Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

Gary

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You can't hide launcher in 4 mln ppl city that need to protect that city. They need to move it but they can't do nothing about hiding it.
correct, this makes it easier for the Russian agent to spot one rather than trying to do so with other methods of intelligent gathering (SIGINT, ELINT, IMINT etc).

Now the challenge is for the VKS to figure out the necessary tactics to overwhelm one. We saw the Russians attempt to overwhelm one using multiple vector, speed and altittude attack, lets see what they could improve in the next attack.
 
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Nykyus

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Khusain Dzhambetov, an Ichkerian and colleague of Akhmed Zakayev, has returned to Russia.
Dzhambetov is known for the fact that until today he fought for the Armed Forces of Ukraine as part of the Ichkerian battalion.
But now he was in Russia in Grozny, where he was greeted with all honors.
Dzhambetov said that he was disillusioned with Ukraine and the Ichkerian ideology and now he will be loyal only to Kadyrov.
Dzhambetov told how, while fighting for Ukraine, he shot Ukrainian colleagues who rejoiced at the death of Akhmat fighters. He explained his action with solidarity for the Chechen brothers.

3d09affe-dabd-41c7-9f60-6bf0a8e13095.jpg
 

Gary

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These Chechens shouldn't fought for countries that has nothing to do with their race and religion, both Russia and Ukraine. What a waste of effort of men and time.
 

Relic

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Just waiting for confirmation from an official source, but it appears that Norway 🇳🇴 is sending Ukraine 3 of their ARTHUR counter battery radars. They are also transferring 8 additional M270 MLRS to Britain for modernization. In turn, Britain 🇬🇧 will, apparently, send 8 of their modernized M270s to Ukraine for use in the war.

If the West can keep GMLRS and GLSDB numbers flowing into the country at a high rate, adding 8 additional launch systems will greatly increase Ukraine's rocket artillery capability, at a time in which Russia's own artillery is continually being hammered.

Edit: It has been confirmed.

 
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Relic

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USA 🇺🇸 is planning $60 Billion in military aid for Ukraine in 2024, in anticipation of the war continuing beyond this year. The package will go to Congress for approval in the fall. It will be distributed to Ukraine throughout the year in tranches similar to what we've seen to this point. Expect it to be a combination of drawdown authority from existing military stocks, and USAI, which procures necessary equipment from industry.

The $60 Billion that USA is planning to spend, will be supplemented by another $40-$60 Billion by the 40-50 other countries that are supporting Ukraine with both arms and macro financial assistance.

 
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Relic

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Per the New York Times, pressure is mounting on U.S. President Joe Biden to join the coalition of countries willing to provide F-16s to Ukraine. Congress members are now writing him letters to ask him to move in that direction.

USA has more than 1100 F-16s, a number of which are in storage, and dozens that are expected to be retired each year between now and 2030, as new F-35, F-16V and F-15EX fighter aircraft make their way to squadrons as replacements.

USA could easily send two squadrons (24 aircraft) of F-16s to Ukraine by the conclusion of 2023. The bigger challenge will be to also send enough air defense to keep them safe from missile strikes, as the F-16 is far less capable of taking off and landing on strips of highway and small, underdeveloped rural airfields, than the more rugged Mig-29s and Su-27s. It will be hard to "hide" a sizeable quantity of F-16s. If a coalition of donors were able to form 4 squadrons, totaling 48 aircraft, it would be much more obvious where those aircraft were based, making them a prime target for all types of Russian missile / drone attack.


 

Lool

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And the main question is, when will Ukraine carry out its counteroffensive?
 

Woland

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USA 🇺🇸 is planning $60 Billion in military aid for Ukraine in 2024, in anticipation of the war continuing beyond this year. The package will go to Congress for approval in the fall. It will be distributed to Ukraine throughout the year in tranches similar to what we've seen to this point. Expect it to be a combination of drawdown authority from existing military stocks, and USAI, which procures necessary equipment from industry.

The $60 Billion that USA is planning to spend, will be supplemented by another $40-$60 Billion by the 40-50 other countries that are supporting Ukraine with both arms and macro financial assistance.

Unfortunately this seems to have been misreported. Other people who were present at the event said that Kurt Volcker didn't say this.
 

Woland

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Per the New York Times, pressure is mounting on U.S. President Joe Biden to join the coalition of countries willing to provide F-16s to Ukraine. Congress members are now writing him letters to ask him to move in that direction.

USA has more than 1100 F-16s, a number of which are in storage, and dozens that are expected to be retired each year between now and 2030, as new F-35, F-16V and F-15EX fighter aircraft make their way to squadrons as replacements.

USA could easily send two squadrons (24 aircraft) of F-16s to Ukraine by the conclusion of 2023. The bigger challenge will be to also send enough air defense to keep them safe from missile strikes, as the F-16 is far less capable of taking off and landing on strips of highway and small, underdeveloped rural airfields, than the more rugged Mig-29s and Su-27s. It will be hard to "hide" a sizeable quantity of F-16s. If a coalition of donors were able to form 4 squadrons, totaling 48 aircraft, it would be much more obvious where those aircraft were based, making them a prime target for all types of Russian missile / drone attack.


