Nation of residence
Denmark
Nation of origin
Afghanistan
then it's my bad. payload to mass ratio could differ between 1% to 5% depending on the isp of the engines. So a 50 tons rocket can yeet from 500kg to 2.5tons payload to LEO. They will probably do a suborbital launch with a scaled version of it in 2026.

i really doubt the vertical landing claim. the necessary hardware and the additional propellant needed for the reentry and the landing burn would make it impossible for the rocket to lift any payload(or even reach the orbit). You need bigger rockets with more uplift capacity to enable those features.

edit: this could be our icbm if we had nonconvetional warheads.
I think this is just the beginning, so they are ok with taking a hit on payload to orbit in order to learn re-entry and landing. I think the following rocket will be much bigger and probably in the medium lift category given the company’s ambitions
 

hugh

Contributor
Messages
567
Reactions
17 1,533
Nation of residence
Turkey
Nation of origin
Turkey
I think this is just the beginning, so they are ok with taking a hit on payload to orbit in order to learn re-entry and landing. I think the following rocket will be much bigger and probably in the medium lift category given the company’s ambitions
their launch business aspirations are tightly correlated with their satellite business. what services will those satellites provide? how will they compete? what is the business model? these hard questions need to be answered before committing to launch vehicle development. otherwise, it'll be a stillborn project.
 

Pilatino

Well-known member
Messages
396
Reactions
7 862
Nation of residence
Turkey
Nation of origin
Turkey
Very ambitious ha? I mean they say that we're gonna have our own ICBM = cryogenic engines in 2 years WTF? If we see that before 2035 baklavas are on me guys lol. It seems all we need will be the ☢️ after that point which means daha da karada ölüm yok.

I didn't check so I dunno but I just wish that uncle Reco has another daughter and the next son-in-law will have a PhD in atomic physics. 😁
 
Last edited:

Radko

Experienced member
Messages
1,521
Reactions
14 2,872
Nation of residence
Turkey
Nation of origin
Bosnia & Herzegovina
their launch business aspirations are tightly correlated with their satellite business. what services will those satellites provide? how will they compete? what is the business model? these hard questions need to be answered before committing to launch vehicle development. otherwise, it'll be a stillborn project.
Those are questions that we don't have an answer for, as forum members

However Baykar clearly has their roadmap in front of them.
 

hugh

Contributor
Messages
567
Reactions
17 1,533
Nation of residence
Turkey
Nation of origin
Turkey
Those are questions that we don't have an answer for, as forum members
I guess the lack of an answer is an evidence itself. The constellation is probably tailored for military use. There's no reason to be tight lipped about it if it was developed for civilians.
 

Agha Sher

Experienced member
DefenceHub Diplomat
Messages
2,909
Reactions
14 9,764
Nation of residence
Denmark
Nation of origin
Afghanistan
I guess the lack of an answer is an evidence itself. The constellation is probably tailored for military use. There's no reason to be tight lipped about it if it was developed for civilians.
Are you crazy? What evidence are you talking about?

baykar has their own plans and roadmap, no outsider has detailed insights into these. Looking at their track record, they know what they are doing - so let them do their work. After all, they are not begging for government funds, they will do this using their own money.

they revolutionised the drone industry. If you still doubt them, then you’re just a hater.
 

hugh

Contributor
Messages
567
Reactions
17 1,533
Nation of residence
Turkey
Nation of origin
Turkey
Are you crazy? What evidence are you talking about?

baykar has their own plans and roadmap, no outsider has detailed insights into these. Looking at their track record, they know what they are doing - so let them do their work. After all, they are not begging for government funds, they will do this using their own money.

they revolutionised the drone industry. If you still doubt them, then you’re just a hater.
i don't think you understood my post.
 

dBSPL

Experienced member
Think Tank Analyst
DefenceHub Ambassador
Messages
2,871
Reactions
123 14,521
Nation of residence
Turkey
Nation of origin
Turkey
Btw, I don't know if you are following the developments, but recently, in-space manufacturing has really started to develop at an incredible speed and its possible field of activities has started to expand. The In-Space manufacturing market is estimated to grow from USD 4.6 Billion in 2030 to USD 62.8 Billion by 2040, at a CAGR of 29.7% from 2030 to 2040. In the coming decades, the aim is to manufacture and integrate large structural volumes outside the atmosphere. In addition to gaining independent access to space, the formation of a domestic industry in this fields may mean that these studies may one day be carried out in our country and our own industry to participate in the future. Maybe we won't miss the train this time.
 
Top Bottom