Stagnating Ukranian forces is bad
There are rumors that soon Moldova will be invaded
Idk why Zelensky still havent caotured bloody Kherson. The battle of Kherson will literally determine all of this war's future outcome
It's not easy to simply re-take Kherson. The Russians are dug in there and have been re-enforcing the area, backed up by artillery and air power.
It would be extremely costly for Ukraine to launch a large scale offensive into Kherson, with the limited number of troops and armor (without extensive air support) in that region. Ukranian counter attacks at the moment, are designed to bog down Russian units and slowly take back strategic, while creating the time neccessary for the influx of Western resources to reach Ukraine, in unison with tens of thousands of Terriotorial Defense members, who are at various stages of training.
The recent 40 country conference in Germany is going to ensure that we see the biggest supply of military goods to a nation, since WWII. The U.S., alone, is going to spend another $33 billion on the effort. I'd expect that number to be matched, or surpassed by the combination of the other 39 countries that were involved in the conference. Don't be surprised if you see the following sent to Ukraine (a lot will not be announced publically) in the coming month.
- 200-300 more main battle tanks.
- 200-300 more pieces of artillery, including 155mm, 152 mm and MLRS, as well as sophisticated counter artillery radar systems, designed to seek out and destroy Russian counter batteries.
- 300-500 armored fighting vehicles, armored personnel carriers and infantry fighting vehicles.
- Dozens of mobile anti-air vehicles, equiped with systems such as Starstreak and Mistrial.
- Hundreds of drones to be used in lockstep with guided artillery, as well as hundreds of loitering munitions drones, made by 3 or 4 companies in the West.
- Several thousand more ATGMS, including Javelins, NLAWS, Panzerfaust 3, MILAN, mounted TOW missiles, etc.
- Long range, guided rockets, that can be launched from drones, as well as land based systems, more surgical strikes on high value Russian targets.
- Hundreds of millions of rounds of mixed ammunition for rifles, mortars, and vehicle mounted weapons.
- Millions of litres of fuel and thousands of spare parts, to keep the war machine up and running.
- Eventually, some kind of added air assets, whether it's in the form of fixed wing / rotary aircraft, transport planes, etc.
The truth is that 10's of thousands of Ukrainians will need to be taught how to use this equipment, in support of the existing military, that is already engaged at the front. Many hundreds already are, in places like Poland, France, Germany and the USA, but many more will have to be trained, before Ukraine can even think of using those weapons for mobile offensives. In the meanwhile, Russia is not only going to to continue to take land in the East, but the Ukrainians are going to to continue to trade space for time, before counter attacking when they've received their Western ressuply, as well as the reinforcements of troops needed to go on the assault.
t.me
