You think Iam kidding?
Just 2 days ago, more than 800 vehicles have been transferred from Crimea to Kherson front. Russia is rumored to have lost from 5000-8000 vehicles and yet they still have vehicles of 800! To supply to its second-most important frontline
Ukraine is rumored to destroy from 20-60 vehicles per day and when Russia just supplies 800 in a day; that is literally a setback of 13 days in best case scenario and this isnt good at all
Moreover, around 3-5 battalion groups are being formed within Russia from new recruits and Kherson has around 10k-15k Filthy russian soldiers remaining alive till now
How on bloody earth do you think you can win against those numbers when Ukraine relies on Western aid for everything and Russia is recording astronomical surpluses from gas sales; moreover, even if Russia cant manufacture modern weaponry, they can still manufacture old soviet weaponry with their massive coffers
War isnt just about what YOU want to believe. It is also about statistics and tactics and the current data isnt that favourable to Ukraine
This is one thing Russia is great about killing more of their own rather than enemies, who will be killed along, somehow.
It is sad to say but as time passes on, I get more confident that Ukraine wont be able to get Kherson back
Well, I would not be so negative. The thing is, U. does not want to waste their people and infra like R. U. has to find a way to overcome such obstacles and so far they have learned to defend rather than attack. Remember, there is a real nuclear threat regarding the Energhodar nuclear plant, which is the biggest in Europe.
On the other side, R. resources are enormous indeed, regarding manpower and technology. It will take a long time for a U. small meat grinder to grind this R. elephant. The amount of resources in R. hands comes from the Law of the Transition of Quantity into Quality. There are many proverbs in the Russian language about that: "Против лома нет приёма" (against a metal bar there is no escape); "Сила есть - ума не надо" (if one has enough power, there is no need to think) and so forth. A brutal, but effective way of solving problems.
Somehow, "черес зопу" (through the ass), this state works. There is a prophecy by Russian writer
Ivan Goncharov, named "
Oblomov", written in 1859 if someone is interested to discover the twisted mindset of Russian society. Laziness is the biggest curse of this nation and in presence of a waste resource pool, it can be viable for a long-long time. Russia had its moments, but mostly it resembles a slow degradation. If someone asks from sociologists what is wrong with Russia, the answer could be: nothing, everything happens just 200 years later. Go figure...