Live Conflict Syria Civil War

[wolveray1]

SNA is either an incompetent force or Turkey severely warned by US.
They should have taken manbij already and move toward raqqa.
While HTS is on the way conquering Damascus yet SNA is still deliberating.
Most likely they are being warned by US.

 

[No Name]

View attachment 72507

Post shared on a Russian telegram channel

Turkey's Preparations for an Operation Against the Kurds
As we reported following the beginning of the militants' offensive and the fall of Aleppo, the Turks were preparing to enter into direct conflict with the Kurdish "Syrian Democratic Forces" to resolve their own objectives. Initially, they employed the militants of the "Syrian National Army" (SNA) for this purpose.
However, the Turkish-controlled units attempted to attack the SDF's defensive lines in the Manbij direction several times, but each time unsuccessfully. And yesterday, there was even unconfirmed information about battles in the area of the Kweires airfield, meaning the Kurds counterattacked and were successful.
Against the backdrop of the failures of Turkish proxies, the likelihood of the deployment of Turkish troops is increasing. It is indicative how actively the Turks have recently been striking SDF positions, using both artillery and UAVs, which hit both the rear and front-line objects of the Kurds.
Over the past two days, 30 drones ("Bayraktar", "Akıncı", "Aksungur" and "Anka") have been observed operating along the border line, and the bulk of them flew in the area of Manbij and Ain al-Arab, which the Russian and Syrian servicemen left.
Given the removal of the front line to Homs and the approach of HTS militants to Latakia, the Turkish authorities are well aware that they should not expect obstacles from the Syrian government and the Russian contingent - there are more important problems there.
Therefore, we do not exclude such a scenario that, against the background of all the turmoil and total destabilization, the Turkish authorities will try to resolve long-standing issues with the Kurds. But even with such chaos, one should not expect inaction from the Kurds. The Turks have been trying to do this for many years, but each time they returned empty-handed.
High-resolution map
Key Points Translated:
* Turkey's Plans: Turkey has been preparing for a direct confrontation with the Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF).
* Failed Attempts: Turkish-backed forces have previously tried and failed to attack SDF positions, especially around Manbij.
* Increased Turkish Activity: Turkey has been stepping up its attacks on SDF targets using drones and artillery.
* Potential for Turkish Ground Intervention: Given the current situation, including the withdrawal of Russian and Syrian forces from certain areas, Turkey may see an opportunity to launch a ground offensive against the SDF.
* Kurdish Resistance: Despite the challenges, the Kurds are expected to resist any Turkish attack.

From what I can gather, the SNA didn't even try to attack Manbij so far; they just surrounded the area and took over the water infrastructure there.

The same sources that claim that the SDF made it to Kweires airfield also say that they captured al-Khafsa town and its water station. The SDF itself has come out and said rumours about their advance were false.

SNA is either an incompetent force or Turkey severely warned by US.
They should have taken manbij already and move toward raqqa.
While HTS is on the way conquering Damascus yet SNA is still deliberating.
Most likely they are being warned by US.

There are two big reasons why the SNA didn't attack yet other than the involvment of the US. The first one is that SNA forces are split up into two groups, one at Manbij and the second fighting alongside the HTS. The second problem is that SDF, in typical PKK fashion has created tunnels around Manbij and turned it into a fortress.

That is why the SNA is moving slowly to neutralise as many defenders before the attack as passable.

 

[Anmdt]

The best description I can give of Turkey as a country is like having a girlfriend with a bipolar disorder if NATO or Russia were the BFs.
View attachment 72508

If this analogy were ever to work, Russia would be the schizophrenic old lady in the neighbourhood who keeps recalling and mumbling the good old days that never happened and living in an illusion.

 

[dBSPL]

Sleeper cells in Talbisah attacked the regime militants; the Turkmen town of Talbisah at the entrance to Homs fell to the opposition.

Just 30 kilometers left to the north of Lebanon.

 

[dBSPL]

Israel launched an airstrike on advanced weapons depots in southeastern Aleppo.

To Prevent the Weapons from Falling into the Hands of Opposition Groups...

The aim was announced as preventing the opposition from gaining control of these strategic weapons during their advance. However, this situation also strengthened the perception that Israel was indirectly on the side of the Assad regime.

While the rapid advance of the opposition in Aleppo and Hama in recent times has caused defeats for the Syrian army, this intervention by Israel has made the dynamics of the conflict even more complicated. It is clear that Israel is trying to prevent the weapons from falling into the "wrong hands"; however, it seems inevitable that this step will further increase tensions in the region.

