Russia’s Finance Ministry on Wednesday proposed raising the country’s value-added tax (VAT) from 20% to 22% starting next year, as part of a new three-year budget plan aimed at covering surging defense and security spending.
The increase would generate an estimated 1.3 trillion rubles ($15.5 billion) in revenues annually, according to the business newspaper Kommersant, which published, then later deleted, a Finance Ministry forecast showing Russia’s GDP growth slowing to 1% this year, down from an earlier 2.5% estimate. For 2026, policymakers now anticipate economic growth of just 0.5%, far below previous projections of 3%.
Russia’s Finance Ministry is seeking to reassure consumers, who are likely to feel the strain of a VAT increase in the short term, that the impact on prices will be “moderate and limited.” In a statement on Wednesday, the ministry said a reduced 10% VAT rate will remain in place for essential goods like bread, dairy, meat, medicines and children’s products.
The proposed tax hike comes as the federal budget deficit reached 4.88 trillion rubles ($61.1 billion) between January and July, already exceeding the government’s full-year target. Weaker global oil prices, a stronger ruble and high interest rates have sapped growth this year, forcing the government to find ways to make up for the lost revenues.

Russia Moves to Raise VAT by 2% as Budget Deficit Swells - The Moscow Times
Russia’s Finance Ministry on Wednesday proposed raising the country’s value-added tax (VAT) from 20% to 22% starting next year, as part of a new three-year budget plan aimed at covering surging defense and security spending.
Make of this what you will. I see Russia's economy and government finances sliding further in 2026. How much longer can it afford to finance a now senseless war? To me it became senseless early in 2022 when it became apparent that Russia could not take Kyiv in a few days or weeks, so overthrowing the Ukrainian government.