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Sometimes I wonder if this conflict would have ended faster if Russia decided to fight IDF style.
1. Andriy Yermak is desperately trying to convince US officials to continue weapons assistance
2. Oleksandr Dubinsky has been placed under house arrest, it seems he and a group are accused of leading the charge to overthrow Zelensky. The issue is, he is being charged with corruption, as part of the Quid Pro Quo the democrats alleged on Trump, that Dubinsky was the guy providing Intel on the financial dealings between Biden and his family and the Yermak/Zelensky administration. The plot thickens, as they are begging trump now to open the spigot of military and financial assistance , which is held ransom by the Republicans in the House of Representatives
3. Zaluzhny is already tapped to replace Zelensky, but this faction supported by certain forces in the US (Biden) is now trying to discredit Zaluzhny, by leaking articles to the New York Times - which state that Zaluzhny was in effect responsible for the nord stream pipeline bombings. It's clear that within the US, Europe, and Ukraine, 2 factions have split, with Yermak, Zelensky, Biden, as the main actors in one team, and Zaluzhny, Arestovich, perhaps US Republicans on the other. Either way, if Zelensky is toppled it's likely that Ukraine wants to negotiate a surrender, and join NATO as a consolation for the territorial losses. The problem is, the Russian war economy is not being factored by the western analysts, and so they just discuss the topic as if Russia was not influential at all to the situation- and it is just seen from Ukraines eyes, either total victory, or the NATO membership.
What is funny, is Russia has no intention to negotiate with either party. Russia is going to collapse Ukraine and all support for it, exactly as its doing. As Avdeevka falls, the events in Kiev will accelerate, and if he is removed, Zaluzhny will likely have to double down on Zelenskys original strategy, as Russia is in no mood to negotiate anything with Ukraine. However, Zaluzhny could be better suited to lead Ukraine from a military POV. Meaning Ukraines defenses could improve simply because a general would be leading the war. But my belief, and the belief of Russian military experts, is that Zaluzhny has no chance to mount a defense, after Donbass is captured. He can't do what Surovikin did, and dig trenches with mines, because the crucial factor lacking, is the aviation. And that will prevent them from establishing any kind of meaningful defense to stop the Russian army.
To better illustrate what I mean, you will see that the M-19 highway, is basically what the Ukrainian army, used to build its defensive positions. Essentially they followed the road from Kharkov to Donetsk, taking advantage of the dozens of factories, mini cities, plants, and infrastructure to build a massive fortified complex. But take a look behind, there is nothing behind it, there is one major highway, which leads to Poltava, but which runs east-west, and then no big chain of cities or infrastructure , until the E-105 which runs from Kharkov to Zaporozhye/Melitopol. That will be the next target for the Russian army, essentially after the Donbass, a series of big arrow maneuvers, which favor the army, as the terrain is flat, and there are no large urban agglomerations to build a large defense
1. Andriy Yermak is desperately trying to convince US officials to continue weapons assistance
2. Oleksandr Dubinsky has been placed under house arrest, it seems he and a group are accused of leading the charge to overthrow Zelensky. The issue is, he is being charged with corruption, as part of the Quid Pro Quo the democrats alleged on Trump, that Dubinsky was the guy providing Intel on the financial dealings between Biden and his family and the Yermak/Zelensky administration. The plot thickens, as they are begging trump now to open the spigot of military and financial assistance , which is held ransom by the Republicans in the House of Representatives
3. Zaluzhny is already tapped to replace Zelensky, but this faction supported by certain forces in the US (Biden) is now trying to discredit Zaluzhny, by leaking articles to the New York Times - which state that Zaluzhny was in effect responsible for the nord stream pipeline bombings. It's clear that within the US, Europe, and Ukraine, 2 factions have split, with Yermak, Zelensky, Biden, as the main actors in one team, and Zaluzhny, Arestovich, perhaps US Republicans on the other. Either way, if Zelensky is toppled it's likely that Ukraine wants to negotiate a surrender, and join NATO as a consolation for the territorial losses. The problem is, the Russian war economy is not being factored by the western analysts, and so they just discuss the topic as if Russia was not influential at all to the situation- and it is just seen from Ukraines eyes, either total victory, or the NATO membership.
What is funny, is Russia has no intention to negotiate with either party. Russia is going to collapse Ukraine and all support for it, exactly as its doing. As Avdeevka falls, the events in Kiev will accelerate, and if he is removed, Zaluzhny will likely have to double down on Zelenskys original strategy, as Russia is in no mood to negotiate anything with Ukraine. However, Zaluzhny could be better suited to lead Ukraine from a military POV. Meaning Ukraines defenses could improve simply because a general would be leading the war. But my belief, and the belief of Russian military experts, is that Zaluzhny has no chance to mount a defense, after Donbass is captured. He can't do what Surovikin did, and dig trenches with mines, because the crucial factor lacking, is the aviation. And that will prevent them from establishing any kind of meaningful defense to stop the Russian army.
To better illustrate what I mean, you will see that the M-19 highway, is basically what the Ukrainian army, used to build its defensive positions. Essentially they followed the road from Kharkov to Donetsk, taking advantage of the dozens of factories, mini cities, plants, and infrastructure to build a massive fortified complex. But take a look behind, there is nothing behind it, there is one major highway, which leads to Poltava, but which runs east-west, and then no big chain of cities or infrastructure , until the E-105 which runs from Kharkov to Zaporozhye/Melitopol. That will be the next target for the Russian army, essentially after the Donbass, a series of big arrow maneuvers, which favor the army, as the terrain is flat, and there are no large urban agglomerations to build a large defense
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delivered to Ukraine. The Germans continue to send consistent shipments to Ukraine.
. Both exploded
this is something that i expected to see in a tom&jerry cartoon 