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1864644939583201385

 

[dBSPL]

The Turkmen neighborhood of Dar al-Kebira has fallen into the hands of the opposition. The opposition is now at the entrance to Homs. They are 8 kilometers from the M1 Tartus-Hama road. It is quite possible that Russia and Iran will start on the negotiations in Doha while the regime-controlled area divided in two.

 

[Sanchez]

Syrian rebel leader says goal is to ‘overthrow’ Assad regime​

"In an exclusive interview with CNN, al-Jolani left no doubt that the ambitions of Hayat Tahrir Al-Sham (HTS) – a group that was formed out of a former al Qaeda affiliate – are nothing less than bringing an end to the Assad regime. In his first sit-down media interview in years, at an undisclosed location in Syria, he spoke about plans to create a government based on institutions and a “council chosen by the people.”

“When we talk about objectives, the goal of the revolution remains the overthrow of this regime. It is our right to use all available means to achieve that goal,” said al-Jolani.

“The seeds of the regime’s defeat have always been within it… the Iranians attempted to revive the regime, buying it time, and later the Russians also tried to prop it up. But the truth remains: this regime is dead.”...

The US, Turkey, the United Nations and several other Western nations continue to designate HTS as a Foreign Terrorist Organization, despite the group’s attempts to distance itself from its roots....

On Thursday, al-Jolani projected a different vision for the war-torn country. In a sign of his attempted rebranding, he also publicly used his real name for the first time – Ahmed al-Sharaa – instead of the nom de guerre by which he is widely known....

Al-Jolani also pushed back against the enduring terror designation of HTS, calling the label “primarily political and, at the same time, inaccurate,” arguing that some extreme Islamist practices had “created a divide” between HTS and jihadist groups. He claimed that he was opposed to some of the more brutal tactics used by other jihadi groups which led to his severing ties with them. He also claimed that he was never personally involved in attacks on civilians....

Al-Jolani expressed a desire to see foreign forces leave Syria. There are currently forces from the US, Turkey, Russia and Iran as well as Iranian proxies in the country. “I think that once this regime falls, the issue will be resolved, and there will no longer be a need for any foreign forces to remain in Syria.”.....

“We are talking about a larger project – we are talking about building Syria,” Al-Jolani continued. “Hayat Tahrir al-Sham is merely one part of this dialogue, and it may dissolve at any time. It is not an end in itself but a means to perform a task: confronting this regime.”

https://edition.cnn.com/2024/12/06/middleeast/syria-rebel-forces-hayat-tahrir-al-sham-al-jolani-intl-latam/index.html

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1864934236031013296

 

[dBSPL]

Syrian rebel leader says goal is to ‘overthrow’ Assad regime​

"In an exclusive interview with CNN, al-Jolani left no doubt that the ambitions of Hayat Tahrir Al-Sham (HTS) – a group that was formed out of a former al Qaeda affiliate – are nothing less than bringing an end to the Assad regime. In his first sit-down media interview in years, at an undisclosed location in Syria, he spoke about plans to create a government based on institutions and a “council chosen by the people.”

“When we talk about objectives, the goal of the revolution remains the overthrow of this regime. It is our right to use all available means to achieve that goal,” said al-Jolani.

“The seeds of the regime’s defeat have always been within it… the Iranians attempted to revive the regime, buying it time, and later the Russians also tried to prop it up. But the truth remains: this regime is dead.”...

The US, Turkey, the United Nations and several other Western nations continue to designate HTS as a Foreign Terrorist Organization, despite the group’s attempts to distance itself from its roots....

On Thursday, al-Jolani projected a different vision for the war-torn country. In a sign of his attempted rebranding, he also publicly used his real name for the first time – Ahmed al-Sharaa – instead of the nom de guerre by which he is widely known....

Al-Jolani also pushed back against the enduring terror designation of HTS, calling the label “primarily political and, at the same time, inaccurate,” arguing that some extreme Islamist practices had “created a divide” between HTS and jihadist groups. He claimed that he was opposed to some of the more brutal tactics used by other jihadi groups which led to his severing ties with them. He also claimed that he was never personally involved in attacks on civilians....

Al-Jolani expressed a desire to see foreign forces leave Syria. There are currently forces from the US, Turkey, Russia and Iran as well as Iranian proxies in the country. “I think that once this regime falls, the issue will be resolved, and there will no longer be a need for any foreign forces to remain in Syria.”.....

