Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

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My little analysis of Russian and Ukrainian armies based on two weeks of war.

Russians have quite well modernized tanks and modern jets. But their jets lack target pods and guided bombs. Even in their own propaganda video there are only dumb bombs:


Thats why whenever Russian jets want to hit some military target they need to come low and became a target for MANPADS.

Russian soldiers lack ceramic vests, knee pads, red dot sights and most important night googles. Russian army is simply unable to lead night offensives which is a standard mode for Western armies.

Russian army does not have normal divisions. Instead they use BTG - battalion tactical groups. Thats very bad for coordination.

The initial Russuan tactics was to advance rapidly from all directions and shock the Ukrainians. As result wheeled vehicles came in front and tanks lagged behind, huge number of wheeled vehicles were destroyed and later significant number of tanks which were left without support. But in south that tactics however worked not bad.

Now Russians came back to their usual modus operandi: slowly wiping everything. The strong side of Russia is that they have very low sensitivity to losses.

There is very little i can tell about the Ukrainian army. It looks to me more like some rebel force rather a conventional army. They can defend territory, make ambushes, but unable to lead mobile warfare. Their air force, air defence, artillery is amature at most.
 

Isa Khan

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This is what i was looking for. Kinda explains why Russia couldn't achieve air superiority.

1646755417579.png

1646755953551.png
 

goldsilver

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This is either badly phrased or misleading. Here's their official stance:

"In addition, the Party assured that in no case will Ukraine cede its claim to Crimea, Donetsk and Luhansk nor agree to any ultimatums on its sovereignty and territorial integrity.

"We hear Russia's demand to recognize the so-called "DNR" and "LNR", to recognize the occupation of Crimea." The party claimed. "It is clear that we will not do that. But we need to decide how the lives of people in these territories will be regulated within our integral state."

 

Ryder

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My little analysis of Russian and Ukrainian armies based on two weeks of war.

Russians have quite well modernized tanks and modern jets. But their jets lack target pods and guided bombs. Even in their own propaganda video there are only dumb bombs:


Thats why whenever Russian jets want to hit some military target they need to come low and became a target for MANPADS.

Russian soldiers lack ceramic vests, knee pads, red dot sights and most important night googles. Russian army is simply unable to lead night offensives which is a standard mode for Western armies.

Russian army does not have normal divisions. Instead they use BTG - battalion tactical groups. Thats very bad for coordination.

The initial Russuan tactics was to advance rapidly from all directions and shock the Ukrainians. As result wheeled vehicles came in front and tanks lagged behind, huge number of wheeled vehicles were destroyed and later significant number of tanks which were left without support. But in south that tactics however worked not bad.

Now Russians came back to their usual modus operandi: slowly wiping everything. The strong side of Russia is that they have very low sensitivity to losses.

There is very little i can tell about the Ukrainian army. It looks to me more like some rebel force rather a conventional army. They can defend territory, make ambushes, but unable to lead mobile warfare. Their air force, air defence, artillery is amature at most.

Wow that explains why Russians never do airstrikes especially in the night.

Damn I never knew they were this underequipped.
 

McCool

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I think the Ukrainians are now trading land for time. The attrition seems to have hit the Russians very severely with daily reports coming out of destroyed and abandoned equipment on top of mass unit surrender everywhere. Maybe once the Russians are weak enough the Ukrainians will assemble a massive counter offensive force and counter attack.
 

Fuzuli NL

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Surrendering lands is a cucked move.

I dont want people comparing this man to Ataturk.

Ataturk was actually willing to clawback all lost Turkish lands while this man is willing to surrender an inch.

If Zelensky surrenders those lands completely I kid you not he will be remembered as a coward.
Zelensky can't even be Atatürk's used toilet paper, let alone be compared to him.
 

Baljak

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Apparently south korean ex navy seal that has now made it to UKR as volunteer @Baljak

View attachment 40686

This guy went through the Navy Seal in the United States, later served in the UDT, a special Korean unit, and was in Somalia from 2009 to 2010 and dispatched to Iraq from 2016 to 2017. I want to applaud the courage of this man who is making a lot of issues in Korea now. I hope he comes back alive.

But there are many issues in South Korea because of this guy. Currently, the Korean government has designated Ukraine as a travel ban country. This man did not officially participate in the Ukrainian war on behalf of the Korean military, but made his own decision without obtaining permission from the government and went to Ukraine. If this person is taken hostage, the Korean government is responsible for saving this person. So some Koreans are accusing this man of being irresponsible.

Not long ago, Ukraine officially requested support for South Korea's military weapons through the Ukrainian Embassy in South Korea. However, the Korean government could not meet this request. There are many reasons for this, and Korea has currently provided $10 million in relief supplies to Ukraine and will provide additional support. It also imposed economic sanctions, including a ban on exports of strategic materials and semiconductors to Russia.

Another reason is that if South Korea provides Ukraine with Military weapons, diplomatic relations between South Korea and Russia could worsen. The Korean Peninsula is geographically very close to Russia, so I don't know if you know it, but North Korea borders China and Russia. This means that if the Korean Peninsula is later unified, it cannot be free from the influence of China and Russia.
 

goldsilver

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"Nikolai Mikolivitch, a former Givati combat soldier now in a Ukrainian special forces unit defending Kyiv, tells Channel 12 that it’ll take several days before Russian forces manage to breach the capital.

Mikolivitch says the Russians are roughly 10 kilometers from the edge of Kyiv but that they will try and surround the city upon entry.

They will be met by a Ukrainian army determined to send Russian troops back home “in body bags,” Mikolivitch says.

Speaking in Hebrew, the former IDF soldier says the operation has not gone as planned for Russian President Vladimir Putin. “You’ve seen in Israel how many tanks have been burned and the helicopters that have been shot down.”

“Inside Kyiv, thousands of people are waiting for them, armed,” Mikolivitch says."

 

Baljak

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Ban on Russian Oil exports to the U.S. announced.

View attachment 40725
Before Russia invaded Ukraine, China purchased a large amount of Russian oil and gas. This has the effect of China helping Russia's economy indirectly. Economic sanctions against Russia, led by the U.S. and Europe, take a little longer to work.
 

tomthebotfly

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Before Russia invaded Ukraine, China purchased a large amount of Russian oil and gas. This has the effect of China helping Russia's economy indirectly. Economic sanctions against Russia, led by the U.S. and Europe, take a little longer to work.
How does China import so much Russian oil with only one pipeline??? There's like 5 pipelines going to Europe and 1 to China (with 1 in construction)

1646758451756.png


Europe in comparison:
1646758574135.png
 

Baljak

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How does China import so much Russian oil with only one pipeline??? There's like 5 pipelines going to Europe and 1 to China (with 1 in construction)

View attachment 40726

Europe in comparison:
View attachment 40727
Russia can provide resources through Vladivostok or other means of land if China wants. The closest route to China, not the pipeline, is to use the Trans-Siberian train in Northern China. Currently, there are three freight train routes in China that can go to Russia (Urumchi, Beijing, Harbin).
 
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