ON THE BATTLEFIELD, BARREL?
https://m-kalashnikov.livejournal.com/4228633.html
Maxim KALASHNIKOV
ON THE BATTLEFIELD, BORREL?
The enemy has made a clear bet on the depletion of the Russian Federation. What to oppose to him?
After the words of the EU High Representative for Foreign Policy , Zh .Borrel's statement that the problem with the Russians should be solved only on the battlefield, everything became extremely clear. The enemy's plans have lost all fog.
Now we need to destroy them. And seize the initiative again.
ENEMY PLANS: VERDUN-2
As of today, the enemy has come to the conclusion that he has managed to impose a profitable strategy on Moscow. That is, a protracted, exhausting war. With a long and bloody struggle for the cities of the Left Bank, and with huge political and psychological costs. The closest analogue is the Battle of Verdun of the First World War (February-December 1916), nicknamed the "meat grinder". In this case, not only Mariupol, but also other cities of Donbass should become a "distributed Verdun". Transformed into "fortress-festungs". Kramatorsk, Lisichansk, Severodonetsk and other cities are simply sacrificed. The APU cannot conduct field battles – they have no chance there. But a viscous "small war" in urban agglomerations – yes, this is an obvious bet.
They want (already with the help of the flow of money and weapons from the West) to turn every city on the Left Bank and Donbass in particular into "Mariupol" to one degree or another. According to our enemy, he managed to delay at least half of the AFU army that besieged LDNR in early 2022 and hide them in cities (Kramatorsk, Slavyansk, Severodonetsk, etc.). Thereby creating a lot of hard "nuts" and "stones" in the way of possible movement of parts of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation and LDNR, seeking to surround the Donbass group of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. For a month and a half since the beginning of the campaign, the adversary managed to prepare for such a development of events. The factor of surprise, as he believes, Moscow has lost and he knows the direction of the blows of its forces. Financial support for Kiev is possible in principle: the enemy has taken away over 320 billion dollars of reserves from the Russian Federation – this is about 6.5 of the annual budgets of Ukraine in 2021.
Actually Mariupol, as well as Maryinka and Avdiivka, the enemy expects to turn into a mill for the manpower of the LDPR militia. Calculation? Since Moscow will not mobilize in the Russian Federation due to possible unpleasant domestic political consequences, the main land-striking force is now the militia of the republics of the Donetsk Ridge. But their limits are limited, so the task is to deplete them in local "verdun". And the forces of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation in Ukraine are already overstressed, "stretched" and moved to the positional. It is impossible to change the situation without mobilization.
Combining all this with the economic blockade and sanctions, with the transfer of sabotage operations to the territory of the Russian Federation and the "small war" on the lands and cities of the former USSR, the enemy seeks to turn the campaign into a kind of long-term Chechen war. To the exhaustion. Eventually causing an economic collapse in our rear, and with political consequences. And by ourselves – in the end, to introduce NATO forces to the west of Ukraine.
This is the plan we need to destroy now.
HIGHLY ACCURATE AND SNIPING
Unfortunately, we don't have a time machine to go back to the spring of 2014. Or at least on February 24, 2022, so as not to be distracted by Kiev, Chernihiv, Sumy and Kharkiv, and immediately (while she was still in the field) surround the Donbass group of the Armed Forces of Ukraine with converging strikes from the Crimea and from the direction south-east of Kharkov. To arrange a Sedan-Stalingrad-Cannes for the largest enemy army, preventing any attempt to unblock it with the help of complete air supremacy. As we warned with alarm, the moment has come when the offensive capabilities of our limited contingent have been exhausted.
Now, in order to avoid ruinous prolongation of the campaign, it is necessary to take very non-trivial, combined actions. If the mobilization in the Russian Federation is unacceptable because of the unpopularity of such a decision, then what remains?
- Continue to throw the West (and the whole world) into a new round of the global economic crisis, while simultaneously pursuing a clearly stated and outlined course for a new industrialization. (Which, alas, is not being done yet). The global crisis will destroy the entire system of anti-Russian sanctions.
- Go to the strategy of defeating the enemy's top brass with the help of high-precision ranged weapons and MTR forces. Which will require a radical improvement in the work of intelligence, the elimination of "slack" in terms of communication and the same operational intelligence. It is better to behead the enemy than to get bogged down in a war for cities.
- Completely cut communications to supply the AFU forces in the Donbass and on the Left Bank in general, using missile and aviation dominance. Which, however, will require humanitarian operations to rescue the civilian population of these regions.
I think this is better than turning the cities of the Left Bank (Donbass in particular) into piles of rubble and incurring losses during their assaults. So we will "soften" Bandera, perhaps (if the West shows greed) we will get the economic collapse of the Kiev regime and prepare the opportunity for the continuation of the land onslaught. Although even here partial mobilization in the Russian Federation will be needed.
We need to forget about the end of the operation by May 9, 2022 – and act accurately, in cold blood. According to their plans, not according to others! So that all sorts of borrels do not rejoice.