He had Hook the last time as well. Not much happened besides sanctions then, Trump relented from aggressing directly.
If we assume consistency with his last term, he will do the sanctions, but I don't think he will do the foolish thing and attack Iran directly. He's going to be looking at creating an equilibrium in the Middle East which satisfies Israel and enables American withdrawal. The Palestinians are fucked in this equation. Draining the countries vitality for more silly wars, would completely defeat his premise of focusing on domestic revitalization.
Obviously this presupposes, at a minimum, that the political conditions domestically are a replica of the last term. However, we do not yet know how the internal power structures will deal with Trump this time around.
In the Turkish, Pakistani context if Trump successfully acquires the reigns of the countries foreign policy, perhaps having to squash some neocons in the process, this will certainly be a positive development. Both countries will be under much less political pressure. The big question mark is what the security apparatus has planned for him this time around.
Like, sure, it's a conspiracy thinking he *wanted* Kamala to lose, he totally didn't, but it's funny to think about. Grampa just going out with a smile and a big "fuck you".