“We are talking about a larger project – we are talking about building Syria,” Al-Jolani continued. “Hayat Tahrir al-Sham is merely one part of this dialogue, and it may dissolve at any time. It is not an end in itself but a means to perform a task: confronting this regime.”

https://edition.cnn.com/2024/12/06/middleeast/syria-rebel-forces-hayat-tahrir-al-sham-al-jolani-intl-latam/index.html

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1864934236031013296

The regime has largely collapsed. It seems that it will not be able to resist much in Homs, and that is why those fleeing from the opposition are fleeing towards Tartus and Latakia, not Damascus. We have come to the end of the Assad tyrant. His last big mistake was rejecting Turkiye's peace offer and the hand it extended. Ironically, his mistake that started the war also was not listening to TR.

I think Russia will somehow preserve its gains, but Iran is really getting a big kick.

 

[Sanchez]

The regime has largely collapsed. It seems that it will not be able to resist much in Homs, and that is why those fleeing from the opposition are fleeing towards Tartus and Latakia, not Damascus. We have come to the end of the Assad tyrant. His last big mistake was rejecting Turkiye's peace offer and the hand it extended. Ironically, his mistake that started the war also was not listening to TR.

I think Russia will somehow preserve its gains, but Iran is really getting a big kick.

Agreed. what about us... Fighting being stopped and Syria being open for business again, and the refugees being able to return are good. But is that it after 10 years of woes? Maybe we cut our losses, that's not too bad. But how do we win...

 

[Sanchez]

Steiner's counterattack seemingly didn't exist. PMF chairman calls it Syria's internal matter.

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1864939570413859049

 

[ExiledFalcon]

in Daraa Souther syria thing are heating up

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1864926943042310336

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1864926596643086750

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1864933105288556805

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1864941713392832709

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1864944637900730810

 

[Asena_great]

in Daraa Souther syria thing are heating up

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1864926943042310336

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1864926596643086750

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1864933105288556805

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1864941713392832709

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1864944637900730810

why i am feel bad about this ?? lets hop Israel wont roll in afterward

 

[dBSPL]

Pro-regime accounts report clashes in Jabal al-Turkman in the Latakia countryside.

 

[Saithan]

go ahead keep attacking Assad and weaken him soon you will see Israel knockings the door from the south while PKK from north they will connect in middle where American are. 3-4 month ago admiral cihat yayci warn this may happen watch the video that i have uploaded

There is always a risk of that happening, but you sound horribly desperate. you can't achieve anything if you divide your attention on would be cases.

Türkiye should move 40-60k troops and station them for an operation that we want against YPG, either Kamisli, or Menbic, and just prepare, really hardcore prepare. You see that will be a message for the PKK to not move a fucking muscle, while HTS+SNA takes all of Syria including the borders to Iraq. if PKK makes a move, we make a move.

What matters if that PKK stays still while HTS and SNA liberates Syria from the regime.

 

[500]

Israel launched an airstrike on advanced weapons depots in southeastern Aleppo.

To Prevent the Weapons from Falling into the Hands of Opposition Groups...

The aim was announced as preventing the opposition from gaining control of these strategic weapons during their advance. However, this situation also strengthened the perception that Israel was indirectly on the side of the Assad regime.

While the rapid advance of the opposition in Aleppo and Hama in recent times has caused defeats for the Syrian army, this intervention by Israel has made the dynamics of the conflict even more complicated. It is clear that Israel is trying to prevent the weapons from falling into the "wrong hands"; however, it seems inevitable that this step will further increase tensions in the region.

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1864644939583201385

It says that Israel attacked weapons which are still in Assad territories.

Israel also attacks bridges connecting Lebanon and Syria, which hinders Hezbollah to send reinforcements to Assad:

 

[dBSPL]

Gunshots are heard from the bases of the Assad Regime and its Allies on Mount Qasioun in Damascus!

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1864964415390441779

Assad regime is handing over the areas of the eastern Raqqa line, west of the Euphrates, to PKK/YPG terror group.

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1864965037376286720

The regime has signed numerous agreements with the US-backed PKK in the last week. It handed over the administration in Hasakah, wanted to hand over whole east of Aleppo and is now hand over the west of Deir ez-Zor.

