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  1. Spitfire9

    Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

    By imposing secondary sanctions. I think that China stopped ordering Russian oil in Jan/Feb for fear of inviting secondary sanctions from the US, decided they would not be applied, then resumed ordering. What I propose is that governments profit from the discount on Russian crude rather than...
  2. Spitfire9

    Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

    Donald Trump says he wants the killing in Ukraine to stop. One quick way: Ukraine capitulates. Another quick way: Russia withdraws. Neither side agrees to either option. I can think of a third way of shortening the war: a 15 (?) USD per barrel tariff payable to the government of the country...
  3. Spitfire9

    Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

    With high interest rates the profitability of Russian companies is falling. That means less corporation tax payable. Listening to economist Konstantin, a Russian with contacts in Russia, he reports that 20% of Russia's road haulage companies have shut down. Is that because the business has...
  4. Spitfire9

    TR HÜRJET-Advanced Jet Trainer/ Light attack aircraft

    I read that the GCAP members are moving towards the M-346 as a trainer tailored for training GCAP pilots. In the same way, could Hurjet be adopted by the FCAS partner countries?
  5. Spitfire9

    Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

    West Texas crude below $60 dollars a barrel 0920 GMT 7th April. https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/crude-oil That is below the EU price cap of $60 per barrel. I guess the EU needs to lower the price cap. Countries know they can buy Russian crude at a discount to the world market price for...
  6. Spitfire9

    TR Imprisoning Istanbul mayor and it’s ramifications for defence industry

    Has a Eurofighter order been stalled by the Turkish government's attention being focussed on internal problems or are negotiations proceeding as they were before the civil unrest?
  7. Spitfire9

    Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

    A direct effect of the US tariffs is that trade with many countries is very likely to fall, denting the GDP of those exporting countries. An indirect effect is that world demand for crude may fall, resulting in the price of crude falling and Russia being forced to sell its crude at a lower...
  8. Spitfire9

    Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

    Yes, Russia is gaining territory. As I have shown in past posts, the daily amount is miniscule in terms of Ukraine's area. Yes, Russia has a bigger pool from which to recruit soldiers. Gas sales to the West IIRC are down a lot. I won't check the number just now. However, Gazprom's 2024...
  9. Spitfire9

    Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

    deleted
  10. Spitfire9

    Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

    https://www.msn.com/en-gb/money/other/russia-moves-to-curb-soaring-potato-prices-amid-scarcity/ar-AA1C8g67?ocid=BingNewsSerp Russian commentator Konstantin - I think he is an economist - thinks the potato harvest reduced due to the end of import of quality seed potatoes from their normal source...
  11. Spitfire9

    Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

    Russia conducts extremely risky attacks with infantry in which large numbers are killed. Remember the attacks by Wagner a couple of years ago now in which many, many thousands died taking a town in Donbass? Remember this winter when Russian daily casualties were reported to have reached 2000+...
  12. Spitfire9

    TR Defence Exports & Updates

    Turkish industry attends the 2025 LAAD Brazilian defence trade show in force... https://turdef.com/article/brazil-opens-laad-2025-with-turkish-presence-in-defence
  13. Spitfire9

    Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

    Russia was pushing hard to gain territory before Trump gained power, with increased daily losses (reported as 1,500+ a day). As you say, a lot of Russian forces must have been falling on territory later controlled by Russia.
  14. Spitfire9

    TR Politics

    A politicised judiciary is a serious problem. Bye bye to objective judgement according to the law! Unless the judiciary is independent, it is fatally flawed IMO.
  15. Spitfire9

    TR Politics

    When a democratic country elects a head of state who does not observe the constitution, how do you force him out of power without having to wait for the people to vote him out at the next election?
  16. Spitfire9

    TR Imprisoning Istanbul mayor and it’s ramifications for defence industry

    You can be elected, govern badly and lose popularity. You can be unlucky with factors beyond your control creating problems (2008 WFC, covid pandemic, natural disaster hits your country). Those things cost popularity. Inflation in Turkey? IIRC Erdogan wanted low interest rates. Inflation...
  17. Spitfire9

    TR Imprisoning Istanbul mayor and it’s ramifications for defence industry

    I am not quite sure who 'We' are but if you refer to Muslims intent on destroying all society that is not Muslim and imposing Islam on the world, a lot of people decry that. I have not counted how many they have killed in my country but it is quite a few. What was the crime of the victims...
  18. Spitfire9

    TR Imprisoning Istanbul mayor and it’s ramifications for defence industry

    So what does Erdogan do to suppress it being reported - stop access to internet feeds from outside Turkiye? Make it illegal to listen to the BBC World Service? PS https://www.france24.com/en/live-news/20250329-turkey-opposition-calls-mass-rally-in-istanbul Right now I'm listening to a BBC...
  19. Spitfire9

    TR Imprisoning Istanbul mayor and it’s ramifications for defence industry

    If Turkiye needs a fighter until KAAN arrives, that would be why it is a little bit interested/interested/so interested in Eurofighter. The EU may need Turkiye more than Turkiye needs the EU as far as military and security goes. What has that got to do with how locking up your opponents, locking...
  20. Spitfire9

    TR Imprisoning Istanbul mayor and it’s ramifications for defence industry

    Interesting to read but evidence to support your allegation is absent. Sorry, giving the methods you used to reach conclusions is not the same as presenting the evidence on which you reached conclusions. You say 'Trump won in low-population counties but lost in a handful of high population...

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