The other interesting claim to emerge today was this:

"Several European allies are prepared to give their F-16s to Ukraine. But the Biden administration, which must approve any transfers of the American-made planes, remains unconvinced that Ukraine needs the expensive jets, which are a staple of many modern military arsenals.

So deep is Washington’s skepticism that Kyiv’s pilots are currently not even allowed to train on the F-16s that are owned by European states, according to a senior Ukrainian official who spoke on condition of anonymity to frankly discuss the sensitive diplomatic issue."



As far as I'm aware the only country to name a specific timeline for the training of Ukrainian pilots on F-16s, Britain, doesn't have any F-16s and only intended to teach them outside of the aircraft themselves. So that much is not contradictory. Another anonymous source, this time for Politico, claimed that an official at the Department of Defense stated that they are not opposed to Ukraine receiving F-16s. I find it hard to believe that all the talk of European allies training Ukrainian pilots, and in the case of the Netherlands and Denmark talking about potentially providing Ukraine with their F-16s, would be done without prior tacit approval from the Biden administration.
 

UkroTurk

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Exclusive: U.S. could train Ukrainian pilots to fly F-16s in 4 months​

Yahoo News has obtained a U.S. Air Force assessment of two Ukrainian pilots who outperformed stated Pentagon expectations over two weeks in a flight simulator at a U.S. air base.​




 

Relic

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Exclusive: U.S. could train Ukrainian pilots to fly F-16s in 4 months​

Yahoo News has obtained a U.S. Air Force assessment of two Ukrainian pilots who outperformed stated Pentagon expectations over two weeks in a flight simulator at a U.S. air base.​




That's why I'm targeting the end of the year for F-16s in Ukraine. My guess is that the first pilots start training in the June-July time frame, both in the USA and some European countries. Meanwhile a plan is put in place to select the exact aircraft, with the exact systems, that the West wants Ukraine to have. Simultaneously, a plan will be formulated to make sure that Ukraine has the proper air defense neccessary to protect the locations that these F-16s will call home when they arrive in Ukraine. Finally, ground crews will be trained Simultaneously, to keep the planes in working order, with U.S. led repair facility stood up, likely in Poland, to perform more complicated maintenance for the aircraft when required (similar to the international Leopard 2 repair facility that has come together in Poland).

All of this will take a while, but plans are likely in place to make it work fairly quickly, when the politicians get out of the way... Which Biden eventually will.

For the record, when I talk about air defense to keep this facility safe, I'm talking about multi-layered defense, that would require the political will power to assign multiple air defense assets to this / these one or two airfields to ensure that Russia doesn't just carpet bomb it in missiles.

We're talking about something like...

1x Patriot Battery: to deal with hypersonic missiles and significant volleys of cruise missiles.

1x NASAMS Battery: to help defense against cruise missiles, as well as S-300 missiles and the like.

1x Iris-T SLM Battery or SAMP-T Battery: to help with defend against cruise missiles, as well as S-300 missiles and the like.

2-3× Avenger or Stormer air defense systems: to help intercept lesser targets such as Shahed Drones and other slower moving aerial targets

2x Kub, Buk, or Hawk air defense systems: serving as a redundancy for the Avengers or Stormers, in case of mass drone attack

1x Skynex or multiple Gepard air defense systems: serving as a redundancy to the redundancy against aerial targets destroyable by air defense.

You basically have to create an Iron Dome of sorts, which means you have to have the political will to do so and likely, additional air defense help committed by your allies.
 
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Ghost soldier

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Hello guys sorry for being away.

but as we see in the conflict in ukraine; russia is on it's way to lose the conflict because Putin horribly mishandled the war and knew that this war is unwinnable; especially when the UK started delivering Storm shadow; putin's was very chill about this; and now we see the first signs of the decline of russia; and next step will be that the US will provide F-16 to ukraine and this will be the biggest spit of face towards russia; and the conflict will end with russian defeat and the official of russia after decades of being a superpower and ukraine will replace russia as the representative of the slavic world since the first slavic kingdom started in kiev.
 

UkroTurk

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3billion more weapons are on the way.
Maybe F-16s??

The defense official said it is possible the amount of overvalued weaponry could grow beyond $3 billion as the Pentagon examines the situation more thoroughly.

In its accounting, the Pentagon used replacement cost to value the weapons aid, instead of the weaponry's value when it was purchased and depreciated, the senior defense officials said.


Since August 2021, the United States has sent weapons valued at about $21.1 billion to Ukraine from its stockpiles.

Changing the valuation of the equipment could delay the Biden administrations' need to ask Congress to authorize more funds for Ukraine as the debt ceiling fight intensifies.

 
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