Even as the regime collapses, there is still a sense of revenge against Turkiye. But these rats will have to flee back into their holes faster than they came.

 

[Angry Turk !!!]

Türkiye is to passive and it pisses me off...

 

[dBSPL]

Türkiye is to passive and it pisses me off...

Unless the regime is overthrown without any direct external intervention, Turkiye's military intervention can be used as an instrument to prevent these operations from achieving their goal. Finally, remember Operation Peace Spring (or Spring Shield later), we were under international pressure from all stakeholders in the Syrian issue, from the EU to Russia, from the US to the Gulf countries, from Israel to Iran, the international press tried to decontextualize the purpose of the operation and started extraordinary counter-propaganda. We were threatened with official letters by US and Russia and even regime bloc complained to the UNSC. We experienced these difficulties because the Syrian opposition has no international legitimacy even in 2019. They were ignored even during the Astana process, and until last week even Assad was ignoring them and millions of exiled people.

When the opposition gains that legitamacy, this will not only be the victory of HTS. HTS constitutes approximately 1/3 of all joint opposition forces as a military force. SNA umbrella have at least this much of it is. In a scenario where the opposition wins, I believe that the Turkish state will not be on the losing side. Because we know their innermost veins, our both political and inteligance capability is very high. More importantly, we are their only ally that has never given up supporting their struggle even their darkest days, for vast majority of society. Today, even the bread in Idlib's bakeries is baked with flour from Turkiye.

The ypg-pkk members know very well what will happen even just the Russian airspace control is over. I see the end of patience as good, I hope we will reap the fruits of the years of suffering, this time. Now that things have come to this point, if we think that the opposition should not overthrow the regime, that would be a historical mistake. Because as I write these, the regime is probably negotiating a new agreement with the ypg-pkk. If the same terrorist organization sending sympathetic messages to HTS causes some fears, it is necessary to see the other side of the coin and consider which conditions are more manageable.

 

[Asena_great]

Assad regime is handing over the areas of the eastern Raqqa line, west of the Euphrates, to PKK/YPG terror group.

The regime has signed numerous agreements with the US-backed PKK in the last week. It handed over the administration in Hasakah, wanted to hand over whole east of Aleppo and is now hand over the west of Deir ez-Zor.

Even as the regime collapses, there is still a sense of revenge against Turkiye. But these rats will have to flee back into their holes faster than they came.

İ TOLD you not to attack Assad this hard or he will give concession to PKK now everything i feared has come to pass. who is this jolani guy anyway ?? how much do we have control over him why he is not attacking YPG ?? is this our operation really ?? why SNA attack several days after HTS ?? why HTS kich SNA from aleppo's airport while it was SNA who capture it. from what i am seeing with the recent bahçeli's statement about öcalan, erdogan agreed to american's plan, allowing them to suppley HTS via turkish soil then they lunch this assault at first its benefit us greatly as israel remove both hezbullah and iranians from syria but now this assault shifting against our interest.

we cant take land from YPG since Americans are protecting the we could take land from Assad and we should have been taking all the land west of the Euphrate river all the way to iraqi border

edit : btw why SNA is significatly weaker the HTS ?? why we didn't supply them enough ? we should have turn them into secular looking army with civilan government structure. all their soilder should have no beard and short hair while creating a small platoon of female syrian women with no headscarf ( similar with what americans did with pkk) and sell them to Europeans as future government of syria

 

[King_West]

İ TOLD you not to attack Assad this hard or he will give concession to PKK now everything i feared has come to pass. who is this jolani guy anyway ?? how much do we have control over him why he is not attacking YPG ?? is this our operation really ?? why SNA attack several days after HTS ?? why HTS kich SNA from aleppo's airport while it was SNA who capture it. from what i am seeing with the recent bahçeli's statement about öcalan, erdogan agreed to american's plan, allowing them to suppley HTS via turkish soil then they lunch this assault at first its benefit us greatly as israel remove both hezbullah and iranians from syria but now this assault shifting against our interest.

we cant take land from YPG since Americans are protecting the we could take land from Assad and we should have been taking all the land west of the Euphrate river all the way to iraqi border

edit : btw why SNA is significatly weaker the HTS ?? why we didn't supply them enough ? we should have turn them into secular looking army with civilan government structure. all their soilder should have no beard and short hair while creating a small platoon of female syrian women with no headscarf ( similar with what americans did with pkk) and sell them to Europeans as future government of syria

And what did Assad do against the PKK exactly?