TR 2023 Turkish presidential election

[Heartbang]

The first ballot box results tend to come from small villages with 100-something voters. And those tend to overwhelmingly favor Erdogan. At this time of the day its futile to make any assumptions.

 

[dBSPL]

The election is likely to go to the second round. Sinan Ogan will give the elected president his licence.

 

[UcanTost]

I am keeping track of this actually. RTE is currently losing 0.17%-points for every %-point increase in counted votes. At this rate it will go to the 2nd round.

RTE's loss is however diminishing at more votes are counted as expected

Dont know what your last sentence means but 0.17% grows as more votes are counted

 

[Rodeo]

No foult of AA , it depeds where they start to count the voters . If 25% of voters are count and erdogan is 54% that mean erdogan win the election in first round and all of us just accept it . I hipe Oğan get 5-6% while separatist party hdp less than 7% from 11% that took before .

30% opened and Erdoğan is at 53%. Do you see what I mean?

 

[Oublious]

No foult of AA , it depeds where they start to count the voters . If 25% of voters are count and erdogan is 54% that mean erdogan win the election in first round and all of us just accept it . I hipe Oğan get 5-6% while separatist party hdp less than 7% from 11% that took before .

If 50% is open then you can say that, for now you have to wait untill 50% is counted.

 

[Agha Sher]

RTE currently losing 0.13%-points for every %-point increase in counted votes.

Rate continues to slow down

 

[dBSPL]

This is the now traditional tactic of Akp organisations. Western regions are actually faster, but they submit objection petitions to all ballot boxes as a block. For this reason, the eastern region enters the data into the system first. The aim is psychological.

 

[Crush716]

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1657784015984664577

“Canan Kaftancıoğlu explained:

As of 19.17 in Istanbul, 15% of the ballot boxes entered the system and according to the data, 15%:

Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu: 51.33%
R. Tayyip Erdogan: 43.94%
Sinan Ogan: 4.45%
Muharrem Slim: 0.28%”

 

[Rooxbar]

There's another factor. Trump was winning until like 90% of the vote was counted. Rural and small cities vote conservative and their small ballot boxes are counted first and reach the news agencies first. After about 60%, bigger boxes start showing their results. In all elections around the world, the candidates who win the rural and more conservative vote come out on top first. But the important thing is how much higher their votes are when they get to that 50%, because after that, it's downhill. The fact that the data started from 60-35 instead of like 70-25, is due to two factors. KK has gained good amount of votes even in those small cities, and also because of the small cities in the southeast who vote hdp.

 

[Agha Sher]

at 1/3 of the votes counted, RTE is currently losing 0.11%-points for every %-point increase in counted votes.

Rate continues to slow down

 

[dBSPL]

Sinan Oğan's vote rate seems to be around 6%. If İnce had not withdrawn, he would have been in the 2-5 band. In other words, there was a segment of about 10% that would not be a party to the imposition of RTE and KK in any way. This 10 per cent will become 50 per cent in 5 years.

 

[Agha Sher]

at 36% of the votes counted, RTE is currently losing 0.08%-points for every %-point increase in counted votes. This is a dramatic change! RTE is stabilizing.

If this rate remains constant (unlikely), RTE will get around 48% of the votes.

Rate continues to slow down.

 

[TheInsider]

According to my sources, Kılıçdaroğlu is winning slightly. Two candidates are neck and neck and neither is above %50. We will see whether it will stay that way.

 

[UcanTost]

at 36% of the votes counted, RTE is currently losing 0.08%-points for every %-point increase in counted votes. This is a dramatic change! RTE is stabilizing.

If this rate remains constant (unlikely), RTE will get around 48% of the votes.

Rate continues to slow down.

Loss rate decreases as vote counts increases but rate increases for votes for kemal over erdogan.

 

[Deliorman]

Get Ready for the KK win with 50,000001% of the votes.

 

[dBSPL]

at 36% of the votes counted, RTE is currently losing 0.08%-points for every %-point increase in counted votes. This is a dramatic change! RTE is stabilizing.

If this rate remains constant (unlikely), RTE will get around 48% of the votes.

Rate continues to slow down.

As the total number of votes counted increases, the momentum will decrease, my estimation is as follows,

RTE - 49
KK - 45
SO - 6

This is the success of the Chp brain trust! After other parties(and non party segments) take their deputies elected by CHP voters, there is a danger that CHP will fall below 100 deputies. This is the main dramatic result that is visible to me now. Some of my friends were offended when I wrote this here before.

 

[what]

As already mentioned, unnecessary appeals are made at ballots where KK is leading.
So the results are scewed a lot right now.

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1657782332244254723

 

[Numberone]

Kilicdaroglu is in the lead. AA is an AKPian institution, we have seen their perception creating ways in the previous elections aswel.

4-5 minutes 440k likes

 

[dBSPL]

Just half an hour ago, Anka News Agency was showing RTE 5 points ahead. CHP members are the ones who entered the data. In half an hour, they closed the 5-point gap and took the lead. OK, I believe it. Yes, AA is manipulating, but I think everyone has started to adapt to this game.

 

[Agha Sher]

at 44% of the votes counted, RTE is currently losing 0.059%-points for every %-point increase in counted votes. RTE is stabilizing.

If this rate remains constant (unlikely), RTE will get around 49% of the votes!