Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

[Relic]

Covert Cabal with another great video explaining exactly what I've been talking about... This time they're looking at the Russian 22nd centralized storage base that wad home to thousands of MBTs and IFVs at the beginning of the war. It's now down to 102 stored tanks, most of which need substantial refurbishment before they can be used in combat. That's only 13% of what they started the war with. There are also approximately 300 BMPs remaining, in mixed state of readiness.

As I've been saying, by the end of 2025 Russia will be nearly out of tanks and IFVs that is can pull from storage and easily restore. At that point, their "production" rates will bottom out because they've largely been bolstered by the fact that 80% of the "new" armor thry produce is actually refurbished equioment. As that source of equipment runs low, production is set to plummet... The Russians know it too.

If the West refuses to be short sighted, they'll see that another 1000'ish APCs, 700'ish IFVs and 400'ish MBTs is more than enough for Ukraine to ensure another year of fighting at the front, while Russia begins to run painfully low on anything one might call a modern MBT or IFV.

 

[MaciekRS]

Swiss is turning into a joke (I mean russia friend, we all knew it)
"GENEVA (AP) — The Swiss government said Friday it is barring exports to a Polish military hardware supplier after concluding that some 645,000 rounds of Swiss-made small-caliber ammunition ended up in Ukraine in violation of Swiss law.

Switzerland has been at pains to maintain its reputation for neutrality in the wake of Russia’s full-scale war in Ukraine. Last year, Switzerland insisted German-made tanks it had owned but decommissioned could not be sent to Ukraine."

Switzerland bars exports to Polish firm after Swiss-made ammunition ends up in Ukraine

The Swiss government says it is barring exports to a Polish military hardware supplier after concluding that some 645,000 rounds of Swiss-made small-caliber ammunition ended up in Ukraine in violation of Swiss law.

apnews.com

The most important is that this ammo is in Ukraine

 

[MaciekRS]

Attacking the biggest nuclear country and its territory with long range missiles is not reckless? You ok or just ignorant?

It looks like there will be more strikes

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1860394019991486734

 

[blackjack]

As I've been saying, by the end of 2025 Russia will be nearly out of tanks and IFVs that is can pull from storage and easily restore. At that point, their "production" rates will bottom out because they've largely been bolstered by the fact that 80% of the "new" armor thry produce is actually refurbished equioment. As that source of equipment runs low, production is set to plummet... The Russians know it too.

I remember hearing at the start of the war the Russians will be out of missiles any day now or any minute now, and still we have western leaders that state they outproduce the EU. In order for the Russians to be out of tanks and IFVs the Ukrainians have to destroy far more Russian equipment than their own, but you failed numerous times to show this. Just like another user here can't refute this.

Forecasts show Russia may overtake Japan in terms of GDP growth by 2030

Andrey Belousov opined that the Russian Central Bank’s key rate would remain at a high level so far, declining to 6-7% by 2027

tass.com

 

[Huelague]

The situation awareness is close connected with “wishful thinkings”. As the Germans say, ‚the wish is the father of the thought‘. Objective assessment on the ground is really rare here. Everyone has its own reality.

 

[Huelague]

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1859990225340215535

Are these Russian soldiers or Chechens?

 

[MaciekRS]

And today in Kursk oblast

Orion412 (@orion412x.bsky.social)

Kursk explosions

bsky.app

Air alerts declared for more regions:
Kursk region
Belgorod region
Bryansk region
Oryol region
Kaluga region
Lipetsk region
Voronezh region

 

[Huelague]

I have some problems with important terms. “Attacking”. If some one was attacked first, and he respond with a back-strike, is that means attacking? It’s important in that way, that many countries have a military mutual assistance pact. These pact will triggered, if a member country will be ‘attacked’. But what happens if this country strike first.

 

[Spitfire9]

Attacking the biggest nuclear country and its territory with long range missiles is not reckless? You ok or just ignorant?

I don't like your manners too much. Perhaps you could cut back on the insulting arrogance?

The timidity of the west has allowed Russia to set the rules in this conflict. If the west wants Ukraine to survive, the west needs to allow its weapons to be used by Ukraine to strike inside Russia. If countries followed your logic an aggressor with atomic weapons could safely attack any country, knowing it would suffer no damage to itself.

 

[Huelague]

The timidity of the west has allowed Russia to set the rules in this conflict. If the west wants Ukraine to survive, the west needs to allow its weapons to be used by Ukraine to strike inside Russia. If countries followed your logic an aggressor with atomic weapons could safely attack any country, knowing it would suffer no damage to itself.

In this scenario, how could a Russian responds look like?

 

[Spitfire9]

In this scenario, how could a Russian responds look like?

What is the scenario? If you mean Russia being subject to Ukraine attacking Russian military assets within Russia used to attack Ukraine (air bases, command centres, ammunition dumps, factories producing military equipment and ammunition etc) I would expect Russia to intensify attacks on Ukraine. Starting a nuclear war because you have big problems winning a conventional war of aggression against another country seems unlikely to me, It is not as if Russia's existence is at stake. Ukraine is not trying to conquer Russia.